Silicon Investor - Technology Stocks & Market Talk With Don Wolanchuk

[rdkflorida2] You are using "unrealistic" numbers for me. Here is a real world trade. LTUM. ...

rdkflorida2 — 6/12/2026 1:02:11 PM

You are using "unrealistic" numbers for me. Here is a real world trade. LTUM. Bought 40K at 0.04 avg. Sold 40K at 0.30 (avg. not all in one trade.) PPS for LTUM continued to run to 0.44. Currently just started buying back 0.05. 10K. You can go back and look at the PPS history for LTUM. This trade made up for losses from other trades and gave me a huge profit to boot. Now, I do get what you are saying. I'm not looking for that kind of move for MVIS. TWT if I am right. Again, thanks for your chart work. RDK

[#Breeze] INTC Wave Count Update. Intermediate Wave (4) is complete. Intermediate Wave (5)...

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 12:45:27 PM

INTC Wave Count Update. Intermediate Wave (4) is complete. Intermediate Wave (5) is in play with a target of 169.45. Breeze

[#Breeze] All the Space stocks got hit today with the SpaceX IPO today. ie., FLY and ASTS.

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 12:33:23 PM

[#Breeze] Here's the challenge. Say you want to put 100K in this stock. That's 270K shares...

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 12:29:57 PM

Here's the challenge. Say you want to put 100K in this stock. That's 270K shares. Even if you built a position that large, selling that number of shares in a transaction:

"The overall average trade size on a US stock transaction is roughly 150 to 250 shares, though the exact average varies heavily by the stock's price. Because MicroVision (MVIS) trades at a very low price (under $1), its average transaction size is significantly larger than a high-priced stock like Nvidia or Microsoft"

The primary challenge for selling 270,000 shares of MicroVision ( MVIS) in a single transaction is severe localized order book slippage, rather than the absolute cash size of the position. [ 1]
At current June 2026 market prices of roughly $0.37 per share, 270,000 shares equates to only about $100,000 in total cash value. While $100,000 is a routine trade size for institutions, trying to force all 270,000 shares through a single market order on the public exchange introduces significant friction. [ 1]

1. Localized Order Book Depth (Slippage)
The main roadblock is the instantaneous depth of the MVIS order book. Public market makers do not usually sit with $100,000 worth of standing "Buy" orders at a single exact price layer. [ 1]

The Problem: If a trader dumps 270,000 shares instantly via a market order, it will exhaust the highest available bid price within microseconds.
The Result: The remainder of the order will cascade down through the order book, absorbing lower and lower bids. The seller will suffer massive negative slippage, getting filled at progressively worse prices and cutting into their total payout.

2. High Retail Composition
MVIS has historically high retail ownership. [ 1]

The Problem: Unlike an institutional darling heavily backed by deep liquidity providers, a massive portion of daily MVIS volume consists of small, scattered retail trades. [ 1]
The Result: The order book is "thin." A sudden 270,000-share market sweep will act like a boulder thrown into a shallow pond, causing a sharp, immediate spike downward in the stock's intraday price.

3. Immediate Algorithmic Backlash
Modern market makers and high-frequency trading (HFT) algorithms monitor the time-and-sales tape for anomalies.

The Problem: A single, massive print of 270,000 shares on the public tape signals an aggressive, motivated seller.
The Result: Algorithmic buyers will instantly pull back their bids to lower price levels to avoid getting ran over. Meanwhile, short-sellers will view it as a signal to step in and press the price down further, turning the market against the seller.

How Institutional Traders Solve This Challenge
Professional traders almost never sell a block of this size in one raw transaction on the public market. Instead, they use specific routing strategies:

Dark Pools: They route the block trade through an alternative trading system (ATS). This matches the 270,000 shares with an institutional buyer privately, preventing the order from hitting the public order book and keeping the price steady.
VWAP/TWAP Algorithms: They use execution algorithms to split the 270,000 shares into hundreds of tiny orders (e.g., 200–500 shares each) spaced out over several hours. This absorbs the daily volume smoothly without signaling the market.
Block Desks: They negotiate a fixed price directly with an institutional market maker's block trading desk to clear the entire position at a predetermined discount. '

[da_cheif™] Message 28704461

da_cheif™ — 6/12/2026 12:19:24 PM

[rdkflorida2] Thanks. Was previously mentioned as an "un-named manufacturer". Speculation wa...

rdkflorida2 — 6/12/2026 11:23:08 AM

Thanks. Was previously mentioned as an "un-named manufacturer". Speculation was CAT. TIA for any other info you may find/post. RDK

[1paintertoo] RDK - Grok opines that MVIS entered into a MDA with CAT: Caterpillar Inc. (CAT)...

