To: rimshot who wrote (1057) | 12/11/2022 10:36:00 AM | From: rimshot | | | $SPX 3930.17 = 100-day SMA current value, as of Friday's December 9, 2022 close
this daily chart updates only after each day's market close & provides the overall technical context for price location relative to SPY's 100-day SMA & 50-day SMA -
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chart #2 displays the daily 21,2 Bollinger Band for $SPX and for five other symbols including the All Country World Index ( ACWI ) -
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* The MSCI ACWI captures large and mid cap representation across 23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets. (EM) countries ... With 2,893 constituents |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1037) | 12/11/2022 12:58:34 PM | From: rimshot | | | $NYA daily chart vs. its 200-day SMA and 15-day SMA which is shown as a lime green shaded area -
* US equity bears need to violate the $NYA 200-day SMA on a lasting basis ( 15,233.48 )
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$NYA closed Friday December 9, 2022 a decent distance below its recent multi-month daily close high, which was printed in August 2022-
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To: rimshot who wrote (1041) | 12/11/2022 1:29:02 PM | From: rimshot | | | 4075.75 = /ES all-session high print, week ending December 9 3914.00 = /ES all-session low print, week ending December 9
4110.00 = /ES all-session high print, week ending December 2 3941.25 = /ES all-session low print, week ending December 2
4082.38 = /ES daily 21,2 upper Bollinger Band, updated
4049.02 = /ES 200-day SMA current value, updated December 9 close
3992.48 = /ES 21-day SMA, updated
3963.58 = /ES Monthly Pivot - for December
3961.xx = /ES Volume Point of Control looking back 10 trading days, updated 3958.xx to 3960.xx = /ES Volume Point of Control looking back 30, 90, 180 & 360 trading days, updated 3939.50 = /ES Volume Point of Control looking back 5 trading days, updated
3920.25 = /ES 50-day EMA, updated
3902.47 = /ES daily 21,2 lower Bollinger Band, updated
* VPOC values are determined by software analysis of the actual Volume by Price transacted during the specified period |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1061) | 12/12/2022 12:16:55 PM | From: rimshot | | | 3953.xx = /ES 50-day EMA current value, updated December 12th morning
* basis the March 2023 contract ( March is trading at 33.50 to 34.25 dollar amount of Premium to the December contract over the period since Monday December 5, 2022 )
** the prior post showed /ES price values, basis the December 2022 contract
Note - during the day session trading hours this week, I will not be posting adaptive chart element values for potential intraday resistance or support ... time is valuable |
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To: rimshot who wrote (994) | 12/12/2022 12:22:59 PM | From: rimshot | | | $SPX daily closes chart showing 12 years of price history & focused on 150-day SMA vigilance -
3926.43 = 150-day SMA current value, December 12, 2022 mid-day
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$NYA - 150-day SMA vigilance, which acted as firm resistance on Tuesday November 8, 2022 -
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14,880.53 = 150-day SMA current value, December 12, 2022 mid-day |
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To: rimshot who wrote (372) | 12/12/2022 12:53:56 PM | From: rimshot | | | XLK vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -
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XLK daily chart with PMO analysis, Price Momentum Oscillator by Carl & Erin Swenlin -
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XLF vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -
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XLY vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -
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XLV vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -
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* shown above for future vigilance are the daily ratio charts for XLK XLF XLY XLV vs. SPY to visually identify with ease whether relative performance by each of the four symbols is improving or declining relative to the SPY price action ...
thereby, understanding their contributing or diminishing characteristic for the current SPY price action during the rolling chart duration each chart displays |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1062) | 12/12/2022 1:43:22 PM | From: rimshot | | | 3998.50 = /ES session high, so far printed in the day session on Monday December 12
( identical to the SPY R1 intraday pivot value's chart location ) * /ES pricing is basis the March 2023 contract ( March is trading at 33.50 to 34.25 dollar amount of Premium to the December contract over the period since Monday December 5, 2022 / and a similar amount of Premium vs. the $SPX cash index price value / Note that in most years the /ES trades at a Discount to the $SPX cash index at the time of contract rollover and during the entire duration of the /ES contract until contract expiration when the discount amount is null ) |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1058) | 12/12/2022 9:46:01 PM | From: rimshot | | | $410 Million - Market on Close selling imbalance - Monday December 12, 2022 as of 3:51 pm Eastern
$3.2 Billion - Market on Close selling imbalance - Friday December 9, 2022 as of 3:51 pm Eastern
* $2.3 to $9.5 Billion represents historical large or extreme size for selling imbalances
** in the first 13 trading days of January 2016, the size of the MOC sell imbalances was larger than usual ... and was seen for consecutive days which is a rare event
Note - Phil Mackintosh, Chief Economist for the Nasdaq in 2019, has written a thorough article explaining the importance to market liquidity that institutions and market professionals are provided the preliminary MOC Imbalance quantity announcements in advance of each day's close for each individual stock ( article published September 2019 ) |
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To: rimshot who wrote (1039) | 12/12/2022 11:16:48 PM | From: rimshot | | | below 70.0 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Monday December 12, 2022 at 70.0 percent - S&P 100 BP below 70.0 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP below 80.0 percent - Dow Jones BP at 60.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP near 50 percent - NYSE Composite BP ( 60.79 = August high ) near 40 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP
David Keller, CMT quote November 11 about reliably identifying a rally reversal -
" the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index is now above 70%. The 2022 playbook says a reversal back below the 70% level indicates the bear market rally is over. "
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above 70.0 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday December 2, 2022 above 80.0 percent - S&P 100 BP at 80 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP above 80.0 percent - Dow Jones BP above 80.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP below 60 percent - NYSE Composite BP ( 60.79 = August high ) below 50 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP
Message #1016 from rimshot at 11/26/2022 2:26:44 PM
above 70.0 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday November 25, 2022 above 70.0 percent - S&P 100 BP above 70 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP above 70.0 percent - Dow Jones BP below 70 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP below 70 percent - NYSE Composite BP below 70 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP
Message #1012 from rimshot at 11/20/2022 6:27:54 AM
70.6 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday November 18, 2022 77.0 percent - S&P 100 BP 75.0 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP 70.0 percent - Dow Jones BP 67.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP 55.1 percent - NYSE Composite BP 41.7 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP
Message #1005 from rimshot at 11/12/2022 12:10:16 PM
74.2 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday November 11, 2022 79.0 percent - S&P 100 BP 80.0 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP 76.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP 63.3 percent - Dow Jones BP 56.2 percent - NYSE Composite BP 42.2 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP |
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