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Welcome from Humble1
I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.
Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.
H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.
Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.
Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind. We do not do politics (except strictly market related) or food fights or flaming.
Ancient Roman amethyst intaglio of Fortuna, dated to the 1st century BCE to the 1st century CE. Found in the Hermitage Museum.
H1 Motto: In Utraque Fortuna Paratus
“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.” - J.P. Morgan
"As above ...
"... so below."
1) Lunar eclipses or full moons one cycle away from a lunar eclipse were always coincident to the beginning of the famous market crashes.
2) The full moon coincident to the beginning of the crash has always been within six weeks of a solar eclipse.
3) The “panic phases” of all 12 crashes Puetz studied were entirely encompassed within one of the following periods:
a) February 4-April 5
b) September 3- October 29
“All of humanity’s problems, stem from man’s inability to sit quietly in a room alone.” - Blaise Pascal
A Cup of Tea
Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"
te esse hominem memento; mortalem te esse. memento mori. respice post te. nam mors indecepta!
"Don't identify with anything. Be completely empty – no one. Be no-body and see if you lose anything but delusion." Mooji
Meditative withdrawal from the day's turmoil into creative silence is not a luxury, a fad, or a futility. It dissolves mental tensions and heals negative emotions.
Most stock markets of the world exhibit a 15-18 month cycle, with an orb of three months. In the U.S., it is a 15.5-month cycle (range 13-18 months). This is a 1/3 phase of the greater 4-year cycle, which bottomed one year ago, December 26-27, 2018. Other world indices, as in Europe, have a 3-year cycle that breaks down into two 18-month phases. This 3-year cycle also bottomed December 26-27, 2018 (same in Japan, and one week later in China). A simple calculation shows that the next 15.5-month cycle in the U.S. stock market is due April 2020 +/- 3 months, whereas in Europe it is due June 2020 +/- 3 months. During that time, Venus will turn retrograde (May 13-June 25). - RM
Shorter-term, we have an interesting cosmic development approaching. On January 23-24, the new moon will square Uranus. This is an indicator of something sudden and unexpected arising that potential disrupts market trends. It involves Uranus, so it can also correspond with another “melt-up” to new all-time or multi-year highs in world stock indices if there is not a reversal. Then, January 26-28 will find Venus and Neptune conjunct in Pisces. Ah! How sweet it is to fall in love (Venus, Neptune, and Pisces are all about infatuation disguised as true love). The problem is that Mars will square these two planets, so what was thought to be a torrid love affair becomes a torn love experience. In the mundane world, this refers to agreements gone awry. One side is prone to violate the terms agreed upon or assumed (Neptune likes to assume), and the other side is not very pleased about this. That could turn the markets down for once again, the biggest risk to the markets is still the political risk.
But let’s look a little further down the road (or, cosmic highway) and we will see that transiting Mars is just beginning to strike that critical 17-25 degree sector of Sagittarius. This will take place January 27-February 9. Mars will touch off the lunar eclipse with Uranus in President Trump’s natal chart (TMI – the “Trump Mars Indictor”). It will also activate the Mars square Neptune (forming a grand square) in the founding charts of both the U.S. and Iran. According to Mars, it’s not over until its over. According to Saturn/Pluto, the warring factions are not interested in a win-win result. Someone has to win, and someone has to lose – badly. Mars can be so macho. And Neptune with Venus in Pisces just wants peace. It’s going to be a very interesting next three weeks, and financial markets will likely reflect this dynamic. - RM
Age of Aquarius
Which, of course, is the name of the cosmic game when Mercury turns retrograde in Pisces (confusion and uncertainty), and even more so when you have three of the five outermost planets (Jupiter, Pluto, and Saturn) in Capricorn (fear), a rare phenomenon known as the “Capricorn Stellium.” This stellium will be in effect for much of 2020, finally ending around the winter solstice of December 21, 2020 when both Saturn and Jupiter ingress into Aquarius. I am sure you will be hearing a lot of talk about “The Age of Aquarius” finally beginning then. It is symbolic of the end of an era and the start of a new one, but it doesn’t happen overnight. And which era will we talking about anyway? - R. M.
