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   Strategies & Market Trendsstocks for medium & long-term hold durations


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To: rimshot who wrote (83)11/5/2021 11:16:48 AM
From: Lou Weed
   of 426
 
Hi rim - no I didn't see it but I'll try to dig it up. I've been on my first business trip since covid this week and haven't had time to check in here much. Will have time over the weekend. Hope all is well with you......

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To: Lou Weed who wrote (85)11/5/2021 1:04:32 PM
From: rimshot
   of 426
 
hi Lou, here is the Nov. 3rd article about F - Ford --

F - Ford - found the November 3rd article about an options trader betting on Ford price action holding above the $20 level -- at TradeStation -

Options traders keep rolling bullish positions in Ford Motor with a key event coming as soon as next week.

This large transaction occurred in the Dearborn, Michigan-based automaker shortly before the closing bell yesterday:
20,000 January 20 calls were bought for $0.73.20,000 January 27 calls were sold for $0.12.
Volume was below open interest in the 20s but not the 27s.

That suggests he or she rolled an existing short position to the higher strike.
Calls fix the price where a security can be purchased.

Traders can also sell them against underlying stock positions to earn a credit, which is known as a covered-call strategy.
Tuesday’s investor likely owned at least 2 million shares of F and had previously sold the January 20s.
Rolling up to the 27s cost $0.61 but increases their potential upside by $7.

The fact they were willing to spend money raising the strike suggests they’re bullish on the stock
and think it may pass $20 soon.

The covered-call roll resembled a similar transaction on September 27 when an investor rolled the October 14 calls up by $0.50.

Rivian IPOF rose 0.33 percent to $18.01 yesterday, its highest close in over a decade.
The automaker has been rallying on strong quarterly results and plans to increase electric-vehicle (EV) production.
The EV narrative could gain prominence with electric-truck maker Rivian (RIVN)
reportedly going public as early as next week.

F owns more than 5 percent of RIVN, which is seeking a valuation of $55-60 billion.



Ford Motor (F), daily chart, with 50- and 200-day moving averages.
The IPO could further increase attention on a surging corner of the market.

Industry leader Tesla (TSLA) gained on strong third-quarter results and crossed
$1 trillion in market capitalization after winning an order from Hertz (HTZZ).

Because many investors won’t be able to access the RIVN IPO,
they may view F shares as another way to profit from enthusiasm toward the new company.
F’s current level around $18 has marked an approximate top for the stock
since early 2002.

That could make some chart watchers see the potential for a rally if it breaks out.
The company may also appeal to value investors because it trades for about
9 times forward earnings and 0.5 time sales.
TSLA is valued at 135 times and 27 times, respectively.

Overall option volume in F was almost twice the monthly average yesterday.
Calls accounted for 77 percent of the total.

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From: rimshot11/7/2021 12:19:01 AM
2 Recommendations   of 426
 
NVDA - Nvidia - daily chart

* back-to-back daily price candles with long upper wicks are displayed, as of Friday November 5 close ...
NVDA bulls want to see those wicks surpassed by future candle bodies

* many years ago, a friend in Jackson, WY who worked as an RIA
at the Smith Barney wealth management office was the 1st to suggest
I get involved for the long-term in NVDA when it was at $11,
and he told me nearly all of his Smith Barney clients had already taken his advice.
He is certainly proven correct in his outlook for NVDA being a star.
At the time, the 22 hedge funds located in Jackson had negative returns
for the most recent quarter and for the prior 12 months.


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To: rimshot who wrote (86)11/7/2021 10:47:18 AM
From: Lou Weed
   of 426
 
Thanks rim - much appreciated.

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To: rimshot who wrote (87)11/7/2021 7:26:05 PM
From: rimshot
2 Recommendations   of 426
 
NVDA, AAPL & others' 10-year total return -

Returns Last 10 Years:

Bitcoin $BTC: +2,092,923%
Tesla TSLA: +18,725%
NVIDIA NVDA: +8,742%
Netflix NFLX: +4,798%
Domino's DPZ: 1,758%
Amazon AMZN: +1,512%
Microsoft MSFT: +1,474%
Apple AAPL: +1,126%
Google GOOGL: +896%
S&P 500 SPY: +351%
Bonds AGG: +34%
Gold GLD:- 1%

* via CB twitter feed Nov 7th evening
======================================

QQQ daily, with total return percentage performance since the
final trading day in July, 2016 for QQQ and five other symbols I selected -

stockcharts.com

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To: rimshot who wrote (87)11/8/2021 2:47:59 PM
From: rimshot
   of 426
 
NVDA - Nvidia - Analysts at CFRA out today Monday November 8th with their opinion -

12:35 PM EST, 11/08/2021
Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We up our 12-month target to $330 from $212 on higher revised peer-premium
P/E of 56.6x our FY 24 (Jan.) EPS view, which we start at $5.83.

