Silicon Investor - Hurricane and Severe Weather Tracking

[Ron] Tropical activity beginning to pick up in the Atlantic, although chances for dev...

Ron — 7/16/2026 2:36:22 PM

Tropical activity beginning to pick up in the Atlantic, although chances for development of both these storms, remain low - especially with the amount of dust in both areas.

[Ron] Typhoon Bavi may graze northern end of Taiwan as it heads for China news.laodon...

Ron — 7/9/2026 1:33:36 PM

Typhoon Bavi may graze northern end of Taiwan as it heads for China
news.laodong.vn

[Ron] As El Nino gets stronger....good news for the Atlantic, but not the Pacific [X...

Ron — 7/8/2026 8:30:22 PM

As El Nino gets stronger....good news for the Atlantic, but not the Pacific

[X]

GREAT NEWS! Colorado State University is now predicting the quietest hurricane season in 13 years – if not longer!

We're expecting well below-average activity across the Atlantic thanks to sinking air and near-average water temperatures. Harsh upper-level winds will also tear… pic.twitter.com/RyMzcEm5CV
— MyRadar Weather (@MyRadarWX) July 8, 2026

[/X]

[Ron] Presuming it's people. Snakes get eaten all the time.... have had Rattlesnake p...

Ron — 7/7/2026 9:26:12 AM

Presuming it's people. Snakes get eaten all the time.... have had Rattlesnake pizza.. delicious.

[Wharf Rat] "900 snakes escape snake farm- many bitten" They're biting the snakes? :>)

Wharf Rat — 7/7/2026 9:09:05 AM

[Ron] And now for something completely different.... China floods: 900 snakes esca...

Ron — 7/7/2026 9:06:55 AM

And now for something completely different....

China floods: 900 snakes escape snake farm- many bitten
globaltimes.cn

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] Here’s a look at the radar, both reflectivity and the velocity, as #B...

Wharf Rat — 7/6/2026 3:27:12 PM

[bluesky]

Here’s a look at the radar, both reflectivity and the velocity, as #Bavi makes landfall.
— Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-07-06T02:31:46.236Z

[/bluesky]

[bluesky]

The latest on Super Typhoon #Bavi, still at Cat 5 strength as it heads toward a Friday encounter with northern Taiwan and/or Japan's Ryukyu Islands. yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/cat-...
— Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-07-06T16:29:55.001Z

[/bluesky]

[Ron] Scientists: Odds increase for a record-strong El Niño this year and more extreme...

Ron — 7/6/2026 12:53:47 PM

Scientists: Odds increase for a record-strong El Niño this year and more extreme
weather ahead.
cnn.com

[Ron] Bavi still 160 mph, after a glancing blow on Rota, the island north of Guam A T...

Ron — 7/6/2026 12:00:47 PM

Bavi still 160 mph, after a glancing blow on Rota, the island north of Guam
A Taiwan hit still a possibility this far out, Northern China as well
zoom.earth

[Ron] Most likely will pass between Guam and Rota.. of course Guam is well prepared fo...

Ron — 7/5/2026 3:32:28 PM

Most likely will pass between Guam and Rota.. of course Guam is well prepared for such storms, with the US Navy, Air Force and Marine bases located there. Big storm, though.

ventusky.com

wunderground.com

[Don Green] From what I can tell, there won’t be a landfall near Guam, but it will pass clos...

Don Green — 7/5/2026 1:10:52 PM

From what I can tell, there won’t be a landfall near Guam, but it will pass close by.

What the latest official data shows Across multiple authoritative sources, Super Typhoon Bavi is tracking between Rota and Tinian, generally just north of Guam, not directly over it:

The forecast track has shifted slightly south but still places the center between Rota and Tinian, near but not directly over Guam.
Model guidance continues to show a path near or just north of Rota, with Guam on the southern edge of the core.
At 1 AM ChST, the center was 115 miles east of Guam, moving west, expected to pass near Rota.
The National Weather Service notes Bavi will pass through the Marianas as a Category 5, with Guam experiencing severe conditions but not the direct eyewall hit.

