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   Technology StocksPeer-to-Peer, Gig and On-Demand Economies


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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (828)2/22/2021 11:02:45 AM
From: Kirk ©
   of 845
 
Can you imagine if the post office, FedEx or UPS charged for delivery based on the value of what was shipped?

You hear stories of people ordering a cup of coffee, milkshake or a small burger and fries that is delivered with some "samples" taken from it. My guess is the drivers were paid as a percentage so the fee and tip didn't pay for their gas so they ate a few fries or sipped some of the milk shake. The restaurants would probably do much better charging a fixed delivery fee added to their regular prices (perhaps based on miles driven) where they let the drivers keep the whole fee. I'd order MORE to get over the delivery fee just as when I get Chinese takeout now I order enough for a couple of meals so I can justify the time to drive and higher cost vs cooking my own food.

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To: rogermci® who wrote (827)3/1/2021 10:27:34 AM
From: Rarebird
   of 845
 
Uber has bottomed and is headed to 90+.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (831)3/1/2021 10:40:51 AM
From: rogermci®
   of 845
 
I have no reason to doubt you. Your track record on calls is very good.

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To: Glenn Petersen who wrote (829)3/2/2021 5:18:21 PM
From: rogermci®
1 Recommendation   of 845
 
LYFT just raised Q1 EBITDA forecast. The company attributes the improvement in its Adjusted EBITDA outlook to reduced operating expenses. Reduced operating expenses rule the day for ride share operators. UBER trading 56 AH.

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From: Glenn Petersen3/5/2021 7:40:10 AM
   of 845
 
Exclusive: Instacart mulls direct listing in snub to IPOs - sources

By Joshua Franklin, Anirban Sen, Krystal Hu
Reuters
March 5, 2021
5 MIN READ

(Reuters) - U.S. grocery delivery app Instacart is considering going public through a direct listing, concerned that it could leave money on the table through a traditional initial public offering (IPO), according to people familiar with the matter.

The move would make Instacart the latest company to snub an IPO, for decades the primary path to a stock market debut, because it risks pricing its offering too low compared to where its shares end up trading. In a direct listing, companies go public without raising money through a stock sale.

Shares of newly listed U.S. companies that went public through an IPO ended trading up 36.2% on average on their first day last year, compared to 17.2% in 2019, according to data firm Dealogic.

Investment bankers say they often struggle to price in the impact of huge investor demand for popular consumer names, such as home-sharing start-up Airbnb Inc and food delivery app DoorDash Inc, given the limited initial stock float of these companies. Some venture capital investors, such as Benchmark general partner Bill Gurley, say bankers keep IPO prices low to favor their Wall Street clients.

Instacart has no short-term need for cash after raising $265 million in a private fundraising round earlier this week. The company’s business has benefited from more consumers shopping groceries online more to cook at home during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Investment bankers working on Instacart’s listing have estimated that it could be valued by the stock market at more than $50 billion, two of the sources said. Instacart said earlier this week its latest fundraising round valued it at $39 billion.

The San Francisco-based company has yet to make a final decision on how it will go public, the sources cautioned, requesting anonymity as the discussions are confidential.

Instacart declined to comment.

IPOs have been on a tear since last summer as markets rallied following the Federal Reserve’s moves to support the U.S. economy during the COVID-19 pandemic. Yet their popularity has been eroding as more companies choose to go public through mergers with special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) or direct listings.

There were 208 IPOs excluding SPACs last year, the most since 2015, according to Dealogic. By comparison, 249 SPACs went public through IPOs. Two prominent direct listings last year were those of technology firms Palantir Technologies Inc and Asana Inc.

IN SPOTIFY’S STEPS

Only a handful of companies have gone public through a direct listing since it was pioneered in 2018 by music streaming platform Spotify Technology SA.

U.S. gaming platform Roblox Corp abandoned plans for an IPO earlier this year because it did not want to leave money on the table. It is slated to debut on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) next week through a direct listing.

U.S. cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase Global Inc has said it is looking to go public through a direct listing. Online broker Robinhood and robotic software startup UiPath Inc also considering choosing a direct listing over an IPO, according to people familiar with the matter.

Robinhood and UiPath declined to comment.

Once a company goes public through a direct listing, insiders can typically sell their shares immediately rather than be restricted for months, as is the case with IPOs.

A company can also sell its shares in the open market to raise capital following a direct listing without restrictions, typically after it has reported quarterly earnings. Some companies opting for direct listings also choose to raise money before they go public through private fundraising rounds.

