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To: renovator who wrote (2702)3/15/2021 11:15:00 AM
From: Madharry  Read Replies (2) | Respond to of 2718
 
thanks for the informative comments. I have purchased several mreits but decided to avoid those with nyc office exposure. I suspect that many renters who are not doing that well financially will simply leave and find another rental sticking the landlord with the back rent owed. Sad to say I dont think people are particularly honest or moral. I wonder what remedies landlord have to go after such tennants for back rent.

is there anything in the covid bill to compensate landlords for renters who dont pay their rent?
In my subdivision in Arizona there have been recent sales of similar houses to mine that went for at least 30% more than I paid 4 years ago. But I think its still cheap compared to other metropolitan areas.



To: renovator who wrote (2702)3/16/2021 12:33:18 PM
From: John Vosilla  Respond to of 2718
 
Yes prices have reset higher in much of the country due to ZIRP the past year seeing upwards of 15-25% appreciation which creates even more problems when rates normalize.

I am thinking extend and pretend especially with mortgages on residential so sideways to down for years to come..NYC so much inventory plus drop in population and revenues a wild card. Looking at quick numbers say 15M not paying rent or mortgage times $1500 month is peanuts to avoid another 2008 crisis for now. Whoever is in power won't let that happen again I imagine. Also most every smart person I know who has been around the block thinks a big downturn is inevitable next year.. You know what happens when everybody is thinking the same think..

Looking at months of inventory, fixed mortgage rates, yield curve, homebuilder charts and regional banking ETF's charts for clues looking out 12 months. Nothing signals a downturn YET.

Commercial RE another story. Can't see how we avoid another 1989-93 severe cramdown in asset prices and debt repositioning certain assets to highest and best current use IMHO

Thanks for all your input. Strange times