What this means for Guam Even without a direct landfall, Guam is still inside the storm’s massive wind field:

Typhoon-force winds extend 60 miles from the center; tropical-storm-force winds extend 185–230 miles. Guam is well within that radius.
Guam is forecast to see 50–70 mph sustained winds, gusts to 85 mph, plus flooding and coastal inundation.
Rainfall totals of 12–20 inches are possible, creating flash-flood and mudslide risks.

?? Bottom line: Bavi’s core is not expected to make landfall on Guam, passing north of the island near Rota. But Guam will still experience dangerous winds, flooding, and coastal impacts because of the storm’s size and intensity.

If you want, I can pull the latest live track, Windy model view, or NWS Guam updates to confirm whether the track is shifting.

[Ron] More,,, [bluesky] Evacuations in Guam as super typhoon Bavi approaches- the Pa...

Ron — 7/5/2026 12:41:10 PM

More,,,

[bluesky]

Evacuations in Guam as super typhoon Bavi approaches- the Pacific, under the influence of El Nino is active this year #hurricanes www.bbc.com/news/article...
— James Aura (@jamesaura.bsky.social) 2026-07-05T16:39:34.392Z

[/bluesky]

[Don Green] Guam weather — next 36 hours, Guam local time / ChST This is not routine rain. ...

Don Green — 7/5/2026 11:26:03 AM

Guam weather — next 36 hours, Guam local time / ChST

This is not routine rain. Guam is under a Typhoon Warning, with Flood Watch, Coastal Flood Warning, and High Surf Warning conditions active on the NWS Guam forecast page. Current observation at Guam International Airport was 79°F, overcast and windy, NW wind 47 mph gusting to 71 mph, humidity 94%, visibility 1.75 miles, updated 12:54 AM ChST Monday, July 6. ( National Weather Service)

Now through Monday daytime: Expect tropical-storm conditions, heavy rain, thunderstorms, and very poor travel conditions. NWS gives 100% precipitation risk for Monday, with heavy rainfall possible and a high near 84°F. ( National Weather Service)

Monday night: Still dangerous. NWS forecasts showers and thunderstorms, heavy rainfall, and south winds 38–43 mph, easing somewhat after midnight, with gusts up to 55 mph. Rain chance remains 100%. ( National Weather Service)

Tuesday daytime: Conditions improve but remain unstable: showers likely, possible thunderstorm, high near 85°F, south wind 21–30 mph, gusts up to 39 mph, rain chance about 60%. ( National Weather Service)

Main hazards: damaging wind, flash flooding, mudslides, coastal flooding, and dangerous surf. The NWS local typhoon statement said Super Typhoon Bavi was a Category 5 system, about 190 miles east of Guam at 8 PM ChST Sunday, moving northwest, with Guam forecast for 50–60 mph sustained winds and gusts to 80 mph, plus 10–14 inches of rainfall through Tuesday. ( National Weather Service)

Practical read: stay sheltered until official all-clear, avoid coastal areas entirely, do not attempt water activity, and avoid driving unless it is an emergency.

[Don Green] The importance of Hurricanes 5 Things Hurricanes Can Do That Are Actually Good ...

Don Green — 7/5/2026 10:29:39 AM

The importance of Hurricanes

5 Things Hurricanes Can Do That Are Actually Good
Message 35566409

Hurricanes are important for several reasons:

They play a crucial role in maintaining the balance of ecosystems, particularly in coastal areas where they can help sustain mangrove forests, which are vital for biodiversity and climate regulation Meteorología en Red.
Hurricanes contribute to the redistribution of heat and moisture in the atmosphere, influencing weather patterns and climate naturechirp.com.
While they can cause significant destruction, hurricanes also bring benefits, such as replenishing wetlands and providing nutrients to coastal ecosystems The Weather Channel.
Understanding hurricanes is essential for disaster preparedness and response, as they pose serious threats to human life and property Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution+1.

Overall, hurricanes are a natural phenomenon that, despite their destructive potential, play a significant role in the Earth's ecological and climatic systems.

[Ron] Heavy rains have left five people dead in northern China while a tropical stor...

Ron — 7/5/2026 9:11:13 AM

Heavy rains have left five people dead in northern China while a tropical storm toppled trees and submerged cars in the nation’s south, state media reported Sunday.
cbs17.com

A second storm, Typhoon Bavi also headed for China.

