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   Strategies & Market TrendsSPY & QQQ intraday chart observations by rimshot


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To: rimshot who wrote (1063)12/14/2022 4:21:20 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
/ES 3980.xx = 150-day SMA, basis the March 2023 contract
( using all-trading-hours price action, so the closing time is later
than the closing time each day for the $SPX cash index )

* value updated at 4:15 pm ET, Wednesday December 14, 2022

$SPX daily closes chart showing 12 years of price history
& focused on 150-day SMA vigilance -

3927.xx = 150-day SMA current value, December 14 close

stockcharts.com

$NYA - 150-day SMA vigilance, which acted as firm resistance on Tuesday
November 8, 2022 -

stockcharts.com

14,888.xx = 150-day SMA current value, December 14 close

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To: rimshot who wrote (1059)12/14/2022 8:03:46 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$SPX daily chart with 21,2 Bollinger Bands for $SPX and for five other symbols including
the All Country World Index ( ACWI ) -

3930.xx = $SPX 100-day SMA current value, which has provided support for this week's low, so far

stockcharts.com

* The MSCI ACWI captures large and mid cap representation across
23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets. (EM) countries
... With 2,893 constituents

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To: rimshot who wrote (1073)12/15/2022 7:33:26 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$316 Million - Market on Close buying imbalance - Thursday December 15, 2022, reported 3:53 pm Eastern

na - the end of day MOC imbalance was not updated by my source on Wednesday December 14

$1.1 Billion - Market on Close buying imbalance - Tuesday December 13, 2022, reported 3:52 pm Eastern

$410 Million - Market on Close selling imbalance - Monday December 12, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

$3.2 Billion - Market on Close selling imbalance - Friday December 9, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

* $2.3 to $9.5 Billion represents historical large or extreme size for selling imbalances

** in the first 13 trading days of January 2016, the size of the MOC sell imbalances was larger than usual ...
and was seen for consecutive days which is a rare event

Note - Phil Mackintosh, Chief Economist for the Nasdaq in 2019, has written a thorough article explaining the importance
to market liquidity that institutions and market professionals are provided
the preliminary MOC Imbalance quantity announcements in advance of each day's
close for each individual stock ( article published September 2019 )

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To: rimshot who wrote (1078)12/15/2022 7:36:58 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
the /ES and $SPX 50-day simple moving average were not reached
by Thursday's December 15 decline, so the future bullish scenario
remains alive until the 50 is permanently violated

S&P 500 index daily closes -

3895.75 close 12/15 - ECB and Bank of England rate hikes in the overnight session
3995.32 close 12/14 - FOMC rate hike & Powell Q&A
4019.65 close 12/13 - CPI release
3990.56 close 12/12

$SPX daily chart with 21,2 Bollinger Bands for $SPX and for five other symbols including
the All Country World Index ( ACWI ) -

3930.70 = $SPX 100-day SMA current value, which provided support for this week's daily lows,
until Thursday December 15, 2022

stockcharts.com

* The MSCI ACWI captures large and mid cap representation across
23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets. (EM) countries
... With 2,893 constituents

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To: rimshot who wrote (1076)12/16/2022 1:06:21 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
SPY 383.93 = dividend-adjusted SPY 50-day SMA current value, 1:06 pm Eastern
vs.
383.53 earlier bounce high today, December 16

* Note: StockCharts this morning has adjusted downward all the prior SPY price history by the
amount of the quarterly dividend paid today ... which lowers the value of all moving averages and Bollinger
Bands

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To: rimshot who wrote (1081)12/16/2022 2:58:25 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
SPY 382.58 = dividend-adjusted SPY 55-day SMA current value, 2:58 pm Eastern
vs.
381.04 low of day, so far, December 16

* Note: StockCharts this morning has adjusted downward all the prior SPY price history by the
amount of the quarterly dividend paid today, as it routinely does the 3rd Friday of each quarter

SPY daily closes chart with 55,2.1 Bollinger Band setting -

stockcharts.com

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To: rimshot who wrote (1079)12/16/2022 4:06:00 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$5.1 Billion - Market on Close buying imbalance - Friday December 16, 2022, reported 3:52 pm ET

