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   Strategies & Market TrendsTaking Advantage of a Sharply Changing Environment


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To: Doug R who wrote (5068)9/19/2021 10:02:52 AM
From: Doug R
   of 5233
 
La Palma volcano update: Intense seismic activity, uplift reaches 15 cm Sun, 19 Sep 2021, 13:03


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To: Doug R who wrote (5070)9/19/2021 12:13:26 PM
From: Doug R
   of 5233
 
La Palma volcano
shield volcano 2426 m
Canary Islands (Spain), 28.58°N / -17.84°W
Current status: erupting (4 out of 5)

Last update: 19 Sep 2021 (Volcanic Ash Advisory)
https://www.volcanodiscovery.com/la-palma/news/141849/La-Palma-Volcano-Volcanic-Ash-Advisory-ERUPTION-AT-202109191410Z-LAVA-FOUNTAINS-ONGOING-to-5000-ft-1.html


La Palma Volcano Volcanic Ash Advisory: ERUPTION AT 20210919/1410Z LAVA FOUNTAINS ONGOING. to 5000 ft (1500 m)

Sun, 19 Sep 2021, 15:30
15:30 PM | BY: VN
Explosive activity continues. Volcanic Ash Advisory Center (VAAC) Toulouse warned about a volcanic ash plume that rose up to estimated 5000 ft (1500 m) altitude or flight level 050 and is moving at 15 kts in SW direction.


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To: Doug R who wrote (5069)9/19/2021 5:28:32 PM
From: 3bar
   of 5233
 
Doug any idea how many flares develop out of 1 sun spot in its 5 days crossing earths path ?

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To: 3bar who wrote (5072)9/20/2021 3:00:47 AM
From: Doug R
1 Recommendation   of 5233
 
Currently, starting at B range and up, an "average" sunspot group will produce 40 to 50 flares during that time.
B range is relatively insignificant but they are flares. Rarely producing CMEs while providing some elevation of xray flux.
Out of those 40 to 50, there's likely to be 4 or 5 that go beyond B and into the C range.
Upper M, at this point, should provide some very helpful information. We're not there yet in the climb up cycle 25.

As the cycle progresses there will be more...and larger sunspots.
The potential is not negligible for the rise to more "magnetic complexity" associated with the climb to cycle 25 maximum that one of this cycle's sunspots might produce a flare large enough to produce terrestrial effects rivalling those of the Carrington Event. A large X class...Earth directed.
The flare needn't even be as large as Carrington at this point considering the difference in magnetosphere strength between then and now.

It's difficult to gauge the probability and timing based on the publicly available scientific data but if coupled with the actions of TPTB, there seems to be some sense of imminence on an intermediate term (not really short term but definitely not long term) time frame.

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To: Doug R who wrote (5067)9/21/2021 11:16:38 AM
From: Doug R
6 Recommendations   of 5233
 
The Truth is becoming a marketable commodity due to its rarity:


In one day...$60,000 reward for Truth.

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From: Woody9/22/2021 7:42:04 PM
   of 5233
 
OT, shamelessly stolen from a nutter site and a little political but it's damn funny. Anyone have hammer .. lol.


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To: Doug R who wrote (5071)9/23/2021 3:52:28 AM
From: Litore Lapis
1 Recommendation   of 5233
 
Just looking at the La Palma volcano.

It's doesn't look like the situation is stable yet. One of the data series I have been looking is the swelling of the landmass, addressed as "uplift". This is the data I have found so far.

Data obtaibed from these reports.

volcanodiscovery.com
Tues 14 Sept 1.5 cm
Sat, 18 Sep 2021, 16:06 10 cm
Sun, 19 Sep 2021, 13:03 Intense seismic activity, uplift reaches 15 cm
Weds 21 Sep 2021 30 cm



Nice video of the Earthquake locations



Seismographs

You can select the language

Instituto Geográfico Nacional (ign.es)


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To: Litore Lapis who wrote (5076)9/23/2021 11:11:49 AM
From: Doug R
1 Recommendation   of 5233
 
Thank you.
I'm watching a "wild card".
An incoming asteroid.
When it passes over the location and the influence shifts from a "push" to a "pull"...something could give.
It's today.

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To: Doug R who wrote (5077)9/23/2021 2:06:09 PM
From: Litore Lapis
   of 5233
 
Just understanding these maps now.

The uplift is typically highy localised, but there are smaller regional changes too

There is a sign that the localised uplift now has gone negative and we are back to 20 cm inflation.

There are slight colour changes to the whole island. Also noted there is seismic activity on the other Canary islands too.

21st September

ign.es



22nd September

PA_INS_dis_06_169.png (2117×1437) (ign.es)


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To: Litore Lapis who wrote (5078)9/23/2021 2:08:56 PM
From: Doug R
1 Recommendation   of 5233
 
There's also a tropical storm system in the area and the Sun's tossing out M-class flares.
Radio blackout surge from one flare centered on the area as well.
Lots of things lining up.
A coronal hole stream is due soon.

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