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] Intensifying El Niño events, like the one we're in now, tend to favor...

Wharf Rat — 7/4/2026 5:28:13 PM

[bluesky]

Intensifying El Niño events, like the one we're in now, tend to favor long-track Pacific typhoons over Atlantic hurricanes. And away we go... :-/ @climateconnections.bsky.social
— Bob Henson (@bhensonweather.bsky.social) 2026-07-03T22:22:44.345Z

[/bluesky]

[S. maltophilia] Super Typhoon Bavi becomes the 3rd Cat 5 of 2026 Bavi is expecte...

S. maltophilia — 7/4/2026 1:34:29 AM

Super Typhoon Bavi becomes the 3rd Cat 5 of 2026
Bavi is expected to pass through the U.S. Northern Mariana Islands near Tinian and Saipan islands Sunday afternoon (U.S. EDT) as a Cat 5, potentially causing catastrophic damage.

by Jeff Masters July 3, 2026

Visible satellite image of Typhoon Bavi at 4:10 p.m. EDT Jul 3, 2026 (dawn local time Monday in the Northern Mariana Islands and Guam). (Image credit: NOAA/RAMMB/Colorado State University)

Typhoon Bavi put on a rare display of rapid intensification over the warm Pacific waters east of Guam on Thursday and Friday, becoming the world’s third Category 5 tropical cyclone of the year at 2 p.m. EDT July 3, with 160 mph (260 km/h) winds, according to the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Bavi intensified by 75 mph (120 km/h) in the 24 hours ending at 12Z Friday, and 100 mph (160 km/h) in the 36 hours ending at 18Z Friday — far exceeding the official definition of rapid

yaleclimateconnections.org

[X]

Bavi has now strengthen into a super typhoon with 140 kt (160 mph) sustained winds with a pressure of 921 MB. Bavi has dropped 61 MB in pressure over the last 24 hours which is explosive intensification given the low shear and hot sea temps.

There remains no sign of an EWRC… pic.twitter.com/XZfRtwpBMa
— StormHQ ☈ (@StormHQwx) July 3, 2026

[/X]

[Don Green] [graphic]

Don Green — 7/2/2026 5:23:26 PM

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] After a severe battering by Cat 4 Typhoon Sinlaku in April, the islan...

Wharf Rat — 7/2/2026 4:34:13 PM

[bluesky]

After a severe battering by Cat 4 Typhoon Sinlaku in April, the islands of Tinian and Saipan brace for a potential Cat 4 or Cat 5 impact by Bavi on Sunday. @irenesans.bsky.social and I have the latest: yaleclimateconnections.org/2026/07/typh...
— Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-07-02T17:30:21.268Z

[/bluesky]

[Don Green] Arctic temperatures running at historically low levels as we begin the summer se...

Don Green — 6/30/2026 5:13:06 PM

Arctic temperatures running at historically low levels as we begin the summer season…portions of the Atlantic Ocean have cooled quite noticeably in the past year…perhaps signals of a changing AMO

This plot compares actual temperatures (orange) to mean temperatures (blue) in the Arctic region during 2026. Following long-term trends, temperatures during the cold season months were generally well above normal. And, if long-term trends hold true for the summer (melting) season, temperatures during June, July, and August should run at or below normal (“normal” is near freezing). In fact, temperatures in the Arctic region during the first half of June 2026 are running at historically low levels relative to normal...not seen during this time of year since data records began in 1958. As long as temperatures remain at or below normal during the summer (melting) season, there will likely be a limit to the amount of additional melting that can take place with respect to the Arctic sea ice. Data courtesy Danish Meteorological Institute

Overview

The summer season is upon us, and probabilities are quite high that overall temperatures in the Arctic region will be at or below normal if long-term trends hold true. In fact, temperatures in the Arctic region during the first half of June are at historically low levels when compared to any year back to 1958 which is when data records began for this area. Interestingly, water temperatures in portions of the Atlantic Ocean have cooled off quite noticeably during the past year or so and cooler-than-normal water in the Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic can have an inhibiting effect on tropical activity. Perhaps this change in water temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean and the drastic start to the summer season with respect to temperatures in the Arctic is signaling an upcoming change in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) which has been in a “positive” phase since the middle 1990’s.