$316 Million - Market on Close buying imbalance - Thursday December 15, 2022, reported 3:53 pm Eastern

na - the end of day MOC imbalance was not updated by my source on Wednesday December 14

$1.1 Billion - Market on Close buying imbalance - Tuesday December 13, 2022, reported 3:52 pm Eastern

$410 Million - Market on Close selling imbalance - Monday December 12, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

$3.2 Billion - Market on Close selling imbalance - Friday December 9, 2022 - 3:51 pm Eastern

* $2.3 to $9.5 Billion represents historical large or extreme size for selling imbalances

** in the first 13 trading days of January 2016, the size of the MOC sell imbalances was larger than usual ...
and was seen for consecutive days which is a rare event

Note - Phil Mackintosh, Chief Economist for the Nasdaq in 2019, has written a thorough article explaining the importance
to market liquidity that institutions and market professionals are provided
the preliminary MOC Imbalance quantity announcements in advance of each day's
close for each individual stock ( article published September 2019 )

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To: rimshot who wrote (1060)12/16/2022 4:42:44 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$NYA daily closes chart -

* shown above the $NYA price action is:
the NYSE daily cumulative net Advance-Decline breadth line
that is now resting below its 50-day simple moving average for day #1,
which is used by numerous technicians & subscription services for evaluating trend confirmation

stockcharts.com

... time will tell if the NYSE A-D line holds below its 50

$NYA daily chart vs. its 200-day SMA and 15-day SMA which is shown as
a lime green shaded area -

* US equity bears need to violate the $NYA 200-day SMA on a lasting basis ( 15,209.71 )

stockcharts.com

$NYA closed December 16, 2022 a decent distance below its recent multi-month daily close high,
which was printed in August 2022-

stockcharts.com

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To: rimshot who wrote (1084)12/16/2022 6:08:58 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$NYA price value is significantly lower at Friday's December 16 close
while the end-of-day comparison between Thursday & Friday's
NYSE # of issues Advancing or # of issues Declining shows a strong Positive
Divergence on Friday vs. Thursday even though the Volume does not show Pos Divg

NYSE end of day WSJ Market Diary stats - Friday December 16, 2022:

NYSE -----------Latest Close ---Previous Close -----Week Ago

Issues traded3,2353,2513,259
Advances961601926
Declines2,1402,5372,218
Unchanged134113115
New highs313843
New lows17812663
Adv. volume*685,773,639128,110,458290,671,849
Decl. volume*2,502,892,296894,275,773542,366,743
Total volume*3,232,478,0681,027,101,337856,195,382
Closing Arms (TRIN)†1.471.460.74
Block trades*6,8104,7374,285
Adv. volume1,723,890,611620,626,7131,367,914,713
Decl. volume5,642,903,4233,827,096,2192,439,327,766
Total volume7,493,668,7474,493,905,1683,888,263,390

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To: rimshot who wrote (1082)12/17/2022 1:04:53 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
positive 2.70 = 10-day smoothing of the S&P 500 New Highs minus New Lows Differential,
which represents a new low for November / December ... remains above the Differential's zero line

SPY daily closes chart with 55,2.1 Bollinger Band setting -

stockcharts.com

SPY 382.58 = dividend-adjusted SPY 55-day SMA at December 16 close
vs.
383.27 close on December 16
381.04 low of day, December 16
383.97 = dividend-adjusted 50-day SMA
388.84 = dividend-adjusted 150-day SMA

* Note: StockCharts on Friday December 16 adjusted downward all the prior SPY price history by the
amount of the quarterly dividend paid on Friday, as it routinely does the 3rd Friday of each quarter

Note: negative 334 = S&P 500 daily net # Advancers minus # Decliners on December 16, which
was a Positively Divergent higher low than the December 15 print for this metric

stockcharts.com

both S&P 500 daily short-term Trade Oscillators by Carl & Erin Swenlin now briefly rest slightly below
their zero lines again -

stockcharts.com

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