We raise our FY 22 EPS estimate to $4.29 from $4.14 and FY 23's to $4.92 from $4.58.
Our higher valuation reflects our greater confidence surrounding growth prospects
and upside potential to consensus estimates.

We believe recent commentary from Meta Platforms and sharply higher capital spending
plans for '22 demonstrates a massive opportunity ahead as it pertains to the metaverse.

We also believe that NVDA is likely seeing an improving supply situation, which will further support growth.

While we acknowledge NVDA's richer valuation, we think the possibilities ahead
for the GPU space are enormous (gaming, data centers, and autonomous vehicles) and
poised to gain a greater wallet share from cloud service providers than we previously anticipated.

CEO Jensen Huang will speak at the GTC Conference tomorrow ...
while NVDA is set to release Oct-Q earnings results on November 17.

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From: rimshot11/10/2021 8:12:04 AM
2 Recommendations   of 426
 
NEWR - New Relic

* 51 M shares float size, approx 9% of the float is held short in the most recent reporting period

* on Tuesday, NEWR reported a less than expected loss, and gained 38.5% on the day ...
the largest daily percentage increase on record & green 9 of the past 10 days

Monthly & daily charts shown below, followed by CFRA's upgrade to Strong Buy on Nov. 10 -



NEWR daily -



CFRA Upgrades Shares Of New Relic, Inc. To Strong Buy From Buy

02:45 AM EST, 11/10/2021
Analysts at CFRA have summarized their opinion as follows:

We raise our target by $75 to $168 due to impressive Q2 FY 22 (Mar.) results,
especially revenue, +18% Y/Y, well above expectations and accelerating from 10% in Q1.

We see NEWR as emerging out of the "trough" of a successful business model transformation,
poised for growth re-acceleration, and set to benefit more fully from its strong underlying
technology and revamped platform; hence, it is in the midst of a major valuation re-rating upward.

Yet, we also cannot declare "transformation victory" quite yet.
Our 11.9x P/S on $962m in projected sales in '23 is the midpoint between a 1-year mean
of 6.5x and a 10-peer median of 17.2x, yielding our $168 target.
Revenue of $196M, +18% Y/Y, beat by $13M; EPS loss widened by $0.03 to $0.10 but beat by $0.03.

Our EPS forecasts are now: $0.37 loss in '22 (+$0.06); $0.47 in '23 (+$0.07);
and $1.70 in '24 (+$0.16). Due to its outstanding technology and lower valuation
($11B) vs. APM rivals DDOG ($61B) and DT ($21B), NEWR is an attractive target for M&A, in our view.

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To: rimshot who wrote (90)11/10/2021 10:00:52 AM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 426
 
NVDA - Nvidia - 15-min chart displayed 5 separate chart elements having
positive Divergence at the close of the 15-min price bar containing
today's 287.78 intraday low, so far

LBR's favored customized MACD setting needs to continue to post higher 15-min
values, and eventually advance & hold above the zero line in order for
dip buyers to be confident the worst is behind us

LBR = Ms. Raschke

lindaraschke.net

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To: rimshot who wrote (92)11/10/2021 10:19:43 AM
From: rimshot
   of 426
 
NVDA 307.42 / 307.45 = double sources on the 15-min chart acting
as potential bull / bear divider, at this moment

we shall see who wins in the long race

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To: rimshot who wrote (46)11/11/2021 4:47:41 AM
From: rimshot
1 Recommendation   of 426
 
AAPL daily snapshot for the Wednesday November 10th close -

* 147.89 = 34-day EMA, which bulls must eventually defend



Message #46 from rimshot at 10/19/2021 11:18:13 AM

AAPL vs. $OEX daily ratio chart -

stockcharts.com

* so far, 2 of the lower highs are now being surpassed, though the
overall lower highs & lower lows pattern for the ratio since early Sept. remain a consideration for what happens next

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