“Normal” temperatures in the Arctic region during the summer season are right around the 32 degree (F) freezing mark and as long as temperatures average at or below normal, additional melting of Arctic sea ice will have its limitations. Meanwhile, the other nine months of the year in the Arctic region have consistently featured above normal temperatures in recent years. One possible explanation of this persistent temperature pattern in the Arctic region featuring nearly normal to below-normal summertime conditions and warmer-than-normal weather during the coldest nine months of the year is increased levels of water vapor in the atmosphere.

The temperature pattern in the Arctic region during the last three years has featured nearly normal levels during the summer (melting) season of June, July, and August, and above-normal conditions during the other (coldest) nine months of the year. In fact, this kind of annual temperature pattern in the Arctic region has been quite consistent since the turn of the century. Data courtesy Danish Meteorological Institute

Arctic temperatures and the impact on sea ice

Temperatures have followed a persistent trend in the Arctic region during the past several years, in fact, this pattern has persisted going all the way back to the beginning of the 21st Century. Specifically, temperatures have been running at or below normal levels during the all-important summer (melting) season of June, July, and August, and at well above-normal levels during the remaining nine (cold) months of the year. It is the temperatures in the summer months, however, which are most important when it comes to Arctic sea ice extent as this is the melting season up in that part of the world. Nearly normal temperatures in the Arctic’s summer season are typically around the freezing mark and, as long as they remain there during the melting (summer) seasons, chances of any additional significant drop-off in Arctic sea ice will be limited. Well above-normal temperatures in the other nine (cold) months of the year have a minimal impact on the melting of Arctic sea ice as they are typically well below the freezing mark. Indeed, with this dependable temperature trend in recent years, Arctic sea ice has been rather resilient both in terms of extent and volume, going back at least a decade or so.

Graph showing monthly Arctic sea ice extent since January 2000. The area covered by sea ice is defined as having at least 15% sea ice cover. The thin blue line shows monthly values, and the thick blue line shows the simple running 37-month average with consistent levels during the past decade or so showing some resiliency in Arctic sea ice. The red (horizontal) line shows the 1979-2024 average of Arctic sea ice. Data provided by the National Snow and Ice Data Center (NSIDC). Last month shown: May 2026. Latest figure update: 10 June 2026.

Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) and Atlantic Ocean temperatures

Arctic sea ice extent has been running at below-normal levels since the middle 1990’s at which time there was an important shift in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) to one featuring warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in the North Atlantic Ocean. Interestingly, portions of the Atlantic Ocean have cooled significantly during the past year or so and cooler-than-normal water in the Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic may have an important impact on the tropical season (inhibits tropical storm development or intensification).

Water temperatures have dropped quite noticeably in portions of the Atlantic from a year ago and cooler-than-normal conditions in the Main Development Region of the tropical Atlantic can have a limiting effect on tropical activity. Map courtesy NOAA, Dr. Ryan Maue, X, weathermodels.com

The Arctic sea ice extent headed steadily downward after that AMO shift and reached its lowest point in 2012 at levels not seen before during the satellite era which goes back to the late 1970’s. Since then, however, Arctic sea ice extent has held rather steady with a general sideways trend during the past decade or so. Some recent studies confirm the “resiliency” seen during recent years in Arctic sea ice extent and have found that it not only has been detected during the month of September - the time of annual minimum - but has been evident in each and every other month of the year. Perhaps the cooling of portions of the North Atlantic and historically cold start to the summer season in the Arctic region is a signal that the AMO is about to transition from its “positive” phase to “neutral” or “negative” in the months and years to come...something we’ll monitor closely at arcfieldweather.com.

