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Strategies & Market Trends
The Art of Investing
An SI Board Since August 1998
Posts SubjectMarks Bans Symbol
11058 189 1 PICK
Emcee:  Sun Tzu Type:  Moderated
Let's devote this forum to sharing the strategies and tactics for investors with an "intermediate" time horizon of two months to two years. There is no greater teacher than experience, so if you choose to graciously share your successes and failures in the market, or to discuss a current position you hold, may I suggest that you focus on explaining your investment criteria, and what would make you reconsider your position.

The distinction between investing and trading is subtle but significant. Here investing means a position that either you do not feel compelled to worry about over the next 6 - 60 months, or that if it takes a substantial hit (greater than 25% and ideally a 50% hit) then you will actually be excited about the opportunity to purchase more at those lower prices rather than worry about the hit to your portfolio. Another way to think about it is that if you were to take an extended vacation for a few months to somewhere without Internet, you'd be comfortable with your investment and it would not ruin your vacation to not be watching it.
Subjects that are relevant to this thread include:
(1) Why a stock or commodity is a great investment now (per above definition of investment)
(2) How you scan for your investments and ideas
(3) How you balance your portfolio and manage risk
(4) Where you think the market is headed (over the next 6 - 60 months) and how you'd play it.
(5) Overall market risk/danger signals
(6) How the valuation of your pick compares within its history, sector, and the broader market.
(7) Economic, sector, and company news - if and only if you put it in an investment context ([e.g. company XYZ is getting hammered due to poor EPS report, and is now selling at a historically low price-to-sales ratio)

Topics that are not welcomed:
(1) Daytrading technics
(2) Pumping/cheerleading a stock without any thoughtful analysis behind the post.

If you want to understand my trading/investing style, read the full thread below twice. He does a better job explaining my method than I have ever done myself. Then appreciate that I almost always follow the trend, unless and until I see a counter trend developing near my red/green lines. Those are the times where likely everyone has moved to one side of the boat and it may tip over.

Useful Resources:

Prof. Aswath Damodaran's investment valuation blog
Dr. Ed's Blog - Yardeni Research
Lyn Alden – Investment Strategy
How They Make Money
How to Analyze a 10-K
Research & Insights — Bridgewater Associates
Mohamed A. El-Erian
PIMCO Blog | PIMCO Blog
Newfound Research Blog
Ray Dalio - Bridgewater Associates
lazyportfolioetf.com
investopedia.com
evidenceinvestor.com
tipranks.com
zacks.com
simplywall.st
finviz.com
fknol.com
earningswhispers.com

marcellagerwerf.com

NOTE: US law by default treats all work as copyrighted. If you run a chat room or a newsletter, you must reference the ideas that you get from this board properly and give credit where it is due.


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11058BTW, this was my suggestion to another to another person who brought up PENG. ItSun Tzu-12 PM
11057I use a simple trick to help. I know most of you guys hate AI, but this one timeJamie153-yesterday
11056Even small companies are often impossible to figure out. There has been a trend Sun Tzu-yesterday
11055"It is turning into a Berkshire Hathaway" That's an interesting wJamie153-yesterday
11054For the traders amongst you: The best Monday trade is not known before the openSun Tzu-Saturday
11053Today's Movers UP DOWN [graphic] [graphic] ETFs [graphic] [graphic]Sun Tzu-last Friday
11052Speaking of Market Leaders... Hat tip to E K S... New Mexico is slow rolling asixty2nds-last Friday
11051Mapped: Where People Think Quality of Life Is Best Published 10 hours ago on JulSun Tzu-last Thursday
11050Netflix Revenue, Profit Grow Despite Concerns About Keeping Subscribers Hooked —Sun Tzu1last Thursday
11049As the leaders go, so does the market. One should always pay attention to the stSun Tzu2last Thursday
11048Thanks. I'm doing better than my benchmark, but still losing. If tomorrow isSun Tzu-last Thursday
11047Congrats! THAT helps with that 3 days of underperformance. Cheers, 60sixty2nds1last Thursday
11046Did you see LLY bought a new toy in your new sandbox? Cheers, 60sixty2nds-last Thursday
11045I've also heard. Pigs get fat. Hogs get slaughtered. Cheers, 6sixty2nds-last Thursday
11044I sold IONS when it gapped down. As you can see from the chart, that was a painfSun Tzu1last Thursday
11043I guess I should not complain about 40% gain in a couple of days, but Eli Lily gSun Tzu2last Thursday
11042There's an old saying, "Bulls make money. Bears make money. Pigs get slSun Tzu-last Thursday
11041Technically BFLY is now a sell (actually it was a sell a few days ago, but now iSun Tzu3last Wednesday
11040I was reading Jesse Livermore last night. It's amazing how much of his thinkSun Tzu1last Wednesday
11039BTW, in case anyone cares, I bought a bunch of ATAI today.Sun Tzu1last Tuesday
11038Why Is BlackBerry Stock Surging on Tuesday? Benzinga · Jul-14-2026 2:53 PM Sun Tzu1last Tuesday
11037Take a look at the ETH SBET owns and Stakes. I'm at a discount to ETH ownedsixty2nds1last Tuesday
11036Last week I pointed out that my portfolio had underperformed for 3 straight daysSun Tzu1last Tuesday
11035But my point was that market is treating SBET as an ETH repository, not a busineSun Tzu-last Tuesday
11034I'm thinking (always dangerous) the ETH bottom is in AND The price of ETHsixty2nds1last Tuesday
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