1paintertoo — 6/12/2026 11:20:25 AM

RDK - Grok opines that MVIS entered into a MDA with CAT:

Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) is the company that signed the Master Development Agreement (MDA) with MicroVision.

MicroVision announced on June 10, 2026, a long-term Master Development Agreement (including an initial Program Description) with "the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment" to integrate its LiDAR and perception technologies into next-generation autonomous hauling solutions (e.g., for off-highway trucks in mining, quarries, and aggregates).

The OEM is not named in the official press release for confidentiality or strategic reasons, but the description aligns precisely with Caterpillar, which is routinely described as the world's leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment by revenue, market share, and global presence.
This builds on Caterpillar's prior LiDAR/autonomy work (including relationships conveyed through MicroVision's acquisition of certain Luminar assets and contracts).

The agreement focuses on joint development, validation, and commercialization of advanced perception for safety, productivity, and efficiency in autonomous equipment—directly relevant to the construction/mining sector trends discussed earlier.

[rdkflorida2] RUBI, got a double on this one. OUT. Hope I get the same with MVIS. RDK

rdkflorida2 — 6/12/2026 10:55:53 AM

[My 2 Cents Worth] Breeze - Back to the drawing board. ASTS just hit another low. Uggggh. I wish th...

My 2 Cents Worth — 6/12/2026 10:32:48 AM

Breeze - Back to the drawing board. ASTS just hit another low. Uggggh. I wish this thing would finally bottom.

[rdkflorida2] I agree, but that is the nature of penny plays. A long way back the PPS was arou...

rdkflorida2 — 6/12/2026 10:20:06 AM

I agree, but that is the nature of penny plays. A long way back the PPS was around 0.15 when I posted a reminder on this board. The PPS ran to $28 as you noted. Now I would be happy with 50%-60% gain. Thanks for your chart. RDK

[#Breeze] Too many IFs in that press release. Breeze

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 9:36:13 AM

[rdkflorida2] There is also this development. Why Is MVIS Stock Surging Today?

rdkflorida2 — 6/12/2026 9:14:58 AM

[rdkflorida2] There is going to be a r/s. PPS plunged, imho, because of no change being made ...

rdkflorida2 — 6/12/2026 8:13:26 AM

There is going to be a r/s. PPS plunged, imho, because of no change being made to the 500 plus million previously authorized shares. I believe that was the reason for the plunge. Authorized shares after the r/s has been reduced to 150 million. I believe PPS will rebound. Short term, long shot bet. TWT if I am right on this. RDK.

[#Breeze] BE Wave Count Update. Wave (iv) appears complete. IF so then Wave (v) of Minute ...

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 8:06:30 AM

BE Wave Count Update. Wave (iv) appears complete. IF so then Wave (v) of Minute Wave (circle) v is in play with a target of 383.34. Breeze

[#Breeze] rf2, here's a MVIS Wave Count Update. I know you like penny stocks. This one has...

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 7:25:15 AM

rf2, here's a MVIS Wave Count Update. I know you like penny stocks. This one has retraced over 99%. 28.50 to 0.37 in 5 yrs. Why this one? Breeze

[#Breeze] SBSW Wave Count Update. Price have reversed. If prices continue higher and move ...

#Breeze — 6/12/2026 12:08:23 AM

SBSW Wave Count Update. Price have reversed. If prices continue higher and move above 12.37 then the correction it complete and I'll post my alternate count if that occurs.

[#Breeze] Spot Silver Wave Count. Intermediate Wave (4) unfolded as a WXYXZ Pattern and re...

