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   PoliticsCanada@The HotStove Club


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To: gg cox who wrote (674)7/3/2019 6:57:46 AM
From: axial
2 Recommendations   of 1199
 
Hi gg,

Noted, your linked posts (1, 2)

The fact that the new energy paradigm can't possibly meet demand has been forecast for years. It's encouraging to see some conservatives (especially techno-utopians) beginning to get it.

But the paper doesn't go far enough.

— If the world can't meet projected demand with alt-energy

AND

— If the world is forced by climate change to drastically reduce consumption of fossil fuel

— Where does that leave us?
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

I submit again that the logical outcome of approaching events is binary:

(A) Continue using fossil fuels and face the natural outcome: "Mother Nature will act, and she will be ruthless"
(B) Discontinue fossil fuel use rapidly -- as is necessary -- and suffer a huge decline in every aspect of modern life.
_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

When will people understand that there are two drivers for climate change: energy and human behaviour?

The primary factor is energy. Without energy, nothing. With excess energy, you can have growth -- and in economics, profit. Insufficient energy? Decline and death until you reach stasis -- where energy demand matches energy supply.

When there's not enough energy to meet demand, you get decline. Declining production. GDP. Tax revenues. Agricultural output. Rising costs. At the economic margins, more and more people have less: food, shelter, transportation.

_________________________________________________________________________________________________________

It's a good summary, though important factors like the Jevons paradox (1) are only mentioned in footnotes.

What's missing is the inescapable -- and logical -- conclusion.


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From: axial7/3/2019 7:57:07 AM
   of 1199
 
Canada 'confident' U.S. raised issue of detained citizens with China

'Canada’s prime minister said on Tuesday he is confident U.S. President Donald Trump made good on his promise to raise the cases of two detained Canadians during recent discussions with Chinese President Xi Jinping.

Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s comments come after Trump said on Saturday he did not talk with Xi about the extradition proceedings against Chinese telecommunications executive Meng Wanzhou during a bilateral meeting on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Japan.

“I am confident that the Americans brought up the issue and President Trump brought up the issue of the detained Canadians in China,” Trudeau said during a news conference in Toronto. He did not say why he was confident the matter was raised.'
______________________________________________
  • Personally, not confident about anything said by Trump.

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From: axial7/3/2019 2:52:33 PM
   of 1199
 
Canada's most populous province set to more than triple weed outlets

'Ontario’s government announced plans on Wednesday to issue 50 new cannabis retail licenses, which would more than triple the total number of privately owned brick-and-mortar cannabis stores in Canada’s most populous province.'



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To: axial who wrote (1178)7/3/2019 11:05:04 PM
From: axial
   of 1199
 
Meaning what?

Trump raised Canadian detainees with China in ‘clear and substantive way’: source


‘Naive’ Canada shouldn’t believe Trump asked Xi about Kovrig, Spavor: China

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From: axial7/4/2019 12:26:18 AM
   of 1199
 
theinterpreter — Pacific links: power games, volcanic eruptions, and media blackouts

  • “The United States wants Australia to embrace a power role in the Pacific”, says US ambassador to Australia, Arthur Culvahouse. His statement followed the weekend G20 summit, where Prime Minister Scott Morrison and President Donald Trump also agreed that France needs to play a stronger role in the region.
  • The Guardian has an interesting series on a drug route you’ve never heard of: a multibillion-dollar operation involving cocaine and methamphetamines packed in the US and Latin America and transported to Australia via South Pacific islands. Fiji is particularly disrupted by this new industry and its police are overloaded. Dealers, however, are thriving and violence is rising. Jose Sousa-Santos, who researches transnational crime in the Pacific, explains how and why Australia and New Zealand need to take responsibility and partner with Pacific island states to take decisive action.
  • Japan, the US and Australia have picked a liquefied natural gas project in Papua New Guinea as their first case for joint financing in the Indo-Pacific region, planning to lend over $1 billion in the near future. Grant Wyeth looks closer at this trilateral initiative and the reasons behind this cooperation.
  • Mt Ulawun, one of PNG’s most active volcanoes, burst into life last Wednesday morning, hurling ash some 17 kilometres into the air. Jamie Tahana followed Christopher Lagisa, a local living at the bottom of the volcano. The PNG government has set aside K5 million to support people affected by the eruption. Governor Fancis Maneke says locals are being forced to wait for assistance by damage to roads and interruptions to air links.
  • Climate change has left PNG fishermen struggling to find a catch, says the national Fishing Industry Association. Climate change will challenges fishing practices across the broader Pacific, and Johann Bell looks at the possible solution, while warming waters are pushing tuna to the east. One solution would be to actually look north, to what Iceland has done as an example of how to make its fishing practices sustainable.
  • Media are a crucial part of the democratic process and accessibility to politicians is key to informing the public. However, in the Pacific, this rule is not always respected. Last week, Australia’s Foreign Minister Marise Payne made a brief visit to PNG and Bougainville, journalists could not engage with her. For some, there seems to be a pattern, and it needs to be changed.
  • Palau, a small island state in the North Pacific, is in a Compact Free of Association with the United States. Michael Wash explains what the US could do to include it more in subregional architectures and initiatives.
  • Kiribati might graduate from the category of Least Developed Country (LDC). James Webb looks at the implications.'





