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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans
6007 166 0
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

Useful Resources:

Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.

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6007I actually saw the video of the guy speak (at CNBC or somewhere) and he was talkSun Tzu2yesterday
6006This is actually a rather old never authenticated quote to the best of my knowlekidl-yesterday
6005While I am doing my market fortune telling, add this to the deck: In the short tSun Tzu-yesterday
6004As I said it on a different thread, several of my indicators flipped on Friday. Sun Tzu-yesterday
6003Funny and true ;) [graphic]Sun Tzu1yesterday
6002I heard something profound along these lines retold by a CEO who went to BuffettSun Tzu1yesterday
6001Warren Buffett calls him the smartest man he knows: Charlie Munger. Together tSultan7yesterday
6000This geopolitical guru has some rather startling predictions for China in the corusset1last Friday
5999It is always wise to invest in yourself.Sun Tzu-last Friday
5998Thread [tweet]Sultan-last Friday
5997About 90 moves later, I wind the backgammon match 8 - 2 (game to 7), but I got dSun Tzu-last Tuesday
5996My first perfect backgammon game. It's a tie against the computer and stillSun Tzu-last Tuesday
5995Stoneco Ltd Cl A (STNE) reported 3rd Quarter September 2022 earnings of $0.07 peSun Tzu-November 17
5994Thank you. This is exactly how they are meant to be used.Sun Tzu-November 17
5993I like the sensitivity of the 1st indicator with the purple background, for someDarthS-November 17
5992Sun Tzu, I never know the underlying formulas and or algorithms of someone elseHairBall5November 17
5991Very interested. Thank you!tracor1November 17
5990I don't remember how Kuppy bought the Russian stocks. Here is a link to Advsixty2nds1November 17
5989Probably nothing because I don't trade in the daily time frame. <G> BuQone01November 17
5988Thanks. It is always good to be good in hated/uncrowded areas. There are a couSun Tzu-November 16
5987How did he buy Russian stocks? They were frozen here. I haven't had an updatLee Lichterman III-November 16
5986No, I am not trying to turn this into a trading thread. This is not what this dSun Tzu1November 16
5985Here's 2021 with my RSI and stoch at the top and the regular RSI at the bottSun Tzu-November 16
5984I've been enjoying this thread because you've focused on long term inveschip-November 16
5983I do not subscribe to Guppy's Event Driven Monitor. He has staffed it up ansixty2nds1November 16
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