The NYSE now offers companies the option to raise money in a direct listing after the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission approved it in December.

Under the NYSE’s new model, new shares being sold in the newly listed company have to trade within a pre-set range for money to be raised, or the listing has to be postponed. No company has taken up this option so far, though dozens have contacted the NYSE to express interest in it and several are actively pursuing it, according to a person familiar with the matter.

The NYSE declined to comment.

Reporting by Joshua Franklin in Boston, Anirban Sen in Bangalore and Krystal Hu in New York; Editing by Greg Roumeliotis and Grant McCool

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From: TimF3/8/2021 3:18:36 PM
1 Recommendation   of 845
 
How dare they not want to be rescued
Natalie Solent (Essex)

Two days ago the BBC reported that the Supreme Court had ruled that Uber drivers are workers rather than being self-employed.

With what glad hosannas did the drivers greet the news of their liberation!

Er, no. As Sam Dumitriu writes in CapX,
Putting questions of legality to one side, it’s clear Uber’s business model works for drivers. If you don’t believe me, just ask them. Countless surveys have found that the majority of Uber drivers are happy with the status quo and would not sacrifice flexibility for greater security.

A survey carried out by Oxford University academics Carl Benedikt Frey and Thor Berger, in partnership with Uber, found that drivers reported higher levels of life satisfaction compared to other London workers, despite on average earning less. And, counter to the conventional wisdom, drivers typically worked full-time in other jobs before choosing to shift to Uber. Furthermore, more than four-fifths of drivers agreed with the statement: ‘Being able to choose my own hours is more important than having holiday pay and a guaranteed minimum wage’. They found that drivers would accept a move to fixed hours – but only if it came with a 25% pay rise.
Perhaps they had looked across the Atlantic and seen the results of California’s attempt to save gig economy workers from working in the gig economy:
In Uber’s home state of California, 70% of drivers backed Proposition 22, a ballot measure that created a carve-out for ridesharing services from the state’s tough laws on freelance work. The measure passed with 59% of the vote in November.

AB 5, the freelancer law which Prop 22 was responding to highlights how interventions designed to solve a problem in one market can have unintended consequences in others.

When it passed, Vox published an article: “Gig workers’ win in California is a victory for workers everywhere”. A month later they published another article: “Freelance journalists are mad about a new California law. Here’s what’s missing from the debate. The alternative to AB5 would be worse”. Two months later, Vox Media itself cut hundreds of freelance writing jobs in California.
samizdata.net

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From: Glenn Petersen3/15/2021 6:47:08 AM
   of 845
 
Amazon-backed Deliveroo aims to raise $1.4 billion in upcoming IPO

PUBLISHED MON, MAR 15 20216:28 AM EDT
Sam Shead @SAM_L_SHEAD
CNBC.com

KEY POINTS

-- Alongside Amazon, Deliveroo is also backed by investors including Durable Capital Partners, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, General Catalyst, Index Ventures and Accel.

-- Deliveroo was valued at $7 billion in July when it raised an additional $180 million from investors.

-- Reports have suggested that it could be valued at around $10 billion following the IPO.

LONDON - Food delivery service Deliveroo is seeking to raise £1 billion ($1.4 billion) by selling new shares in its upcoming initial public offering on the London Stock Exchange.

The company announced Monday that some of its existing shareholders will also sell some of their shares.

Alongside Amazon, Deliveroo is also backed by investors including Durable Capital Partners, Fidelity, T. Rowe Price, General Catalyst, Index Ventures and Accel.

Deliveroo is also planning to offer £50 million of stock to its customers.

Some early Deliveroo backers stand to make a 60,000% return on their investment, according to a report from tech media website Sifted on Monday.

Deliveroo was valued at $7 billion in July when it raised an additional $180 million from investors. Reports have suggested that it could be valued at around $10 billion following the IPO.

Goldman Sachs and JP Morgan Cazenove have been appointed as the joint global coordinators for the IPO. A date the initial public offering has not been officially announced but is likely to be in the next few weeks.

A filing last week included details on Deliveroo’s dual-class share structure, which will see Deliveroo CEO Will Shu get 20 votes per share, while all other shareholders will only be entitled to one vote per share.

Last week, the company also revealed that it made a loss of £223.7 million in 2020. The losses are substantially less in 2020 than they were in 2019, however, when the London-headquartered firm recorded a loss of £317 million.

