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   Strategies & Market TrendsBuy and Sell Signals, and Other Market Perspectives


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To: GROUND ZERO™ who wrote (11881)10/28/2010 6:58:42 PM
From: Kirk ©
   of 148768
 
Bill Gross is not the only one worried about inflation from Fed action.

ECRI Warns of High Inflation Nightmare From QE2

" * Today, the car that is the U.S. economy is crawling uphill, slowing as its engine sputters. With politicians fighting about whether to use a screwdriver or a spanner wrench to fix the motor, the Fed is convinced we'll end up using neither. Determined not to let the car start rolling back disastrously downhill, yet unaware that the road is about to level off, the Fed is strapping an untested rocket onto the car in hopes of blasting it over the top.
* The Fed, looking out the rear-view mirror to steer the car, won't know when we're approaching a bend in the road, though we're now high up in the mountains, with a dangerous abyss below.


Gold, stocks, TIPS, REITS and commodities probably already reflect future inflation ahead from Fed action.

It would be interesting to do your formula on Vanguard's REIT fund... or an ETF for it VNQ



stockcharts.com

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To: Kirk © who wrote (11891)10/28/2010 7:12:30 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 148768
 
Pending inflation is as good as a done deal...

GZ

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To: Gary105 who wrote (11890)10/28/2010 7:14:23 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 148768
 
Now, that's scary stuff... we could see a sell signal, probably the day before I leave for my two month trip... this means a down market for two months until I return... don't laugh, it happens EVERY time I go away...<g> LOL!!!

GZ

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To: Kirk © who wrote (11891)10/28/2010 8:19:33 PM
From: da_cheif™
7 Recommendations   of 148768
 
im not worried at all about inflation....i embrace it.......i fear deflation......it would be a disaster.....now that the world is in a mad rush toward free enterprise......something i promised after the crash of 87 and the down fall of communism ....the die was cast long ago for the head long rush into a world wide explosion in free enterprise and an inflationary economic world wide boom of unparalleled proportions.......bet on it and hang on to your hats.....those that bet on it with me at gold 255 and dow 1600 are very confortable.....the noze bleeds that are coming and in some respects now underway will be frightening

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To: Honey_Bee who wrote (11883)10/28/2010 9:48:35 PM
From: GROUND ZERO™
   of 148768
 
FOR FRIDAY, A TRADE BELOW 1171.40 WILL TRIGGER A SELL SIGNAL, A CLOSE BELOW THAT PRICE WOULD CONFIRM THAT SELL SIGNAL...

GZ

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To: Gary105 who wrote (11890)10/28/2010 10:10:09 PM
From: Honey_Bee
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One more thing to consider is that unless the lame-duck congress takes action, ALL taxes, for everyone (who pays taxes), are going up January 1, 2011.

I'm not sure how mutual fund managers will deal with that during the remainder of this year...

.

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To: Honey_Bee who wrote (11896)10/28/2010 10:29:13 PM
From: Hawk
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You need to sell in November because of the wash sale rules. Pay a lower tax this year and buy back it in January. Many funds year end also end on October 31.Will they sell after that? Many have been waiting to see what Congress was going to do. Now you can't take a chance. But this is the month investors need to sell. Will the PPT step in is the question?

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To: da_cheif™ who wrote (11894)10/29/2010 12:35:22 AM
From: Kirk ©
   of 148768
 
yup. I agree. I heard today the world is awash in cash... State Street's global sentiment index, that I track but been too busy to post the new chart... down near March 2009 fear level... people too scared to invest other than US Bonds, CDs, etc. for most... all that cash gots to go somewhere and inflation is too much $ chasing too few goods... so when they decide it is safe to invest... look out

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To: Hawk who wrote (11897)10/29/2010 12:36:34 AM
From: Kirk ©
   of 148768
 
no.. wash sales rules only apply for loses. The IRS is happy if you sell to pay a cap gain tax then buy the stock right back... so I've been told.

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To: Kirk © who wrote (11899)10/29/2010 2:09:36 AM
From: Hawk
   of 148768
 
But those who have gains will sell this year at lower tax rates.

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