Anomaly of the +80N mean temperature index is shown here back to 1960, compared with climate (annual mean minus the corresponding climate value). The “Winter mean” (blue) and “Annual mean” (black) anomalies have steadily climbed since the middle 1990s. The “Summer mean” (red) anomaly, however, has held steady at nearly normal levels since 1960 and this is the critical melting season in the Arctic region. An important shift in the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) took place during the middle 1990’s (indicated by arrow) when it flipped from a “negative-to-positive” phase. Perhaps the historically cold start to this summer season in the Arctic region is a signal that the AMO is about to transition from its “positive” phase into “neutral” or “negative”. Reference climate is ECMWF-ERA40 1958-2002. Plot courtesy Danish Meteorological Institute

The possible important role of water vapor

The somewhat strange behavior of the temperatures in the Arctic region in recent years with at or below normal summer seasons, and the warmer-than-normal conditions during the other (coldest) nine months of the year suggests to me that water vapor may be playing a key role. Water vapor content has increased on average around the world during the past couple of decades largely as the result of warmer-than-normal sea surface temperatures in both the North Atlantic (positive AMO) and the Pacific Ocean (multiple El Nino events). Warmer-than-normal water temperatures lead to increased evaporation and this, in turn, results in higher water vapor content in the atmosphere.

A key point here is that an increase in water vapor will have a bigger impact on temperatures in very cold and dry environments and less impact on warmer and more humid atmospheres. In other words, if water vapor is indeed increased throughout the world, the impact on temperatures in the tropics - where it is warm and humid throughout the year - would be quite small compared to its impact in the Arctic region. And in the Arctic region, an overall increase in water vapor content would have a much bigger impact on temperatures in the coldest nine months of the year when it can be extremely cold and dry as compared with the typically warmer and more humid summer (melting) season…all leading to the somewhat odd temperature pattern that we have seen in the Arctic region in virtually all years since the turn of the century.

Meteorologist Paul Dorian
Arcfield
arcfieldweather.com

[Jack of All Trades] Arctic on track to have it's coldest summer since record keeping starting in 195...

Jack of All Trades — 6/30/2026 4:31:40 PM

Arctic on track to have it's coldest summer since record keeping starting in 1958.

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] TS Arthur's moisture dumped 29.06" in <12 hours at Cottonport, LA. Ac...

Wharf Rat — 6/25/2026 6:24:21 PM

[bluesky]

TS Arthur's moisture dumped 29.06" in <12 hours at Cottonport, LA. According to weather historian Chris Burt, if confirmed by NOAA, this would be the highest official 12-hour rainfall in U.S. history. Unofficial record: 34.30" in Smethport, PA on July 18, 1942. 1/4
— Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-06-25T00:58:30.310Z

[/bluesky]

[Don Green] Alex Thanks, for the earthquake Post it is important but if possible send the n...

Don Green — 6/25/2026 2:17:37 PM

Alex

Thanks, for the earthquake Post it is important but if possible send the non serve -hurricane weather related post to this site All Things Weather and Mother Nature Subject 60248

Don

[Alex MG] [X] The official death toll in Venezuela is 32. The US Geological Survey's own ...

Alex MG — 6/25/2026 12:39:56 PM

[X]

The official death toll in Venezuela is 32. The US Geological Survey's own models estimate the real number will most likely reach the thousands, with a serious chance of passing 10,000 or maybe towards 100,000 as per some reports. The most important figure in this disaster is the…
— Shanaka Anslem Perera ⚡ (@shanaka86) June 25, 2026

[/X]
[X]

😢Así vivieron esta pareja de ancianos el terremoto de #Venezuela

Dos fuertes sismos sacudieron el miércoles el oeste de la capital de Venezuela, provocando el derrumbe de edificios en #Caracas, dejando personas atrapadas bajo los escombros, y llevaron a científicos a estimar… pic.twitter.com/aci0yLAxSe
— Cristian Crespo F. 🇨🇺 (@cristiancrespoj) June 25, 2026

[/X]

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] I stole this from the Worldcup subreddit because it makes a very good...

Wharf Rat — 6/23/2026 4:25:59 PM

[bluesky]

I stole this from the Worldcup subreddit because it makes a very good point.
— wes(is no longer)injapan (@wesinjapan.bsky.social) 2026-06-22T23:21:42.324Z

[/bluesky]

[Ron] Illinois has already surpassed its record year for tornado reports The state...

Ron — 6/21/2026 2:01:19 PM

Illinois has already surpassed its record year for tornado reports
The state of Illinois has already seen more tornado reports than it has in any year since records began, while "tornado alley" states are lagging behind this year in the annual tornado tally.

accuweather.com

Storm chasers have been moving into Illinois this year...

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] Considering Louisiana’s history of extreme rainstorms, Arthur’s delug...

