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   Strategies & Market TrendsSPY & QQQ intraday chart observations by rimshot


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To: rimshot who wrote (1072)12/14/2022 9:14:46 AM
From: robert b furman
   of 1309
 
Hi Rim,

We ran 9 hours in a torrential downpour. Covered 590 miles. This morning is much nicer , no wind gusts and NOT RAINING.

My 70 year old eyes don't do night driving in the rain very well.

Looks like you got dumped on with many inches of snow.

I got my fuel oil tanks in Wisconsin topped off yesterday early in the morning. Should be good to go till sturgeon spearing in February.

Your Nordic skiing trails should be beautiful and deep I'm guessing.

Go to go, longer half of drive is today.

Enjoy all four seasons.

Bob

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To: rimshot who wrote (1071)12/14/2022 11:10:08 AM
From: rimshot
2 Recommendations   of 1309
 
scalp short from 404.95 HOD region, based on 2 time frames

not expecting more than 9 $SPX points profit, but will take more if technicals merit

SPY 403.31 = down target #1 that is possible

SPY 402.47 = down target #2 possible

1809.14 = $OEX HOD so far

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To: rimshot who wrote (1075)12/14/2022 2:03:03 PM
From: rimshot
2 Recommendations   of 1309
 
SPY 400.44 = bull/bear divider right now, valid & accurate value until the close today, Dec. 14

399.44 = next lower divider

399.65 is LOD, so far

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To: rimshot who wrote (1063)12/14/2022 4:21:20 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
/ES 3980.xx = 150-day SMA, basis the March 2023 contract
( using all-trading-hours price action, so the closing time is later
than the closing time each day for the $SPX cash index )

* value updated at 4:15 pm ET, Wednesday December 14, 2022

$SPX daily closes chart showing 12 years of price history
& focused on 150-day SMA vigilance -

3927.xx = 150-day SMA current value, December 14 close

stockcharts.com

$NYA - 150-day SMA vigilance, which acted as firm resistance on Tuesday
November 8, 2022 -

stockcharts.com

14,888.xx = 150-day SMA current value, December 14 close

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To: rimshot who wrote (1059)12/14/2022 8:03:46 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$SPX daily chart with 21,2 Bollinger Bands for $SPX and for five other symbols including
the All Country World Index ( ACWI ) -

3930.xx = $SPX 100-day SMA current value, which has provided support for this week's low, so far

stockcharts.com

* The MSCI ACWI captures large and mid cap representation across
23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets. (EM) countries
... With 2,893 constituents

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To: rimshot who wrote (1073)12/15/2022 7:33:26 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$316 Million - Market on Close buying imbalance - Thursday December 15, 2022, reported 3:53 pm Eastern

na - the end of day MOC imbalance was not updated by my source on Wednesday December 14

$1.1 Billion - Market on Close buying imbalance - Tuesday December 13, 2022, reported 3:52 pm Eastern

$410 Million - Market on Close selling imbalance - Monday December 12, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

$3.2 Billion - Market on Close selling imbalance - Friday December 9, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

* $2.3 to $9.5 Billion represents historical large or extreme size for selling imbalances

** in the first 13 trading days of January 2016, the size of the MOC sell imbalances was larger than usual ...
and was seen for consecutive days which is a rare event

Note - Phil Mackintosh, Chief Economist for the Nasdaq in 2019, has written a thorough article explaining the importance
to market liquidity that institutions and market professionals are provided
the preliminary MOC Imbalance quantity announcements in advance of each day's
close for each individual stock ( article published September 2019 )

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To: rimshot who wrote (1078)12/15/2022 7:36:58 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
the /ES and $SPX 50-day simple moving average were not reached
by Thursday's December 15 decline, so the future bullish scenario
remains alive until the 50 is permanently violated

S&P 500 index daily closes -

3895.75 close 12/15 - ECB and Bank of England rate hikes in the overnight session
3995.32 close 12/14 - FOMC rate hike & Powell Q&A
4019.65 close 12/13 - CPI release
3990.56 close 12/12

$SPX daily chart with 21,2 Bollinger Bands for $SPX and for five other symbols including
the All Country World Index ( ACWI ) -

3930.70 = $SPX 100-day SMA current value, which provided support for this week's daily lows,
until Thursday December 15, 2022

stockcharts.com

* The MSCI ACWI captures large and mid cap representation across
23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets. (EM) countries
... With 2,893 constituents

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To: rimshot who wrote (1076)12/16/2022 1:06:21 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
SPY 383.93 = dividend-adjusted SPY 50-day SMA current value, 1:06 pm Eastern
vs.
383.53 earlier bounce high today, December 16

* Note: StockCharts this morning has adjusted downward all the prior SPY price history by the
amount of the quarterly dividend paid today ... which lowers the value of all moving averages and Bollinger
Bands

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To: rimshot who wrote (1081)12/16/2022 2:58:25 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
SPY 382.58 = dividend-adjusted SPY 55-day SMA current value, 2:58 pm Eastern
vs.
381.04 low of day, so far, December 16

* Note: StockCharts this morning has adjusted downward all the prior SPY price history by the
amount of the quarterly dividend paid today, as it routinely does the 3rd Friday of each quarter

SPY daily closes chart with 55,2.1 Bollinger Band setting -

stockcharts.com

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To: rimshot who wrote (1079)12/16/2022 4:06:00 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$5.1 Billion - Market on Close buying imbalance - Friday December 16, 2022, reported 3:52 pm ET

$316 Million - Market on Close buying imbalance - Thursday December 15, 2022, reported 3:53 pm Eastern

na - the end of day MOC imbalance was not updated by my source on Wednesday December 14

$1.1 Billion - Market on Close buying imbalance - Tuesday December 13, 2022, reported 3:52 pm Eastern

$410 Million - Market on Close selling imbalance - Monday December 12, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

$3.2 Billion - Market on Close selling imbalance - Friday December 9, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

* $2.3 to $9.5 Billion represents historical large or extreme size for selling imbalances

** in the first 13 trading days of January 2016, the size of the MOC sell imbalances was larger than usual ...
and was seen for consecutive days which is a rare event

Note - Phil Mackintosh, Chief Economist for the Nasdaq in 2019, has written a thorough article explaining the importance
to market liquidity that institutions and market professionals are provided
the preliminary MOC Imbalance quantity announcements in advance of each day's
close for each individual stock ( article published September 2019 )

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