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Strategies & Market Trends
CFZ E-Wiggle Workspace
An SI Board Since February 2003
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Emcee:  skinowski Type:  Moderated
On this thread we discuss trading using mostly TA, with some use of FA when relevant. The special emphasis is on Elliott Wave analysis. We welcome ideas and discussion related to Sentiment, Momentum and Trend Following.

People are invited to freely exchange views and opinions. Everyone is 100% responsible for their decisions.

Always give a lot of weight to the prevailing trend. E-waves have a tendency to make you look for "completed structures" and too expect reversals. You will find that a lot more often waves will just keep subdividing in the direction of the larger trend.

(Reminder - any comment I ever make on this thread is FWIW. No one really knows the future)


Jay Kaeppel
:
Jay’s Trading Maxim #38 - Two of the keys to trading success are: •Being willing to take decisive action when the right moment comes along (and doubt is highest) •Doing nothing the rest of the time (when the urge to “do something” is at its height)
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40567Looks like the Sentimentrader aggregate model for SPX is still bullish for stockskinowski1yesterday
40566Good times may have peaked. Looking at “lower peaks”, there seems to be a tendenskinowski-last Friday
40565Since 1949, the odds after a positive January were, generally, good. Interestingskinowski1last Wednesday
40564Cool. I have a small position. [X] "Never filled so far." Homer Simpson httpsskinowski1last Wednesday
40563As of Friday, the Fear / Greed indicator is on Neutral. No Fear. cnn.comskinowski1last Monday
40562Interesting table. There is no reason not to [basically] stick to the first 4 liskinowski-last Sunday
40561That’s nice. Notice how bubbles seem to become bigger and longer lasting over tiskinowski1February 1
40560Macro Charts used to post a couple of times a year, and his stuff was interestinskinowski1January 28
40559Jay says plain old trend following works for him. [X] Stock valuations ARE higskinowski1January 28
40558Anticipate - or follow trend? [X] The Trend is Your Friend, Lesson #3,003. Couskinowski1January 27
40557Don’t like posting proprietary “black box” indicator, but - as a former subscribskinowski1January 24
40556Thanks. That’s what I first thought - and this confirms it. Will play with it.skinowski-January 23
40555It's not that hard. Bisect the spike on that indicator with a vertical line.ajtj99-January 23
40554Hi aj, very interesting, thanks. Any chance you could post a screenshot with thoskinowski-January 23
40553Your DBA chart should top in about 2-months and then drop for 1-year. To see thajtj99-January 23
40552Interesting. Edit - could be a nice hedge against increasing food prices :) [X]skinowski1January 23
40551A few from Jay: [X] YES! Keep a close eye on semiconductors. They are an imporskinowski1January 23
40550ES on the hourly looks like a pretty convincing 5 wave impulse out of the low onskinowski1January 17
40549Agree. 4th is entirely possible. The three legs down off the mid-December top skinowski1January 17
40548On the other hand, it does look like a text book A-B-C corrective structure off kckip-January 16
40547[X] $QQQ - So far the the bounce from Monday's low to today's high hasn't been skinowski1January 16
40546We talked recently about the relationship between the stock prices and interest skinowski1January 15
40545Good catch. With the 20 year and 30 year bumping up against 5%, I wouldn't George Statham1January 11
40544Interesting… on this chart, $TNX looks like it’s ready to run some more. Just tskinowski-January 11
40543Hi Ski, Keep in mind a very large portion of that interest expense returns to robert b furman-January 11
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