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Humble1 and Swing Trading Friends
An SI Board Since October 2009
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Emcee:  humble1 Type:  Moderated
Welcome from Humble1

I want to thank Silicon Investor for this site.

Nothing said or done here by me or anyone should be construed as trading or investment advice! I am not certified or qualified as an analyst or a financial adviser. I am a private trader who tries to make money swing trading the daily SPX bars and selected equities, with help from friends.

H1&STF is for discussions about Time and Price for use in swing trading the SPX and selected equities. I consider gold and silver coins a valuable long term holding to be accumulated during sharp sell offs. All charts and discussions concerning gold and silver are welcomed.

Your posts and comments are encouraged. Whether bull or bear, they will be appreciated. Swing trading means trading in both directions.

Absolutely no foul language, or faux foul language and related acronyms, of any kind.

Good Luck!

Fortuna Cornucopia





H1 Motto: In Utraque Fortuna Paratus


Astro Section

“Millionaires don't use Astrology, billionaires do.” - J.P. Morgan

"As above ...




"... so below."

Chart Gallery
















Interesting long term real estate play:




Perspective Gallery

A Cup of Tea

Nan-in, a Japanese master during the Meiji era (1868-1912), received a university professor who came to inquire about Zen. Nan-in served tea. He poured his visitor's cup full, and then kept on pouring. The professor watched the overflow until he no longer could restrain himself. "It is overfull. No more will go in!" "Like this cup," Nan-in said, "you are full of your own opinions and speculations. How can I show you Zen unless you first empty your cup?"

te esse hominem memento; mortalem te esse. memento mori. respice post te. nam mors indecepta!




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The H1 Case For SPX 3000: Eight Good Hits

(Use your own charts to identify these key turns. At one point, a major ewaver identified 1344 as the peak of Wave 1 off of 666. There are always several valid counts in play, according to H1 Wave Theory. When they overlap, or confluence, an inflection point which produces an acceptable risk/reward trade is likely. SPX 1422 also works as a Wave1 high, breaking no H1-Wave rules. Rounding is within one point.)

1. Fibo Extension

1074 <-> .328 <-> 1810 <.618-> 3000

2. Equal Waves

1074 -> 2134 = 917

2083 + 917 = 3000

3. Wave 5 = Wave1

666 -> 1344 = 678

2322 + 678 = 3000

4. Measured Move

1158 + 921 = 2079

2079 + 921 = 3000

5. Fibo 1.618

442 -> 1553 = 1111

1111 x 1.618 = 1798

1202 + 1798 = 3000

6. Root Phi Extension

2401 -> 2872 -> 3000

7. Wave 5 = .618 x Wave 1

666 -> 1422 = 756

756 x .618 = 467

2533 + 467 = 3000

8. Wave 5 = Wave 1

1810 -> 2194 = 384

2116 + 384 = 3000

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"2018: Sell in May? Maybe no way!" (tm:h1): Astro, Seasonals, Lindsay Pattern, Ganniversaries, Spiral Calendar Hit, Long Range Fibo Hit (1929 + 89), Kress 36 Year Cycle, 9 Year Kress, Puetz 2FMW (9/25) after SE (8/11)

"Maybe up, up, and away until the autumnal equinox." (tm: h1)
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H1 Pattern Recognition Bulletin

Whether you call it a pennant, a coil, or a triangle: this pattern is a classic and a beauty. It has been written about since the 1930's. I am using the 3/27/17 low of the parabola at 2322 as the starting point. It projects to SPX 3000, an H1 Confluence Target that I have been posting about using my own system. Other starting points will produce higher targets, but there is no reason to think about those until we see how SPX acts at 3000. Anything higher will have to be supported by seasonals, confluences, etc.

So, first things first. The first thing is SPX 3000!

investopedia.com




Dates on the watchlist. As always, chart pattern and price target confirmation are needed to make a trade.

* 8/19/18:

1. Fibo Time Extension


331 x .618 = 205

3/1/17 + 331 -> 1/26/18 + 205 = 8/19/18

2. See RM Astro Re: Neptune trine Jupiter


3. Fibo Wave 5 = 1.618 x Wave 1:

2/11/16 -> 6/8/16 = 118 (initial thrust)

118 x 1.618 = 191

2/9/18 + 191 = 8/19/18

4. OPEX = 8/17/18

* 8/27: 2018 High Pivot Scenario Before Collapse, but 9/23 is Favorite

More on this fascinating scenario as Time and Price unfold. I have four good hits on it as a Second Half HIGH. Pattern must confirm.