The retrograde Venus of May 13 has not yet exhibited a clear case of a cycle high or low in equity markets yet, even though historically its correlation to a primary type is 80%. If we include half-primary cycles, the correlation is 91.3%. When one of these cycles fails to happen in the time surrounding Venus retrograde, it will often unfold nearby to the midpoint, which will be June 3-4 in this current case. And there is also a very high correlation to primary or greater cycles around the time that Venus turns direct (June 25 +/- 10 trading days). It will be interesting to observe the period of June 18-30, for that is when three more planets will change direction, plus the second passage of the powerful Jupiter/Pluto conjunction. That is, on June 18, Mercury will turn retrograde, followed by Neptune doing the same on June 22. Then on June 25, Venus will turn direct, and on June 30, Jupiter will conjunct Pluto. The uncertainty regarding the future of the Covid-19 pandemic and the restrictions related to it are not likely to be determined by then. Nor is the future of the economy to be clear by then, and possibly not before July 12 when Mercury turns direct, or even by July 27 when the third and final passage of the Venus/Neptune square takes place.
When might we begin to see clarity – a real turning point – in regard to this pandemic? As discussed in last week’s webinar, perhaps not until after February 2021, when Neptune moves out of the orb of its opposition to the “supercharged degrees” of 15-19 Virgo, corresponding to the degrees of the 111-143-year cycle of the Uranus/Pluto conjunction in 1965-66.
We are back to irrational exuberance that was present in 2019, and it could quite possibly devolve again into hysteria and panic when the elixir of Neptune wears off and the reality of Saturn returning back into Capricorn (July 1 through the winter solstice of December 17-21) returns for the second half of the year.
The abundant number of long-term planetary cycle endings and beginnings involved in 2020 have different correlations to historical market cycles. If it was just one planetary cycle that we had to address, it would be relatively easy to forecast that a long-term cycle bottom or long-term cycle crest was culminating. But there are three at once: Jupiter/Saturn, Jupiter/Pluto, and Saturn/Pluto. And each has a strong correlation to different long-term market cycles. Which one will be dominant is hard to say. We could see both types of long-term cycles culminate – a long-term crest (already in) and a long-term cycle bottom. So, let me share with you one of the more optimistic possibilities, for we are now well-immersed into the chaos and fear part of the “Capricorn Stellium.” One of the emotions associated with Capricorn and its ruler Saturn is fear, and with Jupiter and Mars also involved now, another is chaos or hysteria.
In studies published in The Ultimate Book on Stock Market Timing, Volume 2: Geocosmic Correlations to Investment Cycles, it was illustrated how the bottom of the longest cycles in British and U.S. stock markets occurred during the times Saturn and Pluto were in cardinal signs, and Uranus was posited between 22º Pisces and 23º Aries. These studies also showed that a secondary bottom occurred a few years later, usually 6-15 years later, when Uranus moved into Taurus. The long-term Great Depression/Recession cycle lows of 1842, 1932, and 2009-2010 had many of these characteristics. For instance, the Great Depression saw the stock market suffer a huge 90% sell off in U.S. stocks starting in 1929, that bottomed in July 1932, after Saturn had just entered Aquarius, following it passage through Capricorn the prior 2-½ years, during the same time Pluto was in Cancer and Uranus was in Aries. Secondary lows happened in 1938 and 1942, after Uranus had ingressed into its next sign of Taurus. The Great Recession stock market low of March 2009 occurred shortly after Pluto’s entrance into Capricorn, and while Saturn was in opposition to Uranus in late Virgo/Pisces, just before each ingressed into cardinal signs (Uranus was in its usual sector of 22º Pisces and 23º Aries, but Saturn was not yet into cardinal Libra until later that year).
Now for the optimistic view on where world stock markets might be. Saturn and Pluto are once again in cardinal signs, this time with both in Capricorn. Uranus has now moved fully into Taurus. These are the historical placements for a secondary bottom to the long-term stock market cycle. The “crash” associated with Saturn and Pluto in cardinal signs is now underway. But, as in July 1932, could they end when Saturn enters early Aquarius? Could it be a secondary low as it was in 1938 and 1942 when Uranus was in Taurus?
My comment: With Saturn in early Aquarius, Mars in Taurus conjoins Uranus in Taurus on 1/20/21. Biden takeover of the presidency.
