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   Strategies & Market TrendsSPY & QQQ intraday chart observations by rimshot


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To: rimshot who wrote (1057)12/11/2022 10:36:00 AM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$SPX 3930.17 = 100-day SMA current value, as of Friday's December 9, 2022 close

this daily chart updates only after each day's market close & provides
the overall technical context for price location relative to SPY's 100-day SMA & 50-day SMA -

stockcharts.com

chart #2 displays the daily 21,2 Bollinger Band for $SPX and for five other symbols including
the All Country World Index ( ACWI ) -

stockcharts.com

* The MSCI ACWI captures large and mid cap representation across
23 Developed Markets (DM) and 24 Emerging Markets. (EM) countries
... With 2,893 constituents

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To: rimshot who wrote (1037)12/11/2022 12:58:34 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$NYA daily chart vs. its 200-day SMA and 15-day SMA which is shown as
a lime green shaded area -

* US equity bears need to violate the $NYA 200-day SMA on a lasting basis ( 15,233.48 )

stockcharts.com

$NYA closed Friday December 9, 2022 a decent distance below its recent multi-month daily close high,
which was printed in August 2022-

stockcharts.com

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To: rimshot who wrote (1041)12/11/2022 1:29:02 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
4075.75 = /ES all-session high print, week ending December 9
3914.00 = /ES all-session low print, week ending December 9

4110.00 = /ES all-session high print, week ending December 2
3941.25 = /ES all-session low print, week ending December 2

4082.38 = /ES daily 21,2 upper Bollinger Band, updated

4049.02 = /ES 200-day SMA current value, updated December 9 close

3992.48 = /ES 21-day SMA, updated

3963.58 = /ES Monthly Pivot - for December

3961.xx = /ES Volume Point of Control looking back 10 trading days, updated
3958.xx to 3960.xx = /ES Volume Point of Control looking back 30, 90, 180 & 360 trading days, updated
3939.50 = /ES Volume Point of Control looking back 5 trading days, updated

3920.25 = /ES 50-day EMA, updated

3902.47 = /ES daily 21,2 lower Bollinger Band, updated

* VPOC values are determined by software analysis of the
actual Volume by Price transacted during the specified period

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To: rimshot who wrote (1061)12/12/2022 12:16:55 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
3953.xx = /ES 50-day EMA current value, updated December 12th morning

* basis the March 2023 contract ( March is trading at 33.50 to 34.25
dollar amount of Premium to the December
contract over the period since Monday December 5, 2022 )

** the prior post showed /ES price values, basis the December 2022 contract

Note - during the day session trading hours this week,
I will not be posting adaptive chart element values
for potential intraday resistance or support ... time is valuable

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To: rimshot who wrote (994)12/12/2022 12:22:59 PM
From: rimshot
2 Recommendations   of 1309
 
$SPX daily closes chart showing 12 years of price history
& focused on 150-day SMA vigilance -

3926.43 = 150-day SMA current value, December 12, 2022 mid-day

stockcharts.com

$NYA - 150-day SMA vigilance, which acted as firm resistance on Tuesday
November 8, 2022 -

stockcharts.com

14,880.53 = 150-day SMA current value, December 12, 2022 mid-day

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To: rimshot who wrote (372)12/12/2022 12:53:56 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
XLK vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -

stockcharts.com

XLK daily chart with PMO analysis, Price Momentum Oscillator by Carl & Erin Swenlin -

stockcharts.com

XLF vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -

stockcharts.com

XLY vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -

stockcharts.com

XLV vs. SPY daily ratio ( relative strength ) -

stockcharts.com

* shown above for future vigilance are the daily ratio charts for XLK XLF XLY XLV vs. SPY
to visually identify with ease whether relative performance by each of the four symbols is
improving or declining
relative to the SPY price action ...

thereby, understanding their contributing or diminishing characteristic for the current
SPY price action during the rolling chart duration each chart displays

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To: rimshot who wrote (1062)12/12/2022 1:43:22 PM
From: rimshot
2 Recommendations   of 1309
 
3998.50 = /ES session high, so far printed in the day session on Monday December 12

( identical to the SPY R1 intraday pivot value's chart location )

* /ES pricing is basis the March 2023 contract
( March is trading at 33.50 to 34.25
dollar amount of Premium to the December
contract over the period since Monday December 5, 2022 /
and a similar amount of Premium vs. the $SPX cash index price value /
Note that in most years the /ES trades at a Discount to the $SPX cash index at the time
of contract rollover and during the entire duration of the /ES contract until contract expiration when
the discount amount is null )

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To: rimshot who wrote (1058)12/12/2022 9:46:01 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
$410 Million - Market on Close selling imbalance - Monday December 12, 2022 as of 3:51 pm Eastern

$3.2 Billion - Market on Close selling imbalance - Friday December 9, 2022 as of 3:51 pm Eastern

* $2.3 to $9.5 Billion represents historical large or extreme size for selling imbalances

** in the first 13 trading days of January 2016, the size of the MOC sell imbalances was larger than usual ...
and was seen for consecutive days which is a rare event

Note - Phil Mackintosh, Chief Economist for the Nasdaq in 2019, has written a thorough article explaining the importance
to market liquidity that institutions and market professionals are provided
the preliminary MOC Imbalance quantity announcements in advance of each day's
close for each individual stock ( article published September 2019 )

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To: rimshot who wrote (1065)12/12/2022 10:04:49 PM
From: robert b furman
   of 1309
 
Hi Rim,

Great observation.

Historically in the past has that been a significant bullish event?

TIA

Bob

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To: rimshot who wrote (1039)12/12/2022 11:16:48 PM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 1309
 
below 70.0 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Monday December 12, 2022
at 70.0 percent - S&P 100 BP
below 70.0 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP
below 80.0 percent - Dow Jones BP
at 60.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP
near 50 percent - NYSE Composite BP ( 60.79 = August high )
near 40 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP

David Keller, CMT quote November 11 about reliably identifying a rally reversal -

" the S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index is now above 70%.
The 2022 playbook says a reversal back below the 70% level
indicates the bear market rally is over. "

stockcharts.com

above 70.0 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday December 2, 2022
above 80.0 percent - S&P 100 BP
at 80 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP
above 80.0 percent - Dow Jones BP
above 80.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP
below 60 percent - NYSE Composite BP ( 60.79 = August high )
below 50 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP

Message #1016 from rimshot at 11/26/2022 2:26:44 PM

above 70.0 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday November 25, 2022
above 70.0 percent - S&P 100 BP
above 70 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP
above 70.0 percent - Dow Jones BP
below 70 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP
below 70 percent - NYSE Composite BP
below 70 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP

Message #1012 from rimshot at 11/20/2022 6:27:54 AM

70.6 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday November 18, 2022
77.0 percent - S&P 100 BP
75.0 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP
70.0 percent - Dow Jones BP
67.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP
55.1 percent - NYSE Composite BP
41.7 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP

Message #1005 from rimshot at 11/12/2022 12:10:16 PM

74.2 percent - S&P 500 Bullish Percent Index value, Friday November 11, 2022
79.0 percent - S&P 100 BP
80.0 percent - Dow Jones Transports BP
76.0 percent - Nasdaq 100 BP
63.3 percent - Dow Jones BP
56.2 percent - NYSE Composite BP
42.2 percent - Nasdaq Composite BP

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