* 9/23/18: Developing as high pivot if 8/27 pattern does not confirm.

[ 9/1/19: Final SPX 666 Bull Market High

1. Metonic Cycle from 9/1/00 (secondary high to 3/24/00)

2. 3/6/09 -> 5/2/11 -> 10/4/11 :: .618 :: 1/27/18 -> 5/3/18 -> 9/1/19

3. Venus/Virgo Trine Jupiter/Capricorn

4. Econ cycles call for 2020 recession. Bernanke says wile e. coyote off the cliff in 2020:

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-06-07/bernanke-says-u-s-economy-faces-wile-e-coyote-moment-in-2020 ]

5. Seasonals

BULLETIN!:

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---> $$$ 9/23/18 AND 11/7/18 ARE BLINKING RED AS PRE-PANIC DOUBLE TOP HIGHS $$$ <---

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Price/Time/Astro: 8/2/18

1.618 X the time span of the 3/27/17->1/26/18 trend line (which defined the parabolic surge from 2322 to 2872) hits on 8/2/18 the M/U square, an Arch Crawford favorite.


[8/2 was another direct hit using the H1 Confluence Swing Trading System]








The Coming Great Crash of 2019

I can make the case that The SPX 1/26/18 Coil finally ended on 7/23/18. In H1 Theory (tm) we propose that the energy built up in a coil takes an equi-temporal time to be expended. It's pretty clear where this scenario takes us. Using calendar days, + 178 hits right on 1/17/19, the major Bradley date.

Thus we have an H1/Astro confluence.
Keep in mind that the Brad Dates are not represented to be directional, just pivots. As an example, note that the 5/29/18 Brad was a direct hit low, while shown as a high on the chart.

There is another confluence. The 1/21/19 Full Moon is a Lunar Eclipse. This means that 1/17/19 is in the Puetz Window which has marked pre-panic or pre-crash highs.



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ReplyMessage PreviewFromPosted
29141H1 CRASH Prediction! Several H1 cycles are now confluencing and indicate that ahumble18 hours ago
29140Lots of volume on that Hammer-In-The-Hole (tm: H1), and it comes right where a Whumble1yesterday
29139the $$$ is too strong, way too strong. look for "powell pause" hints ohumble1yesterday
29138 [graphic] [graphic]humble1Tuesday
291378/13 Solar Eclipse Window = Fibo Completion = Explosive Upside Possible 1/26 -&humble1Tuesday
29136print out this chart and stick it on the wall; forget everything you have read ohumble1Monday
29135the turkey/lira thingy is on the front page of the nytimeshumble1Monday
29134lots of FEAR out there. /// email friend: "wiped out the whipsawees once aghumble1Monday
29133Please accept my apology BROOKS; the "typo" I blame on a glass of winehumble1Monday
29132Congrats to my friend, Bruce Koepka: 2018 PGA CHAMP! :-)))humble1Sunday
29131Your Friend; All In! stockcharts.comhumble1last Saturday
29130Gapper down Hammer on the Solar Eclipse with much negative background news. Implhumble1last Friday
29129Great Chart!: The Ten Year UST Channel [graphic]humble1last Friday
29128looks like a running "abc" off of the 7/25 high may be near completionhumble1last Thursday
29127IMX Sentiment: Well Contained [graphic]humble1last Thursday
29126the chinese are frantically pumping out yuan tonight. here are our 10 year bondhumble1last Thursday
29125Those record amounts of 10 year treasury auctions will keep on coming as far as sylvester80August 8
29124>>>buybacks And it will end up being the biggest waste of shareholder vsylvester80August 8
29123SPY 25yr chart...still on track for the double touch... and then lights out.... sylvester80August 8
29122the spx rally may have stalled for a day due to the record amount of 10 years thumble1August 8
29121SPX likes to rally with VIX in the green zone: [graphic]humble1August 8
29120Another look at the AAII B/B [graphic]humble1August 7
291192018 buybacks will = ~ $1 Trillion, GS Now Says [graphic]humble1August 7
29118At JP's site, my comment on Dimon's 5% Ten Year Treasury Bond predictionhumble1August 7
29117important h1 price and time update time: latest h1 timing work indicates that thumble1August 6
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