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Strategies & Market Trends
Investment strategy
An SI Board Since March 1996
Posts SubjectMarks Bans
26 1 0
Emcee:  Spekulatius Type:  Unmoderated
I have been investing in stocks for 13 years, so I have a profound investment knowledge. Over the years, I have developed an investment strategy and made some handsome profits with stock market investments. However, I feel, that my strategy cannot by applied to the fast moving markets of techs stocks. Therfore I want to exchange knowledge with other experienced investors.

My strategy works as follows:

1.Watch only shares at rock bottom prices, they are oversold and might be a bargain.

2.Find out why the stock is sold! Sure the company has some problems! Find them out! Are they short term or are they serious. Be careful with long term problems!

3. Has the company a good management (at least in the past), strong balance sheet, large market share, good products. Is the company big in absolute figures (sev. bill. $ turnover). Buy value! (look at the book value, the value of competitors, P/E/ratios in the past, market capitalisation to revenues ratio) If the manegement is bad, has the CEO changed? (Good sign, but some bad news ahead!) Are their bad news ahead? Is the company acting in stable markets or in turbulent markets? A big company, with a sound balance sheet acting in stable markets will in most cases have a comeback! Buy only shares, you want to hold longterm! Buy quality companies, no junk! Do not buy long term underperformers, even if they seem to be cheap! Do not try to make quick trades.

4. Look at the charts! Has the stock price bottomed out ( W-chart/formation ?) It might be time to buy! Don't forget the general stock market condition. Is the leading index high? Then be careful!

This is my strategy, described in short words. Its best suited to blue chip shares. I did not touch tech stocks until now.However I feel that certain semi stock do fulfill my conditions. I like the intel stock very much and will buy it when it approaches the 50$ mark. I do not see another company with such a high investment quality which is undervalued so much. As a long term investor, I do not bother about one or two weak quarters. Also AMAT looks fine. However, I do not like poor dogs like National Semi, or DRAM-producers at the beginning of a downside cycle like MU. I do not like overvalued Internet stocks like Netscape etc either. The internet bubble has just begun to burst!

Any suggestions are welcome!
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26clownbuck....ironically I just located this board that you moderate "Investturnaround_seeker-3/2/2012
25 Mister Skew, no I do not use option prices to gauge the technical condition. ISpekulatius-11/12/1996
24 dear ralf, Apart from tech studies, do you also use option prices to gauge if mister skew-11/11/1996
23 Ralf, I think your overall strategy is a good one. One suggestion: Apply your steve cox-6/11/1996
21 Ernesto, you are right, with such a patient investment strategy I miss out manSpekulatius-6/5/1996
20 dear Ralf,...your style of investing is alright.The problem is one has to be exolduser-6/3/1996
19 Hello Ernesto, you are right, Apple seems to fit my investment criteria ver weSpekulatius-5/31/1996
18 hi ralf,from your criteria,woul you buy apple computer now?....ernie padillaolduser-5/28/1996
17 Hallo Madison, I think a have some investing experience, since I bought my firSpekulatius-3/20/1996
16 Well, Ralf, you sure aren't modest about your own abilities and good sense.olduser-3/19/1996
15 Hallo William, I think you are right, semis will be fine this week. However, ISpekulatius-3/18/1996
14 Hallo, Ralf: Even during the worst days of MU I always thought that there are mWilliam Vu-3/17/1996
13 Hallo William, no I wouldn't touch most DOW stocks. I think that the DOW mSpekulatius-3/17/1996
12 Hallo, Ralf: Does it mean that if the DOW stocks will go down then you will buWilliam Vu-3/15/1996
11 Hi William, see the later post for fundamental info on FSII. I like this stock Chilidawgz-3/13/1996
10 Check out the web site infras.com for a nice write-up on FSI International. I A. F. Brooks-3/13/1996
9 Hallo William, I didn't intend to say that your investment strategy is naiSpekulatius-3/13/1996
8 Hi, Ron: Thank you for your tip about FSII! I never heard about it (I am new tWilliam Vu-3/13/1996
7 Hallo, Ralf: I find your previous message very helpful. I admit that, to some eWilliam Vu-3/13/1996
6 Looking around the posts, I conclude that many investors here seem to have no iSpekulatius-3/13/1996
5 Hi William, i think you are right with your opinion with INTC.BTB numbers are Spekulatius-3/12/1996
4 William, check out FSII, looks like it's ready to run if the book to bill dChilidawgz-3/12/1996
3 Hi, Ralf: Unlike you, I am just a beginning small investor. I am not an engineWilliam Vu-3/11/1996
2 Dear Ron, I do not know anything about KLAC, seems to be just a small semicondSpekulatius-3/11/1996
1 Ralf, saw your post and tend to agree with your approach picking stocks. I likeChilidawgz-3/10/1996
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