Wharf Rat — 6/19/2026 6:12:03 PM

[bluesky]

Considering Louisiana’s history of extreme rainstorms, Arthur’s deluge was quite a feat: “If the 23.35” rainfall report at the CWOP site at Plaucheville, LA is verified, it will set a new 24-hour rainfall record for the state of Louisiana. Nearly all of this rain fell in only 6 hours.”
— Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-06-19T19:21:52.117Z

[/bluesky]

[bluesky]

Huge rain along the Gulf Coast with big #flooding. 2 feet of rain in spots with a return interval of 200 years. #Arthur
— Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-06-19T02:37:18.535Z

[/bluesky]

[Ron] A chance Arthur could recreate as a 'zombie storm' as it reaches the Atlantic. ...

Ron — 6/19/2026 8:43:05 AM

A chance Arthur could recreate as a 'zombie storm' as it reaches the Atlantic.
And the remnants have brought widespread flooding to Mississippi.

weather.com

weather.com

What choo talkin about Arthur?... we don't need no zombie storms............

Ocean temp off Wilmington NC running 82 degrees.

[S. maltophilia] Ditto the central Texas hill country flood of 2025. No defined closed circulatio...

S. maltophilia — 6/18/2026 1:00:52 PM

Ditto the central Texas hill country flood of 2025. No defined closed circulation required.

[Ron] The remains of Tropical storms can do huge damage. Helene in the Blue Ridge Moun...

Ron — 6/18/2026 12:32:38 PM

The remains of Tropical storms can do huge damage. Helene in the Blue Ridge Mountains 2 years ago
and Fred, which decimated Canton NC also in the mountains. (2021)

Then last year there was tropical depression Chantal, dumping 10 to 13 inches of rain on several central NC communities. So around here, we pay attention...

[bluesky]

If there's another Tropical Storm Chantal, Carrboro wants to be ready this hurricane season #ncwx
— NC Stories (@ncstories.bsky.social) 2026-06-16T14:12:00.879Z

[/bluesky]

[S. maltophilia] tornado Just a concentrated closed circulation even North Dakotans,and Canadian...

S. maltophilia — 6/18/2026 11:38:32 AM

tornado

Just a concentrated closed circulation even North Dakotans,and Canadians get. And all too common as a dying tantrum of a tropical cyclone.

Good you're OK

[Alex MG] Not so fast. We just had a tornado rip through the hood. Power outage, tree limb...

Alex MG — 6/18/2026 7:47:44 AM

Not so fast. We just had a tornado rip through the hood.
Power outage, tree limbs down. Ripped the flagpole off my front porch. But no major damage here appears.

[S. maltophilia] Arthur, we hardly kew you. nhc.noaa.gov

S. maltophilia — 6/17/2026 10:53:34 PM

[Benny-Rubin] Tropical Storm Arthur officially forms wgno.com

Benny-Rubin — 6/17/2026 11:29:32 AM

[EL KABONG!!!] Looks like Arthur (if he's named) will be heading right into Port Arthur, How ap...

EL KABONG!!! — 6/16/2026 1:51:32 PM

Looks like Arthur (if he's named) will be heading right into Port Arthur, How apt...

EK!!!

[Ron] Tropical depression forms southwest of Houston, if it develops further to be nam...

Ron — 6/16/2026 12:37:19 PM

Tropical depression forms southwest of Houston, if it develops further to be named Arthur.
Flood advisories issued from Texas to Louisiana

[Ron] National Hurricane Center gives this low pressure system a 40% chance for develo...

Ron — 6/14/2026 3:49:39 PM

National Hurricane Center gives this low pressure system a 40% chance for development.
It may re-enter the Gulf from Southern Texas and Louisiana where flash flood watches are posted.

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] Breaking: National Weather Service declares El Nino is here and has a...

