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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
8644 173 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
8644MKTW... Bought some At $1.90 back in March. Added today at $1.25/sh Cheers, 60sixty2nds-Monday
8643Happy Monday morning! I added more UROY shares at $2.38 this morning. I'm nsixty2nds-Monday
8642H/T #Breeze Saudi Arabia has decided not to renew its 80-year petrodollar dSun Tzu1June 14
8641What Makes Or Breaks A Medical Innovation? Learning From Butterfly Network’s FliSultan-May 30
8640I hope it's nothing negative you need to attend to.kidl-May 30
8639I will be off for a while, and even if I post anything, I'm unlikely to be aSun Tzu2May 29
8638UROY follow up... Added to the UROY collection this last market week @ $2.63/shsixty2nds-May 25
8637Why every medical student should have a point-of-care ultrasound device Sultan-May 19
8636Coinbase Global Sell Rating due declining retail market In a report released onSun Tzu-May 16
8635UROY follow up... I added some shares @ $2.57 Seeking Alpha has the UROY markesixty2nds1May 14
8634The 7 Sins of quantitative algo trading! [graphic]Sun Tzu1May 14
8633GTC buy for CYTK filled@56.78 You see how scientifically I choose my GTC targetSun Tzu-May 13
8632My little fun story from this weekend. We went for Mothers' Day Brunch and Sun Tzu1May 12
8631The Monetary Frontier SubscribeSign in Tracking The Actual US Yield Curve And Sun Tzu1May 11
8630Here is Jim Simmons explaining every key concept of algo trading in a rare interSun Tzu2May 11
8629These Stocks Moved the Most Today: Novavax, Akamai, Sweetgreen, Taiwan Semi, ModSun Tzu-May 10
8628Arguments for and against doomsday debt scenario [X] It’s obvious why 1. Gov Sun Tzu1May 10
8627Allowing politics to cloud your judgement is a terrible way to be in the market.Sun Tzu-May 10
8626We've all heard the phrase stocks go up the stairs and down the elevator shaSun Tzu-May 10
8625Neo Performance Materials Rises on 1Q Profit in Challenging Climate May 10, 2024Sun Tzu-May 10
8624Fate Therapeutics Reports First Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Business UpdaSun Tzu-May 9
8623Quantum-Si Reports First Quarter 2024 Financial Results May 9, 202416:01 EDT [gSun Tzu-May 9
8622The BTC short play has a brief window to prove itself. Likely tomorrow, and TuesSun Tzu-May 9
8621Tesla Cuts More Jobs In China As Competition Heats Up May 9, 202410:03 EDT [graSun Tzu-May 9
8620bluebird bio Reports First Quarter 2024 Results and Highlights Operational ProgrSun Tzu-May 9
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