To: rimshot who wrote (1264) | 11/3/2023 10:03:34 PM | From: rimshot | | | Larry McMillan - Friday November 3, 2023 blog update
my summary of reading his update is that his line in the sand has a value of $SPX 4,400 and coupled with other considerations he will abandon his actual trade $'s in play for his current bearish bet, and if other items confirm he will consider an actual hold for at least two days above the $SPX 4,400 level to be very bullish ==============================================
4,393.57 = the mid-October 2023 intraday high
$SPX daily -
stockcharts.com |
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To: rimshot who wrote (965) | 11/18/2023 10:40:45 AM | From: rimshot | | | ISM Manufacturing PMI has been below 50 (in contraction) for 12 straight months, the longest down streak since 2008-09
t.co
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To: rimshot who wrote (937) | 12/2/2023 3:59:47 PM | From: rimshot | | | S&P 500 - count of # of new 52-week intraday price highs, daily chart -
stockcharts.com
* 13% of S&P 500 members ( 65 new Highs ) have made a new 52-week price high on Friday December 1, 2023 ... this represents the largest count since early July 2023
* Important note - the $SPX vs. $NYA daily ratio is shown at the bottom of the above chart, and observe that when the ratio declines for multiple days or weeks the $SPX price action eventually always suffers price damage while the ratio declines ... this occurs because the price action by the now 2,940 active symbols comprising the NYSE are not " in sync " on a relative basis with the $SPX price action
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daily chart # 2 -
55 = the Friday December 1 count of # of SPX New Highs minus OEX New Highs ... which is below its July peak at 66 and below the June 2023 peak at 71
daily chart counting the # of New Highs adjusted by: S&P 500 minus the S&P 100
stockcharts.com |
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To: rimshot who wrote (18) | 12/3/2023 2:25:09 PM | From: rimshot | | | John Bollinger, CFA CMT briefly explains how to identify M-Top & W-Bottom patterns by comparing:
1. the chart pattern of the %b to 2. divergent directional movements by price action
YouTube published Wednesday November 29, 2023
* scroll to 15 minutes into the video where identifying divergent patterns by the %b vs. price action is explained
John Bollinger: What’s Behind The Bollinger Bands
youtu.be
here is my version of the SPY daily closes chart using the 126,2 BB and 126,2 %b -
stockcharts.com
( 126 days = 6 months of trading days )
Note - in this chart, the price history is adjusted downward by the amount of each quarterly dividend paid, which chief technician John Murphy determined at StockCharts.com is the default chart assessment view
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The Market Timing Chart Pack is a collection of charts John Bollinger uses to forecast stock market movements.
It is updated weekly and is available to all BollingerBands.com visitors.
Guidelines for the Market Timing Chart Pack can be read here.
bollingerbands.com |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1299) | 12/6/2023 3:06:42 PM | From: rimshot | | | SPY & /ES - Volume Point of Control & Weekly Pivot values:
SPY VPOC 456.27 - looking back 5 full trading days 454.96 - looking back 10 & 30 trading days 457.36 - Weekly Pivot value
/ES VPOC 4573.88 - 5-day VPOC 4585.50 - Weekly Pivot value
* values updated Wednesday December 6, 2023 morning |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1299) | 12/12/2023 3:38:50 PM | From: rimshot | | | $SPX index at least briefly surpasses the March 29, 2022 intraday price high of 4637.xx today Tuesday December 12, 2023
* the July 27, 2023 intraday high had already been surpassed in recent days
$SPX daily showing the July 2023 high below current price -
stockcharts.com
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From: rimshot | 12/13/2023 8:01:18 PM | | | | Nasdaq system error causes stock chaos, orders cancelled... impacted thousands of stock orders
Wednesday December 13, 2023 |
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