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Strategies & Market Trends
2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
An SI Board Since September 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
162834 611 5 GLD
Emcee:  TobagoJack Type:  Moderated
Overarching Purpose: this thread shall try best to create the easy ambiance of an internet cafe situated in a politically-practical and gentrified neighbourhood where folks hang out 24-7-365 to ponder the process of collapse, have a cup, share a meal, tap on computers, and generally have a good time while fully cognisant that none shall get out of the future alive.

Any threader behaviour deemed to be detrimental to thread purpose shall be mercilessly stumped on

For issues not covered by above rule, I encourage you to use the 'Ignore' function.

Cheers, tobagojack

Thread common reference Message 32749999

Thread chant:
Chaos is gift
Crisis a partner
Volatility friend
Lonely path right way
Survive to survive another day


Thread music


Thread song


Thread scripture: “Fiat Money Inflation in France” by Andrew Dickson White mises.org



Thread understanding of history(ies)


Thread metal


The photo I took before boarding the flight on 29th February 2020
I brought on board the right items 2020 04 04


Further back, a video and review Message 32739067



and a kicker by which to trudge forward Message 32737826

Hello Maurice, Re <<You predicted this in about 2002 = inflationary depression. But you said it would be about 2018. You said the inflation of everything we need and the devaluation if everything we have. Teotwawki is looming large.>>

(1) Besides the factual that it was not 2002 but 2005, as far as I can determine thanks to the search function of SI siliconinvestor.com

this day bull_dozer reminded me of something else Message 32737596 that showed beating Buffett forbes.com is not difficult and almost child's play

(2) I was prompted to search SI archive and I came up w/ this post by me to you way back circa 2001 Message 15912646

about coconuts, paper coconuts, sausages and snausages


As events turned out, since that time, my largest winners were HK industrial real estate, and gold, in terms of unleverage gain averaging 10X and 2X, taking into account of additions along the way that pollutes the absolute single-point data, with neither about to give-back much if anything

So the strategy of saving in gold, but using all manner of mining techniques to get more gold, by sausages and snausages, seem to be sound, and may be sounder-still going forward

(3) Do you remember our dialogues w/r to QCOM? The first of many was this one circa 2001 February Message 15410107



etc etc

(4) In the meantime, prompted by bull_dozer's post, I did a few casual back-of-the-envelop searches that may help us to formulate a strategy going forward, the point of the thread cafe, so let us get data-intensive but data-simple longtermtrends.net , to discern what be best for savings as opposed for speculation by which we obtain more savings, for reasonable timespans that matter

1982 when I started work and bought my first of many eternal coins, that which I still own


1999 when I joined SI


2008 when you-know-what


1970, practically speaking, start of awareness


(5) Having figured out the way to go for savings, as opposed to speculation, we then must consider what amount of upside still might be wagering in the gold : DJIA ratio macrotrends.net and in the gold : silver ratio

(5-i) Yes, I know, gold & silver does not pay dividends, however paltry

(5-ii) but Put / Call option premiums are no different than dividends and better, pays in good as well as bad times, plus ...

(5-iii) gold & silver, agilely accumulated and astutely stored, incurs no estate tax

(5-iv) Seems to me, under the circumstances of fiat money and peaking valuation of speculative assets, we need to consider gold and silver, first paper gold and paper silver and paper coconuts, and secondly the real thing, and how best to use the power of the paper to accumulate the solidity of the actual

I seek your feedback, for I need to know where I might be wrong, especially if I am in danger of being very wrong.

1915, eternity, practically


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Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):
ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
162834Peak insanity? Apparently not yet ... I cannot tolerate certain kinds of risk; TobagoJack-22 minutes ago
162833The wise men are predicting a severe PM pullback, about October, signalling the Gib Bogle-2 hours ago
162832market manipulation is illegal for people Do the central banks manipulate?Julius Wong-3 hours ago
162831Re << weird language >> Trust sell-side analysts to spew nonsense TobagoJack-3 hours ago
162830"gold deserves some credit for trying to hold above $1900" weird languGib Bogle-3 hours ago
162829I'm intrigued by the idea that market manipulation is illegal. If it was ilGib Bogle-3 hours ago
162828Continue to like DRD and physical gold The former leverage, features options, aTobagoJack13 hours ago
162827I read somewhere that they are probably going to a different process that speedsGib Bogle-3 hours ago
162826I hope the manipulators get punished, harshly, behind bars, night after day afteTobagoJack-3 hours ago
162825Gold investors take aim at miners with returns falling short (Sept 21): A coalJulius Wong-3 hours ago
162824Gold [graphic] Global Research 22 September 2020 Global Precious MetTobagoJack-4 hours ago
162823Ex-Goldman economist Jim O'Neill says China's economy 'well on the wJulius Wong14 hours ago
162822Coronavirus pandemic won't have a 'fairy tale ending' even with a vaJulius Wong-4 hours ago
162821Investors pulled $3.5 billion out of the biggest tech ETF in a single day — the Julius Wong-5 hours ago
162820 The Mysterious London Traders Accused of Manipulating Oil Markets — and the AnoJulius Wong15 hours ago
162819I have no shares. Sold all weeks ago.carranza2-6 hours ago
162818Tesla batteries now have 0.9 MJ/kg compared to hydrogen of 140+MJ/kg Average EffHaim R. Branisteanu-2 AM
162817Battery Day link I am only an option stakeholder and a shorter of the dark sidTobagoJack-yesterday
162816FWIW says plenty of risks out there and within our portfolios ask-socrates.comTobagoJack-yesterday
162815Hunter appears quite a character, and should be a hoot to have as party guest Ycarranza2-yesterday
162814>> Re <<the leader of the barstool fools was just saying last week hbull_dozer-yesterday
162813Re <<the leader of the barstool fools was just saying last week how that TTobagoJack-yesterday
162812After Tik Tok comes Tit for Tat.Gib Bogle-yesterday
162811Everything happens for a reason Hunter appears quite a character, and should beTobagoJack-yesterday
162810Re <<trade wars are easy to win>> ... easy because all knows what tTobagoJack-yesterday
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