Persistent high trade deficit of the last few years and extremely high level of USD reserves in foreign central banks pretty much ensures a dollar crisis in future. So far any weakness in USD has been met with increased accumulation of USD reserves by foreign central banks. As the dollar falls, that could change eventually, leading to a sharp drop of our currency.
Any currency crisis usually involves much higher 10-year and 30-year interest rates and a meltdown of all asset classes, with the possible exception of precious metals. This thread will focus on the discussion of imminent risk of USD currency crisis, and the ways to survive it.
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"There is no means of avoiding the final collapse of a boom brought about by credit expansion. The alternative is only whether the crisis should come sooner as a result of voluntary abandonment of further credit expansion, or later as a final and total catastrophe of the currency system involved. The breakdown appears as soon as the banks become frightened by the accelerated pace of the boom and begin to abstain from further credit expansion."
-- Ludwig von Mises |