Wharf Rat — 6/11/2026 6:11:59 PM

[bluesky]

Breaking: National Weather Service declares El Nino is here and has a high chance to become very strong, ranking among the strongest on record. More info: www.capitalweather.com/weather-serv...
— Capital Weather (@capitalweather.bsky.social) 2026-06-11T14:19:05.203Z

[/bluesky]

[bluesky]

Japanese Meteorological Service (JMA) didn’t plan for this… To be fair neither have the other services. That’s how off the charts these forecasts are. Now we wait to see if they verify. #ElNino
— Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-06-11T02:37:31.844Z

[/bluesky]

[bluesky]

Ouch. Flood protection infrustructure is typically designed for a 1-in-50-year or 1-in-100-year flood. New study finds, “At nearly half of the 130 sites analyzed in the study, a flood expected once every 100 years in 1900 now occurs at least once per decade.” news.tulane.edu/pr/sea-level...
— Dr. Jeff Masters (@drjeffmasters.bsky.social) 2026-06-11T00:03:07.179Z

[/bluesky]

[Ron] Christina weakens to a tropical depression... [graphic]

Ron — 6/11/2026 5:41:31 PM

Christina weakens to a tropical depression...

[EL KABONG!!!] We gotta keep a close eye on these two storms... Looks to me like the one (Guate...

EL KABONG!!! — 6/8/2026 1:17:19 PM

We gotta keep a close eye on these two storms... Looks to me like the one (Guatemala) might easily cross over into the Gulf where it could beeline to somewhere in the southern USA. While the other storm (Acapulco) is not as direct a line in crossing, it too is well placed to cross over to the Gulf if or when it feels like it... Keep all eyes open...

EK!!!

[Ron] Tropical Storm Boris heads for the Mexican coast near Acapulco nhc.noaa.gov an...

Ron — 6/8/2026 11:00:37 AM

Tropical Storm Boris heads for the Mexican coast near Acapulco
nhc.noaa.gov

and a tropical depression has formed with landfall likely in Guatemala

nhc.noaa.gov

[Benny-Rubin] I do agree. The E-PAC too IMHO. looking for some home grown. :)

Benny-Rubin — 6/2/2026 1:41:45 PM

[Don Green] I think Southeast Asia and Hawaii are both very vulnerable areas to watch. this ...

Don Green — 6/1/2026 8:34:22 PM

I think Southeast Asia and Hawaii are both very vulnerable areas to watch. this season

[S. maltophilia] ..but it is June 1st: Jangmi's been around for a few days, and that thing that ...

S. maltophilia — 6/1/2026 5:54:30 PM

..but it is June 1st:

Jangmi's been around for a few days, and that thing that turned red in the Eastern Pacific today has started getting NOAA's attention last week.

Japan is happy to see Jangmi fading back some.

[Benny-Rubin] E_Pac hurricane season begins May 15th

Benny-Rubin — 6/1/2026 5:48:59 PM

[Ron] That was quick...but it is June 1st: Three tropical depressions and a tropical s...

Ron — 6/1/2026 5:31:18 PM

That was quick...but it is June 1st: Three tropical depressions and a tropical storm in the Pacific

[S. maltophilia] [graphic] 90% within 7 days. Fish or Hawaii?

S. maltophilia — 6/1/2026 12:54:59 PM

90% within 7 days. Fish or Hawaii?

[Bonefish] Hype. Watch my channel. Danger is my business. Lol

Bonefish — 5/30/2026 7:05:43 PM

[Wharf Rat] [bluesky] Central Florida is a Hurricane Magnet! How many of you have experienc...

Wharf Rat — 5/29/2026 6:53:17 PM

[bluesky]

Central Florida is a Hurricane Magnet! How many of you have experienced one of these storms? It’s remarkable - almost hard to believe - that all these storms in the past ~20 years have passed right over the same area! I did a #hurricane talk in C FL and I showed this graphic… 1/
— Jeff Berardelli (@weatherprof.bsky.social) 2026-05-29T13:51:47.517Z

[/bluesky]

[Ron] Hurricane season starts June 1st. A look at monthly averages for the Atlantic an...

Ron — 5/28/2026 10:58:38 AM

Hurricane season starts June 1st. A look at monthly averages for the Atlantic and Pacific seasons. Predictions for a lighter than average Atlantic season mean we could still get major hurricanes:
nhc.noaa.gov

noaa.gov

The NC mountains had torrential rains and flooding this week. That area is still recovering from
Helene in 20244.
britannica.com

Even Tropical Storm Chantal, caused major damage in the southeast last year. (flooding)
weather.gov