#Breeze — 6/11/2026 11:33:35 PM

Spot Silver Wave Count. Intermediate Wave (4) unfolded as a WXYXZ Pattern and retraced ~50% of Intermediate Wave (3)'s entire gain. Typically retraces 38.2%. . It appears Intermediate Wave (4) is complete. But a large impulse wave must unfold first achieving a 61.8% retracement (rebound) then a 76.4%.

[#Breeze] GDX Wave Count Update. Minor Wave 4 unfolded as a WXYXZ pattern. Note Minor Wave...

#Breeze — 6/11/2026 10:59:45 PM

GDX Wave Count Update. Minor Wave 4 unfolded as a WXYXZ pattern. Note Minor Wave 4 has retraced ~50% of Minor Wave 3’s entire gain (see outer Fibonacci retracement ruler) . Typically wave fours retrace 38.2%.

Minute Wave (circle) c's decline equaled ~ 100% of Minute Wave (circle) a's decline. See inside Fibonacci price extension. Check.

RSI has bottomed. TSI went flat.

The Gold Miner Bullish Index % chart I sent yesterday points to a capitulation. (see second chart below)

Gold has reversed today and turned green.

Is this the bottom? I'll post an update tomorrow. Breeze

[skipowwder] Soxx and soxl up huge and still fear[graphic]

skipowwder — 6/11/2026 10:30:15 PM

Soxx and soxl up huge and still fear

[#Breeze] Appears that Wave iii is in play. Did note the correct wave count on your charts...

#Breeze — 6/11/2026 5:21:02 PM

Appears that Wave iii is in play. Did note the correct wave count on your charts. :))

[My 2 Cents Worth] ASTS could top on 6/29. That's a fibo 13 trading days from the 6/9 low and a fib...

My 2 Cents Worth — 6/11/2026 4:19:10 PM

ASTS could top on 6/29. That's a fibo 13 trading days from the 6/9 low and a fibo 21 trading days from the 5/28 high. The previous high was on 1/30.
It seems like ASTS likes to top near the very end of the month, right near or on the Full Moon.

[Zup101] Another nice day for sure for crdo. ….. Thanks for the update breeze ! Greatly ...

Zup101 — 6/11/2026 4:13:35 PM

Another nice day for sure for crdo. …..
Thanks for the update breeze !
Greatly appreciated
Zup

[rdkflorida2] Possible R/S to get over $2. TWT.

rdkflorida2 — 6/11/2026 3:58:12 PM

[the traveler] I think MVIS is over, finished, fineto. But what the hell do I know?

the traveler — 6/11/2026 3:50:10 PM

[bull_dozer] Breeze, could please update the charts and targets for PLG and SBSW ? Thanks.

bull_dozer — 6/11/2026 3:37:24 PM

[rdkflorida2] I like it. Been buying today, close to the bottom, imho. I am not an expert li...

rdkflorida2 — 6/11/2026 3:15:39 PM

I like it. Been buying today, close to the bottom, imho. I am not an expert like Don and Breeze, but my chart is in the buy zone. TWT. RDK

[da_cheif™] scamman has lot to learn

da_cheif™ — 6/11/2026 3:13:13 PM

[My 2 Cents Worth] ASTS has taken off like a rocket today without leaving a gap. Up over 10% today....

My 2 Cents Worth — 6/11/2026 3:03:21 PM

ASTS has taken off like a rocket today without leaving a gap. Up over 10% today.
AST SpaceMobile has marked June 17 as the target launch date for BlueBird 8, 9, and 10, three next-generation satellites scheduled to lift off aboard a Falcon 9 rocket from Cape Canaveral, Florida. These satellites are expected to deliver nearly double the peak data speeds achieved by the company’s first-generation BlueBird satellites, further expanding the capabilities of its growing network.
As Da Cheif would say: Watch the sky!!!

[#Breeze] FTNT Wave Count Update. Minute Wave (circle) iii is in play with a target of 190...

#Breeze — 6/11/2026 3:01:28 PM

FTNT Wave Count Update. Minute Wave (circle) iii is in play with a target of 190.41. Breeze

[#Breeze] CRDO Wave Count Update. Wave (ii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii appears complete. ...