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From: Wharf Rat7/4/2019 1:38:09 PM
1 Recommendation   of 1199
 
Canadian buildings, coastlines, northern communities face biggest climate risks: report

'[Most] think it's someone else's problem to solve,' co-author says

The Canadian Press · Posted: Jul 04, 2019 6:26 AM ET | Last Updated: 38 minutes ago


Canada's coastlines are among the top three things facing the biggest risks from climate change in the country.(Darren Calabrese/Canadian Press)

New research for the federal Treasury Board has concluded that buildings, coastlines and northern communities face the biggest risks from climate change in Canada.

In a report released Thursday, the Council of Canadian Academies has narrowed down a myriad of threats posed by climate change into the most pressing dozen — a list co-author John Leggat hopes will wake people up to the urgent need to prepare for them.

"[Most] think it's someone else's problem to solve," he said. "It kind of goes to the root of the problem."

The council is comprised of Canada's leading academics and researchers. The report, done at the Treasury Board's request, was conducted by experts from industry, insurance firms, engineers, sociologists and economists.

Climate change is such a broad issue that it can be difficult to figure out what to do first, Leggat said, adding that the report is an attempt to do that.
"It puts it into a context of what are the top risks."

The research narrowed down a list of 57 potential environmental effects to six, and ranked them not only by magnitude of the threat, but by the availability of remedies.

Right at the very top was infrastructure.

Heavy rains, floods or high winds are growing threats to buildings from homes to hospitals. The same extreme weather increases the chance of power outages and grid failures — even what the report calls "cascading infrastructure failures."

Coastal communities come next. Climate change is slowly raising sea levels, making floods more common and surges heavier and more powerful.Northerners are third on the list. Not only do their homes and shorelines face unique challenges, such as permafrost melting away underneath them, climate change also threatens their way of life.

"They really rely on and are closely connected to the land," said co-author Bronwyn Hancock. "The way the culture is set up — governance, spirituality, the way language is passed — all really pivot around that connection to land."

The next three on the list are human health, ecosystems and fisheries. The top 12 are rounded out with agriculture and food, forestry, geopolitical unrest, governance, Indigenous traditions and water.

Getting people to pay is the challengeSolutions are available to mitigate many of the environmental effects from those top six threats. Building codes can be revised to ensure more resilient homes, offices, electrical pylons or airport runways. Coastal communities can prepare in advance for storm-driven flooding.

Information networks can provide northerners with up-to-date conditions for travel on the land or sea ice.

Leggat noted damage to roads and buildings is a lot easier to prevent or fix than damage to sensitive and poorly understood natural ecosystems.
"We have to start thinking about ways we can protect the natural systems so the human systems can survive," he said.

The challenge, Leggat said, is getting Canadians to pony up for ways to reduce the threat.

He pointed to a recent poll that found while most understood climate change presented a risk, few were willing to pay anything to reduce it.

"The majority of Canadians weren't prepared to pay any amount of money for mitigation," he said.
But Leggat said the council's report should reduce some of the uncertainty about where to start.

"We know what to do. We understand what the risks are and we can invest with confidence.

cbc.ca

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To: Wharf Rat who wrote (1182)7/5/2019 3:20:30 AM
From: axial
   of 1199
 

projects.thestar.com


BEYOND FROZEN

— Good read. Longish -- but informative

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From: axial7/6/2019 1:48:52 AM
   of 1199
 

Canada’s Jobs Market Pauses After Monster First Half of Year

  • Economy sheds 2,200 jobs, unemployment rate ticks up to 5.5%
  • Despite pause, employment sees strongest first half since 2002
'Canada’s booming labor market geared down in June, with employment little changed and a slight uptick in the jobless rate from historical lows.



The economy shed 2,200 jobs on the month, Statistics Canada said Friday in Ottawa, versus economist expectations for a gain of about 10,000. The unemployment rate rose to 5.5%, after reaching a four-decade low of 5.4% in May.

The flat reading for employment in June doesn’t alter the picture of a hot labor market powering Canada’s expansion, with most economists widely expecting a slowdown from the economy’s recent unsustainable pace of hiring. That leaves the Bank of Canada plenty of ammunition to resist any pressure to cut interest rates, even if the U.S. Federal Reserve decides to ease policy.

[...]

“Perhaps the most noteworthy aspect to today’s report was the massive rise in wages,” Doug Porter, chief economist at Bank of Montreal, said in a note to investors. “For the Bank of Canada, the strength in wages and hours, and a still-low jobless rate will give them no reason to seriously consider matching Fed rate cuts anytime soon.”

[...]

The one area of weakness seems to be the goods sector, which saw employment contract 32,800 in June. Half of that came from manufacturers. Employment in goods-producing industries is down by 9,400 in the first six months of 2019.'

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To: axial who wrote (1183)7/6/2019 2:02:10 AM
From: axial
   of 1199
 
BEYOND FROZEN


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From: axial7/6/2019 2:35:49 AM
   of 1199
 
The tweet ;)


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