If so, this panic could end soon. Saturn will ingress briefly into Aquarius starting this weekend, March 21-July 1, 2020, just as it did February 24-August 13, 1932. The current case will also see Saturn returning for a short journey back into Capricorn, July 1-December 17, 2020 (just as it did in 1932), all during the time that Pluto is still in Capricorn and Uranus in Taurus. The parallels between the 1929 and 1942 have many common features to the planetary positions and relationships to one another today. If it is to be like 1932, the absolute bottom to this stock market collapse could be over by July, as Saturn has its brief preview of “life in Aquarius.” If it is more like 1942 (secondary bottom), it could extend into December 2020-March 2023 when Saturn returns to Aquarius with Uranus still in Taurus, and especially December 2020-March 2021, when Saturn is in the first decanate of Aquarius.
Here's to Saturn in Aquarius, square Uranus in Taurus. May it coincide with a breakthrough discovery in science and the end to this secondary low in world stock markets, as well as a return to semblance of normalcy in societies throughout the world shortly thereafter.
We are quickly coming up on the first Jupiter/Pluto conjunction on April 4. Jupiter and Pluto is a combination relegated to its own chapter in Forecast 2020 Book titled, “Extreme Measures.” I think we are experiencing “Extreme Measures.” Yet, this period of March 20-April 4 will end the first period of so many conjunctions between planets, as Mars has also conjoined first Jupiter (March 20), then Pluto (March 23) and finally Saturn (March 31), setting up the hoist itself, which is Jupiter conjunct Pluto. Thus, we are starting new planetary cycles between all four of these planets, March 20-April 4. There is something symbolically hopeful about the fact that we are starting so many new cycles, since so many planets are forming conjunctions in this current time frame..
But this is actually only the first of three passages of the Jupiter/Pluto conjunction, for Jupiter will turn retrograde on May 14, after which it will move back to conjoin Pluto a second time on June 30, and then a third time on November 12, right after the U.S. presidential election.
The May 14 and June 30 periods are also very important, perhaps as important as this current one unfolding March 20-April 4. Jupiter turning retrograde on May 14 is very close to Saturn and Venus also turning retrograde on May 10 and 13. Venus retrograde is historically an important time correlating with major trend reversals in financial markets, like equities. The second passage of the Jupiter/Pluto conjunction on June 30 is also important because it is just five days after Venus turns direct, another historical correlation with major reversals in financial markets. It is also important because it is in the middle of three passages between Jupiter and Pluto. We may not see the signs that COVID-19 is starting to recede before then. We may not see signs of a real change taking place in the behavior of our world leaders, let alone our behavior towards one another and willingness to adapt to the changes required to enact a lasting collective transformation and healing, until then.
It’s not just the convergence of the 20-, 200-, and 800-year long-term Jupiter/Saturn cycles. It is also Saturn in Aquarius, squaring its ruler, Uranus, in Taurus. The convergence of the Jupiter/Saturn cycle in air sign Aquarius symbolizes the dawn of a new socio-economic-political era; the waning Saturn/Uranus square, the demise of an older order. What does this bode for financial markets of the world, and what can you do? We will discuss that in this lecture.
In the meantime, financial markets of the world have been shaken with extraordinary volatility, first from the one-month crash off their all-time highs of February 12-20 (Mars entering Capricorn and Mercury turning retrograde), in which many indices lost close to 40% of their value. That was the sharpest decline in one month in the history of the DJIA. But then the rally that followed was one of the most impressive ever, and led to return of the “irrational exuberance” typified by transiting Jupiter, stationary, and in a square aspect to Neptune in the founding chart of the New York Stock Exchange (founded May 17, 1792). With a one-degree orb, that transit was in force as of mid-April, and just ended this week. It will return again, but not until December 2020.
Wave-C Astro: RM: 6/22
This concern is further stoked by the realization that Saturn is now retrograde and will move back into
Capricorn on July 1. It had moved out of Capricorn on March 22, which was during the peak of the recent panic. It returns to Capricorn July 1-December 17, covering the same sector of the heavens that it occupied from early February through March 21 – the period of the recent stock market collapse. When planets return to the sector they recently passed through, we oftentimes see human activity repeat similar conditions that were present then. It is a form of symmetry in the cosmos, which mundane astrologers pay great attention to.
and: 1990 -> 2009
I can count a huge "abcde" off of the 1/26/18 high. The "e" wave is the "crash wave with news" in H1 Wave. And it certainly was!
