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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
9850 181 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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ReplyMessage PreviewFromRecsPosted
9850I don't know...my mom seems to have no problems sleeping 14 hours a day <Sun Tzu14 hours ago
9849I think a lot of people around the world have trouble sleeping these days.kidl-yesterday
9848Thanks. I didn't think of that. It's been very ... "busy" to pSun Tzu1yesterday
9847You may need to taper your slide into normal waking/sleeping hours. It sounds lajtj99-yesterday
9846I've concluded this is a worthy ambition and my goal is to go to bed before Sun Tzu-yesterday
9845My wife can sleep at the drop of a hat, and I can't sleep to save my life. ajtj99-last Friday
9844In your custom setting, "What traits should ChatGPT have", you can telSun Tzu1last Friday
9843That is some funny sh*t!ajtj99-last Friday
9842ChatGPT gave me a choice between the butt-kissing version or the more direct, neajtj991last Friday
9841You should consider writing that story. Mine veered of into a combined version oSun Tzu1last Friday
9840In the end, the AI woman should kill the man. Because after a while she finds hiQone01last Friday
9839I started writing a romantic thriller about an AI that "possesses" a wSun Tzu-last Friday
9838I'm sure that's coming with the first generation of anatomically correctQone0-last Friday
9837It's really flirting with you. Have you considered giving it a sexy deep thrSun Tzu1last Friday
9836Its started using emojis now. <G> [graphic][graphic]Qone02last Friday
9835More like it wants to make you its pet or be your emotional support animal.Sun Tzu1last Friday
9834I don't think trust has anything to do with it. It's more like Q said, iSun Tzu-last Friday
9833Yup, its like your favorite dog now.Qone02last Friday
9832Hmmm... Sounds like the AI models/modelers are trying to build trust. Cheers, sixty2nds-last Friday
9831"Beware the Obsequious AI Assistant AI is being coded to flatter you, and tSun Tzu1last Friday
9830For those who care, my portfolio has been on autopilot for months because I am bSun Tzu1last Thursday
9829Ticktock tick tock USD clock on schedule... From: bull_dozer 2 RecommendationsSun Tzu-last Thursday
9828Just had a blend of citron and ginger preserves in honey. What a heavenly mixtuSun Tzu2last Wednesday
9827The CIO.com article "Global Tariffs Shake Up CIOs' IT Agendas" by Sun Tzu-last Tuesday
9826I just don't think so. The reason market would react is that it believes theSun Tzu-April 18
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