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Revision History For: Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends

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Return to Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends
 
Welcome from Humble1

I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.

Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.

H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.

Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.

Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind. We do not do politics (except strictly market related) or food fights or flaming.

Good Luck!

Fortuna Cornucopia



Ancient Roman amethyst intaglio of Fortuna, dated to the 1st century BCE to the 1st century CE. Found in the Hermitage Museum.




H1 Motto: In Utraque Fortuna Paratus

Astro Section

“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.” - J.P. Morgan

"As above ...



"... so below."

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1) Lunar eclipses or full moons one cycle away from a lunar eclipse were always coincident to the beginning of the famous market crashes.
2) The full moon coincident to the beginning of the crash has always been within six weeks of a solar eclipse.
3) The “panic phases” of all 12 crashes Puetz studied were entirely encompassed within one of the following periods:
a) February 4-April 5
b) September 3- October 29

Perspective Gallery








“All of humanity’s problems, stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.” - Blaise Pascal

A Cup of Tea

Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"

te esse hominem memento; mortalem te esse. memento mori. respice post te. nam mors indecepta!











"Don't identify with anything. Be completely empty – no one. Be no-body and see if you lose anything but delusion." Mooji





Meditative withdrawal from the day's turmoil into creative silence is not a luxury, a fad, or a futility. It dissolves mental tensions and heals negative emotions.

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ASTRO

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My comment: With Saturn in early Aquarius, Mars in Taurus conjoins Uranus in Taurus on 1/20/21. Biden takeover of the presidency.

RM: Here's to Saturn in Aquarius, square Uranus in Taurus (2/17/21-2/18/21). May it coincide with a breakthrough discovery in science and the end to this secondary low in world stock markets, as well as a return to semblance of normalcy in societies throughout the world shortly thereafter.

note: For this week, there is a full Moon on September 2, the same day that Venus will be in opposition to Saturn. One of our basic geocosmic trading rules is that any market that is declining into a hard Venus/Saturn aspect is a candidate for a reversal and rally. Traders will want to identify those markets.

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Chart Gallery



I can count a huge "abcde" off of the 1/26/18 high. The "e" wave is the "crash wave with news" in H1 Wave. And it certainly was!



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THE NEXT MASSIVE TAIL RISK

Jim Reid and team of DBK have been busy trying to figure out the next big tail risk. Conclusion;

"The main takeaway is that there’s a one-in-three chance that the next decade will see at least one of a major flu pandemic killing more than 2m people; a globally catastrophic volcanic eruption; a major solar flare; and a global war. So some pretty striking stuff."

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How do you fix this in this COVID world with declining margins and demand:




The Jupiter/Pluto conjunction has an even higher correlation to primary cycles (high or low) in the U.S. stock market than Venus direct.

For after all, this is a waxing square, the first quarter phase of the Mars cycle to Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn. Waxing squares, like waning squares, coincide with crises. But unlike waning squares, the waning square usually resolves the crisis and continues its forward momentum. It is a crisis in action, a threat to the status quo, but it not usually a crisis in survival. It requires a change in approach or direction, but it doesn’t require the termination of that direction. In other words, we may have a dispute or uncomfortable confrontation, but it doesn’t have to lead to a war or a revolution. Not this year, anyway. - RM


3/23/20 -> 11/2/20 = 224 = 11/2/20 -> 6/14/21 = 224 = Saturn Square Uranus = LHL? or LHL? or LLH?

RM mentions:


The 2021 Saturn/Uranus square is especially interesting because these two planets were also in square aspect to one another in 1999-2000, but in exactly the opposite signs: Saturn was in Taurus and Uranus was in Aquarius. In 2021, that will be reversed.

and again ...

It would be totally naive to think that we live in safe times right now, or to believe that everything is under control. It’s not. From the cosmic perspective Saturn rules law and order. It can be very authoritarian and repressive on the one hand, or very responsible, goal-oriented, and just on the other. But it has been in Aquarius, March 21-July 1, 2020, and it will return there December 17, 2020 through March 7, 2023. Aquarius is the sign that values independence, freedom, and revolutionary thought or activity. Uranus is the planet that rules Aquarius, so in a square aspect from Saturn (authority), it is apt to be in conflict with Uranus, which seeks freedom and abhors repression and authoritarianism. The combination may result in the path of least resistance as not just protests, but radical demands for change that can turn violent. Thus, the threat to life is not likely to be solely or even mostly about the COVID-19 virus as time progresses, but more upon the threat to civil order and the potential for violence.

