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Revision History For: SPX Cycles

20 Nov 2019 04:36 PM
20 Mar 2019 11:35 AM
01 Feb 2019 01:12 PM
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02 Sep 2018 11:02 PM
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29 Aug 2018 11:19 PM
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24 Jul 2018 12:25 PM
03 Jan 2015 12:09 PM
31 Dec 2014 05:04 PM <--
31 Dec 2014 04:11 PM

Return to SPX Cycles
 
SPX Cycles is basically a two phased trend following stock trading system. Phase 1 is mainly considered the down trend phase and Phase 2 is considered the up trend phase. That is the basic two components of the SPX Cycle System (SCS).

  • The best part about this system is that the set up is the same in all time frames (ie..60 min, Daily, Weekly & Monthly). The primary indicators used in the SCS are the EMA(11)high, EMA(11)low, EMA(3)close, and EMA(8)close.

  • The EMA(11)high indicator is called the Upper Trend Line(UTL).

  • The EMA(11)low indicator is called the Lower Trend Line(LTL).

  • The EMA(3) and EMA(8) are both used together, and I consider as a combined indicator which I call the EMA 3/8, the EMA 3/8's main purpose is for long term trend changes and even though the indicator is on each time frame, the Monthly timeframe is the one used for the SCS.

  • SCS secondary indicators are the MACD(12,26,9) and CCI(24), these indicators are basically only used when the market is going sideways, when usually means the market is in the process of a trend change.

  • SCS Data Sheets are excel spreed sheets that have been created for each time frame, the SCS Data Sheets track critical data concerning the SCS. The data inputted on the SCS Data Sheets are critical to the success of the SCS. For more information on the SCS Data Sheets see the document titled "SPX Data Sheets".

  • The Phase 1 is the down trend phase of the SPX Cycle System. For a Phase 1 to be confirmed the following criteria must be meet exactly. A SPX 60 min Phase 1 is confirmed when the price opens below the 60 min UTL at the beginning of the hour and remains below the UTL until the end of that hour, then a 60 min Phase 1 is confirmed. A SPX Daily Phase 1 is confirmed when the price opens below the Daily UTL at the beginning of the trading day and remains below the UTL the entire trading day, then at the close of the trading day the Daily Phase 1 is confirmed. A SPX Weekly Phase 1 is confirmed when the price opens below the Weekly UTL on the first trading day of the week, and remains below the UTL the entire week, then on the last day of the week at the close of the market, a Weekly Phase 1 is confirmed. A SPX Monthly Phase 1 is confirmed when the price opens below the Monthly UTL on the first trading day of the Month, and remains below the UTL the entire month, then on the last trading day of the month at the close of the market, a Monthly Phase 1 is confirmed.

  • The Phase 2 is the up trend Phase of the SPX Cycle System. The Phase 2 is the easiest and fastest to confirm. A SPX 60 min, Daily, Weekly, Monthly Phase 2 is confirmed when the price touches their respective UTL, there is no waiting. When the price touches the UTL it is immediately confirmed and the Phase 2 remains in effect until a Phase 1 is confirmed. Pretty simple.

  • The projection formula below is what I use to determine the type of phase confirmed.