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Financial Sense News Hour Gold - Southern X posted this on the ORT topic: Jim Puplava’s Big Picture: An In-Depth Conversation on Gold with John Kaiser This is the most informative audio I have ever heard explaining gold price, miners situation, short selling on juniors (like ORT) , and direct references to ABX. Offers some hope for September turn around. With Goldman Sachs gold setting target in the 1400's this may be painful. I have to remind myself this is an investment and I am looking 18 month out. BTW the audio even mentions "environmental rain of terror" . Concerning ABX, I hope that isn't what is happening in Chile.
Going to cycle out of my REIT into the ABX. I am OK with more concentration in ABX for a few months. Will sell off on the way up, enough to balance the portfolio, at my basis + costs. Sure looks like $17-$19 is possible. Two more lots then I will have to sit. Panic due to set in on the weak of heart. Just like a real roller coaster you get sick to the stomach bottoming out.
Concerning the Pascua Lama operations in Chile and Argentina. Does anyone have a feeling for the intentions of the environmental activists and the indigenous peoples' case against ABX? Is it a general complaint for all gold miners? The industry? Capitalism in general? In other words, is the issue more than just the water quality and glacier preservation? Have the rules changed out from under ABX since the planning stages and approval process .. $8billion later? I know environmental issues can be fixed but political issues sometimes can't be fixed. Well, I am sticking with ABX in spite of recent downgrades and lower price targets :(
Agreed, MAX would be nice if ABX could find $100 million to spend. South American politics is very unstable ie: Argentina and Chile. I am concerned it is not the environment that is Barrick's problem. All gold miners are under some form of "anti-capitalist-environmentalist complex" pressure. I am studying the possibility of a lateral move from ABX to AEM AGNICO EAGLE MINES LTD ( AEM ). AEM's interests are in Canada, Finland, and Mexico. Mexico is developing into a great economy. Possibly the "Canada of the south" from USA perspective.
Well anyway, lets see what the new ABX people do in Chile after Barrick cleaned house.
Added to ABX and SGGDX (401k) today. Stock market euphoria and gold panic have arrived. People are more comfortable buying stocks after a market has demonstrated upward momentum and euphoria sets in. They also like to jump out of diving planes as panic ensues. I am adding to gold and moving a major part of my portfolio to muni bonds. As I get older I can not tolerate a new generational low in equities. We have had a nice run since 2009. ABX is an equity but it is contrary. SGGDX is 20% physical gold. So, ABX is a long term holding. Gold is my lottery ticket and muni bonds will pay my bills.
Problems at the Pascua-Lama mine were already factored into Barrick Gold’s ( ABX-2%) share price, and the slide after today's construction halt should be considered short-term, Gold Newsletter's Brien Lundin says. The $16M fine imposed by Chile is "immaterial" when contrasted to the $8.5B currently allocated to the project, Cowen analysts say.
I think you are right. I get a little too worked up over this issue. I escaped out of Argentina bank stock BMA at break even after the president hurt them with strict capital requirements and killed the dividend. And also got out of YPF (Repsol Spain) with slight gain when Argentina nationalized their Argentina holdings. Dangerous places to invest in. ABX is in both of the countries on the same project :) I know I am too cycnical and try to not let my emotional responses get in the way of investing.
What a mess. Sold at 20 and bought 1/3 back at 18. To scary to buy more. Really getting hammered. ABX just isn't responding as well as GG or AUY (for example ) to Gold spot price or industry news. I will hold.