While the eight-year-old company is still in the red, its revenues climbed to £4.1 billion in 2020, up from £2.5 billion in 2019.

Deliveroo’s turnaround

Deliveroo went from near failure in 2020 amid a competition review into Amazon’s minority investment, to turning an operating profit toward the end of the year thanks to the coronavirus lockdown-driven surge in demand for online takeout services.

Today Deliveroo claims to have over 115,000 food merchants, 100,000 restaurants and millions of consumers across 12 countries. The filing shows that six million orders are made on Deliveroo every month.

Amazon backed Deliveroo in May 2019, leading a $575 million funding round in exchange for a 16% stake in the business.

In July 2019, the U.K.’s antitrust regulator, the Competition and Markets Authority, argued that Deliveroo’s cash injection from Amazon could reduce competition by removing the possibility of the e-commerce giant re-entering the market, while Deliveroo could “cease to be distinct.” It froze the investment for almost a year while it investigated.

To the disappointment of rivals Just Eat and Domino’s Pizza, the deal was approved by the CMA in August after Deliveroo said it could go out of business without the capital.

As interest in the food delivery market continues to grow, UBS analysts have named seven stocks in the sector that are set to pop by up to 30%.

People ordering takeout more frequently — and spending more when they do — means the sector could reach a value of almost $400 billion by 2024, the bank said. A Euromonitor estimate, meanwhile, said it could be worth $1 trillion in the next decade.

— Additional reporting by CNBC’s Ryan Browne.

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To: rogermci® who wrote (833)3/15/2021 10:37:47 AM
From: Rarebird
   of 845
 
If I am right and UBER is about to take off in its strongest wave, $85 will be the minimum and $95 is more likely before the next consolidation/corrective phase.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (837)3/15/2021 11:14:22 AM
From: rogermci®
   of 845
 
That would be sweet. Thanks. A lot of chart set ups look good and you have a knack for picking up on that.

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From: Glenn Petersen3/31/2021 7:05:20 AM
   of 845
 
Amazon-backed Deliveroo tanks in London market debut

PUBLISHED WED, MAR 31 20213:30 AM EDT
UPDATED WED, MAR 31 20216:09 AM EDT
Sam Shead @SAM_L_SHEAD
Ryan Browne @RYAN_BROWNE_
CNBC.com

KEY POINTS

-- Deliveroo’s shares began trading under the ticker “ROO” at 8 a.m. London time on Wednesday.

-- Deliveroo is selling 384,615,384 shares in the IPO, equating to an offer size of approximately £1.5 billion.

-- The IPO has been hit by concerns over Deliveroo’s treatment of its drivers, the company’s governance and valuation.

LONDON — Shares of British food delivery start-up Deliveroo plunged in its stock market debut Wednesday, as the company faces pressure from top investors and trade unions over workers’ rights.

Deliveroo, which is backed by Amazon, saw its shares sink around 30% in early deals compared to the issue price, before trimming some losses.

The company priced its shares at £3.90 ($5.36) Tuesday, giving it an expected market value of £7.59 billion, which was at the bottom end of its IPO target range.

But the company’s share price was down to around £2.73, according to Reuters data, as shares began conditional trading Wednesday morning on the London Stock Exchange. This wiped approximately £2 billion off the company’s valuation. The company can reportedly still cancel the IPO and void any trades made until unconditional trading starts on April 7.

Deliveroo is selling 384,615,384 shares, equating to an offer size of approximately £1.5 billion. Of that, £1 billion will go to the company itself and £500 million will go to existing shareholders, with Amazon and Will Shu, the company’s CEO and co-founder, among those set to gain the most.

The company’s shares began trading under the ticker “ROO” at 8 a.m. London time on Wednesday. JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs led the listing, while Bank of America Merrill Lynch, Citi, Jefferies and Numis were also part of the syndicate. Retail investors won’t be able to trade Deliveroo shares until conditional dealings end on April 7.

Sophie Lund-Yates, an equity analyst at Hargreaves Lansdown, said that Deliveroo’s price “isn’t quite as tasty as it was hoping for.”

“This isn’t hugely surprising given the substantial background noise surrounding the company,” she said.

“The biggest concern is regulation around worker rights. The flexible employee model of Deliveroo’s riders is a huge pillar of the group’s plans for success.”

