Derivatives: Darth Vader's Revenge
An SI Board Since August 1998
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Emcee:  Worswick Type:  Unmoderated
According to informed sources as of March of this year the Long TErm Credit Bank of Japan had approximately 50 trillion yen of derivative contracts $725 billion dollars as of the exhcange yen/dollar currency rates of August, 1998.

Now that LTCB is finally acknowledged to be broke what has happened to this exposure? Has $725 billion dollars gone to money heaven?

One worries.

What does this portend for our own banks where all derivative contracts appear to be cross linked?

Is the global financial system about to be swamped with between $100 trillion and $500 trillion in unresolvable derivative contracts?

Where does one hide in this scenario?

According to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York...."activities in the 1996 annual reports of a sample of the largest, internationally active banks and securities firms in the G-10 countries, and notes improvements since 1993. The analysis builds, in part, upon a framework used by the Federal Reserve in analyzing the trading and derivatives disclosures of major U.S. banking organizations.

In total, 79 major banks and securities firms in the G-10 countries comprised the sample reviewed for the 1993-1996 period, representing over $14 trillion in total assets and over $83 trillion in notional amounts of derivative instruments. Disclosures in the 1995 and 1996 annual reports of a major securities firm in Hong Kong were also reviewed.

The analysis revealed that there have been general improvements as well as voluntary innovations in the annual report disclosures of a number of the surveyed firms. In particular, there were notable improvements in quantitative disclosures about market risk in 1996 and 1995. However, despite encouraging advances in disclosure practices by a number of institutions in the G-10 countries, many institutions continued to disclose very little about their trading and derivatives activities".

Please See:

...for the full text of the 37 page report and the abstract.

Personally, I am worried about this.

I am surprised that a discussion of one of the most pressing questions of our time.... has not been addressed sooner.

Thanks for your consideration and, I hope, interest.

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2690At Jesse's Cafe This op-ed is total rewrggersh-September 9
2689When I click on your link, it brings me back to the SI post. With a pdf link at bruiser98-August 6
2688Martin Armstrong made some very good points a few days ago. The excessive amouncarranza2-August 5
2687Agree, the public only has time for their Iphone sadly nothing else matters ggeggersh-July 30
2686Well that is something to wake the nearly comatose isn't it? We seem to be Worswick-July 30
2685We've reached the quad mark? the leap from tril to quad, at the speed of ligggersh1July 25
2684Great interview, thanks for posting it.Sam-June 24
2683 Paul Tudor Jones: Here's why the 1987 crash was an accident wWorswick2June 24
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2679What could possibly go wrong here? U.S. SEC approves request toggersh45/3/2017
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2676I must say having posted hundreds of times on this Blog since it's beginningWorswick-2/3/2017
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2674The dollar the now most fungible financial instrument ... for a bit anywhere ..Worswick110/16/2016
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2671Deutsche Bank ’s Problems Could Snowball... As Soon As Next Week! For the chartWorswick110/2/2016
2670According To JPMorgan, This Is The Biggest Risk Facing Deutsche Bank At This PoiWorswick110/2/2016
2669Never seen it put like that, but ya it's time for Yellen to go in SWAP mode.ggersh19/27/2016
2668AH, YES TIME TO POST AGAIN Deutsche Bank on the buffers. .... it is probably tWorswick39/27/2016
2667I'm not sure that this belongs on this thread, but it has to do with bankingSam-9/14/2016
2666Riding the Pestilence .... Everyone ready to rock and roll? Worswick-8/8/2016
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