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   Strategies & Market TrendsBuy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives


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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (37046)8/28/2012 3:05:30 PM
From: SGJ
   of 162178
 
Starting to look like a failed buy signal on the bonds.

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (37055)8/28/2012 3:07:37 PM
From: SGJ
   of 162178
 
but this market is so completely manipulated and this is also an election year, you have to expect that the FED is doing everything it can to keep this market from collapsing...

Exactly, just look at the bond market for example.

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To: SGJ who wrote (37061)8/28/2012 3:10:04 PM
From: chartseer
   of 162178
 
Do the first ten days of January still forecast the whole new year?

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To: chartseer who wrote (37062)8/28/2012 3:11:15 PM
From: SGJ
   of 162178
 
I have no idea. Is that an investment strategy?

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To: SGJ who wrote (37060)8/28/2012 3:13:49 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 162178
 
In fact, I was just thinking the exact same thing, I'm closing out my long bonds today, I bought the TLT, so I'm dumping them before the close, especially if I expect stocks to rally from here...

EDIT: just closed them out, a nice one day profit for the effort...

GZ

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To: FCom777 who wrote (37058)8/28/2012 3:18:40 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 162178
 
bernanke is the head of the FED and he's a clone for ovomit...

GZ

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To: SGJ who wrote (37061)8/28/2012 3:19:15 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 162178
 
Bingo, exactly...

GZ

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To: chartseer who wrote (37062)8/28/2012 3:20:13 PM
From: chartseer
   of 162178
 
it is a legendary adage from those wonderful days of yester year. Hi Yo Away!

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To: SGJ who wrote (37061)8/28/2012 3:20:28 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 162178
 
WOW!!! I dumped my long bonds just minutes ago, and now they're tanking!!! LOL!!! Talk about luck!!! LOL!!!

GZ

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To: chartseer who wrote (37067)8/28/2012 3:42:12 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 162178
 
A BRIEF TUTORIAL ON THE BEST WAY TO USE THE NEAR TERM BUY AND SELL SIGNALS...

Some people have asked me to provide a simple explanation on the best way to use the near term (NT) signal in conjunction with the main model signals... so, here's how, it's really very simple...

The best and safest time to take a NT sell signal is when the main model has been on a buy signal for some time and the market has rallied and is fast approaching or has already reached an overhead VP price, then a near term indicator sell signal would let me know that the market is likely to sell off from that particular VP...

Since the market is already vulnerable to a sell off at a VP price, the NT signal provides that much greater certainly for the trade... the actual sell off may be modest or it may be a market top of some significance, there's no way to know that until the market itself tells us... but clearly, to use the NT sell signal at any other time is much more risky and is not worth the trade unless you feel you want to be aggressive and believe you're nimble enough to exit a bad trade if the market doesn't respond as expected...

Of course, the same would be true with a NT buy signal when the market has already declined on a confirmed model sell signal and the price has already entered the downside VP vicinity...

Otherwise, any other trades based on the NT signals without the market in the vicinity of an upside or downside VP is far more risky and definitely not worth the trade...

GZ

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