#Breeze — 6/11/2026 2:57:45 PM

CRDO Wave Count Update. Wave (ii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii appears complete. Tomorrow I'll post a target for Wave (iii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii. Breeze

[moorso] Here, try this on for size: :-) :-) :-) MVIS 0.153 W1 beg 28.00 W1 end ...

moorso — 6/11/2026 2:52:34 PM

Here, try this on for size: :-) :-) :-)

MVIS

0.153	W1 beg
28.00	W1 end
0.34	W2 end
45.40	W3 end
28.19	W4 end
56.15	W5 end

[#Breeze] GDX Wave Count Update. Minor Wave 4 unfolded as a WXYXZ pattern. Note Minor Wave...

#Breeze — 6/11/2026 2:50:34 PM

[rdkflorida2] If you do pennies, would you please do a MVIS chart with extensions. Looks clos...

rdkflorida2 — 6/11/2026 10:20:27 AM

If you do pennies, would you please do a MVIS chart with extensions. Looks close to a bottom on my Sink or Swim chart. TIA. RDK

[golfer72] Ya never know. Should at least be nibbling though

golfer72 — 6/11/2026 9:27:59 AM

[vixson] Investors Intel Survey BULLS 48.2 vs BEARS 22.2

vixson — 6/11/2026 6:36:13 AM

[vixson] AAII Sentiment Survey

vixson — 6/11/2026 6:34:34 AM

[NOW] so a fair signal but not really marking THE bottom?

NOW — 6/10/2026 10:55:26 PM

[#Breeze] Here's a 18 year weekly. Breeze [graphic]

#Breeze — 6/10/2026 7:06:08 PM

Here's a 18 year weekly. Breeze

[bull_dozer] [graphic]

bull_dozer — 6/10/2026 5:59:42 PM

[#Breeze] Wave (ii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii of Minor Wave 3 is the one in play. It may...

#Breeze — 6/10/2026 3:43:10 PM

Wave (ii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii of Minor Wave 3 is the one in play. It may be complete. Not sure.

[Zup101] For crdo

Zup101 — 6/10/2026 3:14:37 PM

[Zup101] Minor 2 of 3

Zup101 — 6/10/2026 3:09:52 PM

[#Breeze] Which wave two.

#Breeze — 6/10/2026 2:29:32 PM

[Zup101] Still in a down 2 wave. Eh. Thanks for the update. Zup

Zup101 — 6/10/2026 1:00:41 PM

[Bonefish] Some sell off. Some keep going.

Bonefish — 6/10/2026 12:22:02 PM

[bull_dozer] IPO ==> It's Probably Overvalued "It’s remarkable how much long-term advantage ...

bull_dozer — 6/10/2026 10:53:05 AM

IPO ==> It's Probably Overvalued

"It’s remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent."

-Charlie Munger

[Augustus Gloop] The 200 day (around 70) would be a great place - I'd love to buy some there. PN...

Augustus Gloop — 6/10/2026 10:44:05 AM

The 200 day (around 70) would be a great place - I'd love to buy some there.

PNF has a bearish target of 77 - I don't think we'll see that. PNF often times has an exaggerated bullish and bearish objective. The charting I do is very rudimentary compared to you and Breeze which is why I like to compare and contrast my numbers with yours.

Nobody here claims to be Nostradamus but each poster bring different skills AND stocks to the table. I like that about this thread and I like to have fun regardless of which thread.

This thread fits everything mentioned above

[#Breeze] Here are the official price stats for SOX and SOXL. Breeze [graphic]

#Breeze — 6/10/2026 10:03:19 AM

Here are the official price stats for SOX and SOXL. Breeze

[da_cheif™] 3 gaps are filled soxl

da_cheif™ — 6/10/2026 10:01:44 AM

[#Breeze] CRDO Wave Count Update. Wave (ii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii is in play. Once i...

#Breeze — 6/10/2026 9:57:25 AM

CRDO Wave Count Update. Wave (ii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii is in play. Once it's confirmed complete I'll post a target for Wave (iii) of Minute Wave (circle) iii (but no change for its target). Breeze