Deliveroo’s IPO offer is the largest in the U.K. since e-commerce firm The Hut Group raised £1.88 billion in a listing last September. In terms of market cap, it is the biggest IPO to take place in London since Glencore went public nearly a decade ago. It’s also Britain’s largest-ever tech listing by value, surpassing that of The Hut Group and Worldpay which debuted in 2015 before delisting.

‘Next phase of our journey’
“I am very proud that Deliveroo is going public in London — our home,” said Shu in a statement. “As we reach this milestone I want to thank everyone who has helped to build Deliveroo into the company it is today — in particular our restaurants and grocers, riders and customers.”

He added: “In this next phase of our journey as a public company we will continue to invest in the innovations that help restaurants and grocers to grow their businesses, to bring customers more choice than ever before, and to provide riders with more work. Our aim is to build the definitive online food company and we’re very excited about the future ahead.”

It’s a major vote of confidence in London, as the U.K. capital looks to attract high-growth tech companies and boost its financial clout after Brexit. British Finance Minister Rishi Sunak described Deliveroo as a “true British tech success story” when the company announced plans to list in London.

However, the IPO has been hit by concerns over Deliveroo’s treatment of its drivers, the company’s governance and valuation. Legal and General, Aberdeen Standard, Aviva and M&A — which collectively have about £2.5 trillion in assets under management — have all shunned Deliveroo’s debut.

Each of the investment firms cited concerns about the gig economy in which Deliveroo operates. The company’s turquoise-uniformed couriers have become ubiquitous in London and other cities during the coronavirus pandemic, as people turned to food delivery apps for their groceries.

Some of Deliveroo’s riders are going on strike next Wednesday once its IPO opens up to retail traders, to protest what they see as poor working conditions and low pay. For its part, Deliveroo says its drivers are given flexibility to work when they want and earn £13 an hour on average during the busiest times.

That hasn’t cooled investor worries over Deliveroo’s business model, however. Earlier this month, Uber reclassified all its U.K. drivers as workers entitled to a minimum wage and other benefits after the country’s top court ruled a group of drivers should be treated as workers.

This is expected to result in higher costs for Uber — potentially to the tune of $500 million, according to Bank of America. Investors are worried that Deliveroo may suffer the same fate, and the company has set aside £112 million to cover potential legal costs relating to the employment status of its riders.

Meanwhile, institutional shareholders have also raised concerns with Deliveroo’s governance. The company is listing in London with a dual-class share structure, which gives Shu over 50% of the voting rights.

Test for London
Deliveroo’s IPO will be a test of London’s tolerance for high-growth tech companies that spend heavily on growing at scale before prioritizing profits.

It’s a mantra that gained popularity in Silicon Valley with Amazon, which had initially been unprofitable for a number of years. Deliveroo remains heavily lossmaking, having reported a loss of £223.7 million million in 2020.

“Deliveroo is yet to turn a profit, which makes it very difficult to value on a traditional basis,” said Lund-Yates.

“But a market cap of £7.6 billion means the company’s worth 6.4 times last year’s revenue, which is some way above rival Just Eat’s 4.8 times, despite the lower price. That means there’s pressure for Deliveroo to deliver the goods, or its share price will be in the firing line.”

The company has managed to enter the black in recent months thanks to a rise in demand for food delivery.

But U.K. investors are worried by Deliveroo’s lofty £7.6 billion valuation, especially at a time when vaccines are being rolled out and countries are plotting a reopening of their economies. DoorDash, a U.S. rival to Deliveroo that went public last year, has a significantly higher market cap of around $42 billion.

Deliveroo warned it could have failed early last year as an investment from Amazon, its largest outside shareholder, was put on hold amid a competition review. Amazon’s stake in Deliveroo was later approved by regulators.

“A lack of blockbuster listings in London and pent-up investor demand during the pandemic have created encouraging market dynamics for Deliveroo,” said Nalin Patel, EMEA private capital analyst at PitchBook.

“However, near term volatility facing public equities and questions surrounding workers’ rights have impacted IPO pricing and investor participation,” Patel added.

Nevertheless, several tech firms are flocking to London to list their shares, with the likes of Trustpilot and Moonpig having both done so recently. A number of other firms, including Wise and Darktrace, are expected to debut later this year.

Martin Mignot, a partner at Index Ventures, one of Deliveroo’s earliest backers, said London has the opportunity to become the “go-to” for European tech listings.

“Deliveroo is a big win for the capital, but much more has to be done,” he said. “Compared to U.S. listings, European founders still face more traditional public market investors who are not accustomed to backing high growth tech companies.”

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