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Strategies & Market Trends
2026 TeoTwawKi ... 2032 Darkest Interregnum
An SI Board Since September 2001
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
168926 616 1 GLD
Emcee:  TobagoJack Type:  Moderated
Overarching Purpose: this thread shall try best to create the easy ambiance of an internet cafe situated in a politically-practical and gentrified neighbourhood where folks hang out 24-7-365 to ponder the process of collapse, have a cup, share a meal, tap on computers, and generally have a good time while fully cognisant that none shall get out of the future alive.

Any threader behaviour deemed to be detrimental to thread purpose shall be mercilessly stumped on

For issues not covered by above rule, I encourage you to use the 'Ignore' function.

Cheers, tobagojack

Thread common reference Message 32749999

Thread chant:
Chaos is gift
Crisis a partner
Volatility friend
Lonely path right way
Survive to survive another day


Thread music


Thread song


Thread scripture: “Fiat Money Inflation in France” by Andrew Dickson White mises.org



Thread understanding of history(ies)


Thread metal


The photo I took before boarding the flight on 29th February 2020
I brought on board the right items 2020 04 04


Further back, a video and review Message 32739067



and a kicker by which to trudge forward Message 32737826

Hello Maurice, Re <<You predicted this in about 2002 = inflationary depression. But you said it would be about 2018. You said the inflation of everything we need and the devaluation if everything we have. Teotwawki is looming large.>>

(1) Besides the factual that it was not 2002 but 2005, as far as I can determine thanks to the search function of SI siliconinvestor.com

this day bull_dozer reminded me of something else Message 32737596 that showed beating Buffett forbes.com is not difficult and almost child's play

(2) I was prompted to search SI archive and I came up w/ this post by me to you way back circa 2001 Message 15912646

about coconuts, paper coconuts, sausages and snausages


As events turned out, since that time, my largest winners were HK industrial real estate, and gold, in terms of unleverage gain averaging 10X and 2X, taking into account of additions along the way that pollutes the absolute single-point data, with neither about to give-back much if anything

So the strategy of saving in gold, but using all manner of mining techniques to get more gold, by sausages and snausages, seem to be sound, and may be sounder-still going forward

(3) Do you remember our dialogues w/r to QCOM? The first of many was this one circa 2001 February Message 15410107



etc etc

(4) In the meantime, prompted by bull_dozer's post, I did a few casual back-of-the-envelop searches that may help us to formulate a strategy going forward, the point of the thread cafe, so let us get data-intensive but data-simple longtermtrends.net , to discern what be best for savings as opposed for speculation by which we obtain more savings, for reasonable timespans that matter

1982 when I started work and bought my first of many eternal coins, that which I still own


1999 when I joined SI


2008 when you-know-what


1970, practically speaking, start of awareness


(5) Having figured out the way to go for savings, as opposed to speculation, we then must consider what amount of upside still might be wagering in the gold : DJIA ratio macrotrends.net and in the gold : silver ratio

(5-i) Yes, I know, gold & silver does not pay dividends, however paltry

(5-ii) but Put / Call option premiums are no different than dividends and better, pays in good as well as bad times, plus ...

(5-iii) gold & silver, agilely accumulated and astutely stored, incurs no estate tax

(5-iv) Seems to me, under the circumstances of fiat money and peaking valuation of speculative assets, we need to consider gold and silver, first paper gold and paper silver and paper coconuts, and secondly the real thing, and how best to use the power of the paper to accumulate the solidity of the actual

I seek your feedback, for I need to know where I might be wrong, especially if I am in danger of being very wrong.

1915, eternity, practically


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
168926shall attend a powwow hosting a ex-trump official gathering investors for a btc TobagoJack-10 minutes ago
168925"There is a huge cultural gap ... not being recognized." ^^^^^^^^^^^^sense-20 minutes ago
168924Hence the dysfunction.sense-46 minutes ago
168923Forests and trees... pair with known unknowns and unknown unknowns. "Demogsense-47 minutes ago
168922teotwawki... ambiguously minor, minors as majors, or are adults children, too? marcher-4 hours ago
168921been in gold for the past 5 years I don't have any now, but love copper and flashforward2009-6 hours ago
168920And you're worried about the Chinese/Russians? Look here first. unlimitedhaggersh-7 hours ago
168919No it was not the Russian if at all it was China Communist Party messing aroundHaim R. Branisteanu-8 hours ago
168918Chinese £3,200 budget electric car takes on Tesla A budget electric vehiclbull_dozer18 hours ago
168917Issuing a digital dollar or digital euro is nothing new it only saves printing pHaim R. Branisteanu-8 hours ago
168916I understand the qualifications very good.. and the optics.... but the optics maTheJackofHearts17 AM
168915Is gold going to get taken to 1500, then remains there for 3-4 years? Have livecarranza2-7 AM
168914It is not size.. sense.. it is will and culture...TheJackofHearts-7 AM
168913GME $150 at this time.Julius Wong-7 AM
168912 The U.S. system is DESIGNED to encourage if not require the minimizing of goverJulius Wong-7 AM
168911Americans are too sensitive :0) Cannot take a joke bloomberg.com China Says ITobagoJack-3 AM
168910Shall sit this round out even as I do not drink hard liquor guessing some folksTobagoJack-3 AM
168909Back to inflation subject for a round. Note that there be good and bad inflatioTobagoJack-3 AM
168908In poking at the market today, I did note a few things about silver.... One, Isense-1 AM
168907Wolf Richter on BTC. THE WOLF STREET REPORT: The Big “Buy & Hype” Bitcoin Litore Lapis-1 AM
168906A basic price versus value argument... Free markets... and even not free marketsense-12 AM
168905Just listened to the HKEX (0388.HK finance.yahoo.com ) follow-up call to their rTobagoJack-yesterday
168904<<DRD>> ... I do not understand it, and have been shorting May strikTobagoJack1yesterday
168903BTC is certainly all-risk-on, but institution up-take is assuredly real re <TobagoJack-yesterday
168902Added DRD at 9.24 and FNV at 110.xx. Really torn re: BTC. It has made for a nicarranza2-yesterday
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