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   Strategies & Market TrendsBuy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives


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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (161438)9/24/2021 1:55:07 PM
From: Cyrus
   of 166982
 
Good trading, something to watch the market didnt like that 1.7 level last time.

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To: Cyrus who wrote (161437)9/24/2021 1:56:20 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
1 Recommendation   of 166982
 
I'm also very heavily long the U.S. Dollar with EUO and heavily long the banks with FAS...

Both the dollar and the banks will definitely benefit from higher rates...

GZ

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To: Cyrus who wrote (161439)9/24/2021 1:58:57 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
1 Recommendation   of 166982
 
I think the real turning point would be above 2.60%, so there's still lots of upside room to run for these markets...

That is presuming all things being equal and normal, 2.60% has historically been the breaking point since 2.60% guaranteed is a better deal than the overall price earning ratio of the SP 500...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (161441)9/24/2021 2:03:23 PM
From: Cyrus
   of 166982
 
Something to watch as the inflation numbers keep rolling in.

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To: Cyrus who wrote (161442)9/24/2021 2:25:06 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 166982
 
My hunch is that inflation may not really take hold since the consumer confidence index is currently at a 20 year low...

While the paycheck has increased on average by 4%, the inflation index has increased by 5.6%, this means that while people are earning more money, they're actually losing buying power due to rising costs which are rising faster than their paycheck...

This means that the consumer will not buy those inflated priced items, and therefore the retail stores will have to lower prices again in order to move their inventory...

I keep getting emails from these store advertising that their 3 day sale has been extended, and so on...

Also, while there are lots of job openings, those who are now no longer getting the free $300 weekly from the government will have to go look for work...

While this sounds good, I spoke to several retail store general managers over the past two weeks and they tell me they're hiring BUT not at the salary they offered last month... their overall comment to the job applicant is, "Where where you last month and two months ago when we really needed you?"

So, it's not all a bed of roses out there...

But we'll see how it goes...

There's a real risk of recession if things don't turn around soon, and if so then we'll see these markets take a real spill...

Powell knows all this which is why he's been very slow to taper...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (161443)9/24/2021 2:33:06 PM
From: Cyrus
   of 166982
 
You can have inflation and recession at the same time, que the 1970's. I think the energy crisis liberal governments are artificially creating leaves zero chance to not have run away inflation but we shall see. Energy is priced into every item bought or sold through the whole supply chain and it is amplified each step as taxes are added on. Coal prices almost double the 10 year high, natural gas where 30% of electricity comes from is at $5 during the slow season, WTI almost $75 and every time its hit $75 it has gone to $100. It will be interesting.

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To: Cyrus who wrote (161444)9/24/2021 2:38:18 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 166982
 
Good point, stagflation is what we could see, welcome back to the carter years...

The difference in only 8 months from Donald to this lunatic is truly stunning and jaw dropping...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (161445)9/24/2021 2:41:25 PM
From: Cyrus
1 Recommendation   of 166982
 
Oh yes and with no intervention at the midterms things will be unrecognizable is three years. Just an fyi typically with energy prices and storage levels this low the oil and gas companies would be drilling up a storm, currently they are not. Impossible to bring on large quantities of energy in North America because of politics.

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To: Cyrus who wrote (161446)9/24/2021 2:46:53 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
1 Recommendation   of 166982
 
Right, so instead of being energy independent, we now again have to beg opec, and then we pay them so they can finance terrorism around the world...

This bi-dumb clown is the only real virus pandemic...

GZ

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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (161447)9/24/2021 2:55:04 PM
From: Cyrus
   of 166982
 
Correct, he approved Russia's pipeline to Germany look at gas prices in Europe, thats a gold mine for the Russians. Nothing to see here folks lol. Europeans are going to be burning furniture this winter to stay warm, I hope Gretta approves.

ycharts.com

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