We've detected that you're using an ad content blocking browser plug-in or feature. Ads provide a critical source of revenue to the continued operation of Silicon Investor.  We ask that you disable ad blocking while on Silicon Investor in the best interests of our community.  If you are not using an ad blocker but are still receiving this message, make sure your browser's tracking protection is set to the 'standard' level.
Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
3447 142 0 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

Useful Resources:

Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.

Previous 25 | Next 25 | View Recent | Post Message
Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):
ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
3447Here's another one of my proprietary indicators. This chart is for SPX. HeSun Tzu-42 minutes ago
3446I heard the Atlanta Fed this morning saying that the Fed does not take fiscal poSun Tzu-an hour ago
3445A tussle going on between different groups and the Govt. who wants to move the nSultan-12 AM
3444Proposed California rule would cut its solar market in half by 2024, says Wood MSun Tzu-yesterday
3443Goldman's chief commodity strategist sits down to discuss mega trends Jan. 1Sun Tzu1yesterday
3442It has occurred to me that Putin could be giving Ukrainians a taste of being a NSun Tzu4yesterday
3441For the record, I did not sell all the puts I had hoped to today, still had $1.5robert b furman2yesterday
3440When you look at the "normal" bull-bear scenarios (meaning excluding tSun Tzu-Monday
3439Hi Sun, Good recap on the alternatives. I think the down is close to over. Throbert b furman2Monday
3438You bet! Bobrobert b furman-Monday
3437Here’s how much money you have to earn to be in the top 1% in every US state PubSun Tzu-Monday
3436I'm glad its of value to you.Sun Tzu-Monday
3435Bob, And as you know, I loaded up on a lot of leveraged longs today. But I am nSun Tzu1Monday
3434Excellent post! Bobrobert b furman-Monday
3433The Dollar Milkshake Theory This guy has a good handle on half of the picture. Sun Tzu-Monday
3432Hi Sun, March of 2020 was a scary time: unknown shut down periods and huge goverobert b furman-Monday
3431I've written much about how and why the Fed has been inflating its way out oSun Tzu-Monday
3430Breadth and sector stats to go with that drawdown table. [tweet]Sun Tzu1Monday
3429Ad of last Friday, Put/call ratio (5d average) has spiked to highest since May 2Sun Tzu-Monday
3428State of the Market - Churn + Drawdown The table below is a 2022 version of a dSun Tzu1Monday
3427Hi Sun, I agree with your view. My CVX, XOM,PSX are too high to add to. I did robert b furman2Monday
3426I can't buy energy unless it pulls back. NRGD would have been a good trade Sun Tzu-Monday
3425Hi Sun, I was thinking that way at first as well. I then read a crude seasonalrobert b furman-Monday
3424A number of my GTC buys got filled today. A few of them are meant for longer terSun Tzu-Monday
3423Thanks.Johnny Canuck-Monday
Previous 25 | Next 25 | View Recent | Post Message
Go to reply# or date (mm/dd/yy):