From 8/10 freebie:

It’s wild and it’s not likely to get calm anytime soon. The fiery Mars is in fiery Aries, its ruling sign, and beginning a 3-week transit in hard aspect to the Capricorn stellium planets of Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn, August 4-24. This week, August 13, we get the middle of this combustible combination when Mars squares Pluto, an aspect that can make people “mad as hell” and proclaim they “aren’t going to take this anymore.” It doesn’t get any calmer when Uranus turns retrograde in Taurus two days later on August 15. It is like turning the pressure up to maximum intensity where one’s enemies, and one’s personal frustrations are highly inflammable. Literally, there may be wildfires, explosions, threats to the environment, crops, and human lives.

Actually, it doesn’t really end in three weeks, because Mars will turn retrograde and do it all over again September 29-October 19. Mars in its ruling sign is usually a strong positive for the world, but the square to Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn is a major challenge. However, when Mars goes retrograde in its ruling sign (September 9-November 13), the assertive nature of Mars in its ruling sign can turn to aggression and war-like rhetoric or behavior. The temperature in the room may become unbearable if controls on one’s basic impulses are not implemented. If not checked, this can be a recipe for destruction or self-destruction. Under retrograde Mars, the aggressor is usually the loser.

How might this affect the world of financial markets? You already see it with precious metals, Bitcoin, and currencies. The political environment is wild and easily inflamed, driving investors to take cover. The stock market is holding on well enough in the midst of this developing inferno, but it could break at any moment, and especially September 29-October 19, if not even sometime this month.

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1/20/21 (+/-1)

6/8/20 + 226* = 1/20/21
9/2/20 + 140 = 1/20/21

6/8/20 -> 9/2/20 = 86
86 x 1.618 = 140
140 + 86 = 226

10/3/19L + 139H = 2/19/20
9/2/20H + 139L = 1/19/21

9/21/18 + 96 = 12/26/18
10/16/20 + 96 = 1/20/21

4/29/20 -> 1/20/21 = 266
root 3.618 = 1.902
266/1.902 = 140

3/8/20 -> 9/2/20 = 163
163 x .618 = 101
10/12/20 + 101 = 1/21/21

3/23 -> 4/29 = 37
37 x 2.618 = 97
10/16 (new moon) + 97 = 1/21/21

5/14/20 -> 10/16/20 = 155
155 x .618 = 96
10/16/20 + 96 = 1/20/21

1/20/21 is inauguration AND an important astro date (early 1/21). after the blue wave tsunami, i expect biden will inherit a bleak landscape with covet surging/peaking and investors afraid of his agenda and the benchmark 10 year going parabolic.

* 225 cycle +/-1

The election is apt to be very volatile between now and Tuesday. With Mercury stationary all week and in square aspect to Saturn, October 31-November 6, and Saturn representing delays, we may not know the results this week. It is possible that the results projected on Tuesday-Wednesday are even reversed by next Saturday, November 6. Furthermore, it is even possible the final results are not settled until after Mars turns direct on November 14. There is one signature that indicates the results may not be accepted until February 2021, which would create enormous problems as the inauguration is scheduled to take place at noon on January 20, 2021. With Mars conjunct Uranus on January 20, this could indicate massive protests, even riots, as citizens express their disdain for the results. The election is not likely to go smoothly during the voting and afterward. However, by spring, the seasonal ingresses for Washington D.C. indicate a change for the better. The U.S. and the world get on with the task of living with a better attitude throughout the summer. - RM

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1/23/21

3/23/20 -> 11/9/20 = 231
231 x .618 = 143
9/2/20 + 143 = AstroDate 1/23/21
Mars sq Jupiter // Venus sextile Neptune

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4/12/21:

3712 - 3588 = 124
12/9/20 + 124 = 4/12

venus square pluto

monday, new moon +1

on 1/12/21: