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   Strategies & Market TrendsHumble1 and Swing Trading Friends


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To: humble1 who wrote (8835)8/29/2012 9:24:31 AM
From: zman69
   of 40854
 
Very good point on the Draghi hat tip to Greenspan's "irrational exuberance". We truly are at the mirror image of the late 90's when the Sheeple were stampeding into stocks at record high valuations relative to bonds/cash. Now we have the Sheeple bailing out of stocks en masse and into bonds/cash at record NEGATIVE real yields. The link below is a nice illustration of stock/bonds relative valuation.

markettrak.com

It's truly a "Pessimism Bubble" and it is not a question of if but when it will finally pop.

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From: humble18/29/2012 11:23:04 AM
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Top Story: "Federal Reserve to Crash the Markets" ... this was the top story at google finance side window when i am posting it. It discusses the crash, 1987 style, and financial armageddon, apparently sometime in the next couple of weeks:

etfdailynews.com

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To: robert b furman who wrote (8836)8/29/2012 11:39:17 AM
From: humble1
   of 40854
 
Bob: you might get your wish. i can see today's low as the end of a wave-c of your irregular flat. the wave-c would start at the 8/27 high and end this morning.

we'll know soon! :)

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From: humble18/29/2012 1:12:14 PM
   of 40854
 
Why the surge to SPX 1500 could start any day or even any hour now:

finance.yahoo.com

This just in!

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To: humble1 who wrote (8840)8/29/2012 3:06:58 PM
From: Joseph Silent
   of 40854
 
I think we need to get past the blockade at spx 1413--1416. As soon as that happens

(probably soon) we are good to go.

:)

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To: humble1 who wrote (8840)8/29/2012 4:13:52 PM
From: llap
   of 40854
 
Full moon 8/31/12 should be a low and time for another rally. Maybe that's what the market is waiting for.

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To: llap who wrote (8842)8/29/2012 4:59:43 PM
From: humble1
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good point: it does love to bottom during a full moon window and that window opens tomorrow. i suspect a lot of buy money is being held back for ben and that it will come out, come out, wherever it is. :)

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To: humble1 who wrote (8843)8/29/2012 6:18:40 PM
From: jjs_ynot
   of 40854
 
I have several signals that are pointing to a fairly big run up from a modest low on Sept 10 until Oct 11.

Does anyone else have indications around these dates?

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To: jjs_ynot who wrote (8844)8/29/2012 7:30:58 PM
From: humble1
   of 40854
 
dave: i don't but that doesn't mean anything. 12/22/12 is my last big date for this year.

i like your idea; thanks!

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To: jjs_ynot who wrote (8844)8/29/2012 9:27:03 PM
From: llap
   of 40854
 
dave_s: There is a slight downtrend in election years from around September 1 - 15 in election years. However, that squares with the lunar cycle which for some years was bullish from the full moon to the new moon. As election years are quite bullish into November and my market-timing skills are not that great, I will just stay long.

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