On the Watch List: 12/24/20 High
5/14/20 = pt. 14
10/3/19 + 224 = 5/14/20
5/14/20 + 224 = 12/24/20
Thursday: Christmas Eve
3/23/20 Low = Mars c Pluto
12/24/20 High = Mars sq Pluto
5/14/20 = Venus -> R
9/30/20 Scenario and October 2020 Disaster!!!!!
Mars squares Saturn -> Direct in the Capricorn Stellium on a Full Moon Eve
See Wave-C Astro in "Astro"
First presidential debate is in 9/29, when I expect Biden to demolish 45. Leading to a huge, and not corporate friendly, Blue Wave.
9/30/20 is 10/3/19 + [1.618 x 224 (2/9/18 -> 9/21/18) = 363].
10/1/20 is 2/19 + 225, a full moon
10/15 is second debate and on a new moon lunar 8/28
10/1 is 6/8 (spx high) + 115 (71 x 1.618)
huge astrodate 12/21 is 10/1 + 81
There is an intervening perfect C = 1.618 A:
A: 9/21/18 -> 12/26/18 = 96
96 x 1.618 = 155
96/.764 = 126
B: 12/26/18 -> 5/1/19 = 126
.764, or 2 x .382, connection to A
C: 5/1/19 + 155 = 10/3/19
1.618 connection to A
The total = Fibo # 377.
2/19 + 112 = 6/10 (nas high) + 112 = GL224 = 9/30 = HHL
363 x .618 = GL 224
10/3/19 + GL 224 = 5/14/20
This calculation ties both scenarios together into AstroDate 5/14/20!
This on a f29 hitting on election high anxiety October 2020.
Venus Station = 5/14/20
RM Buying Date Window 5/25 -> 6/25 (Venus -> Direct)
10/3/19 -> 2/19/20 = 139
139 x 1.618 = 224
2/19/20 + 224 = 9/30/20
6/4/20 -> 9/30/20 = 118
118 x root/3.618 = 224
THE NEXT MASSIVE TAIL RISK
Jim Reid and team of DBK have been busy trying to figure out the next big tail risk. Conclusion;
"The main takeaway is that there’s a one-in-three chance that the next decade will see at least one of a major flu pandemic killing more than 2m people; a globally catastrophic volcanic eruption; a major solar flare; and a global war. So some pretty striking stuff."
AstroDate 3/23/20 + 225 c-days = 11/3/20
Something weird/interesting/fun: the 225 c-day cycle, also the Lindsay bottom-top 3 Peaks + Domed house, hits on 11/3, election day! What could this mean? Market happy enough with Biden or Pence (maybe Trump)?
Hurlburt's hot sentiment can last for a long time while the advance continues. Sharp turndown is the sell:
P/C's on 6/5 close
How do you fix this in this COVID world with declining margins and demand:
RM Astro which works with the H1 6/30 Plunge Low scenario and market structure:
However, don’t get too comfortable with that view because on June 30, Jupiter (exaggeration) conjoins Pluto (“Who let the dogs out?”). This is a combination we refer to as “extreme measures” and it can also correlate with extreme price moves. In fact, the Jupiter/Pluto conjunction has an even higher correlation to primary cycles (high or low) in the U.S. stock market than Venus direct.
6/8 + 160 = 11/15
2/19->11/15 = 270 // 2/19->6/8 = 110 // 270/110 = 1.732 x 1.414
11/15 = Ve/s/Jupiter+Pluto, Ve "translates" the Jupiter/Pluto conjunction (11/12) // Mars->D (11/14)
New Moon (11/15)
3393->3233 = 160 (an H1 Time/Price Triangle)
2/19 + 160 = 7/28
7/28 = Ve/s/Nep
See events: FOMC 7/29 and Furlough Cliff 7/31 = High Anxiety Window
Plus Psycho's niece's crazy uncle book will be published on 7/28
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