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   Strategies & Market TrendsHumble1 and Swing Trading Friends


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To: Robohogs who wrote (32835)4/24/2019 9:51:32 AM
From: sylvester80
   of 40548
 
Just wait till November 12 when Disney streaming hits at $6.99 hits with Star Wars/Marvel/Pixar properties (compared to $12.99 for NFLX, or almost 100% more without StarWars/Marvel/Pixar)... so I expect an NFLX implosion as those properties are taken away from everyone but Disney.
tomsguide.com

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From: candlestickit4/24/2019 10:37:23 AM
   of 40548
 
Added to all my LONG positions at the top of the hour in YM and RTY.

Rty breaking above the all important 233dma and neckline of inverse h&s.

BA going to lead the Dow to ath's within days.

Bears are going to hold to the bitter end pointing to useless fundamentals. Liquidity is BULLISH, and that's all that matters, always has and always will.

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To: sylvester80 who wrote (32843)4/24/2019 11:52:53 AM
From: Fintas
   of 40548
 
As long term DIS holder going back to the 1980's here's something to add to your thoughts.

Way way back DIS wasn't ready for this move and NFLX if one remembers going back to 2003 ish was trying to do John Travolta's version of Staying Alive. Well we know NFLX did and many fell trying to take them out or trying to compete.

Dis was not one and sat back to position itself as it now has.

I don't know how high DIS will go but I do know it's foot print is going to keep growing and Nflx is going to face some challenges for the reasons you suggest. So I don't know about IMPLOSION re NFLX but a decent hair cut is possible IMO

Fintas

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From: sylvester804/24/2019 12:07:06 PM
   of 40548
 
IMO based on my TA, QQQ at 190.7 should see a 10% haircut to 171.6 in short order. JMHO

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To: sylvester80 who wrote (32846)4/24/2019 12:34:34 PM
From: Fintas
   of 40548
 
IF you understand this one then you will understand it takes 20% to roll over to O's. This RSI of the qqq is at 129.6.

So it takes a 135.91 to add an X.. So what is that re %?

From that 135.91 if it were to be hit 20% down would be? How about from the 127.62. That's a MINIMUM retrace requirement. How's that translate with the QQQ?

And where does that take the SQQQ? I'm long the SQQQ as of yesterday. I'm ready to add if needed. I like the idea of 3 X. Especially if it's 3 X 20%.

So you might see a bit more up but your downside is a given and conservative.

IMO

Fintas

010203
9607
9809
9910
0011
14
15
17
18
224.9398 224.9398
211.2111 211.2111
198.3202 198.3202
186.2162 186.2162
174.8509 174.8509
164.1792 X164.1792
154.1589 XO154.1589
144.7501 2O144.7501
135.9156 X4135.9156
127.6203 X57127.6203
119.8313 CO1119.8313
112.5176 BB4112.5176
105.6504 9O7105.6504
99.2022 8C999.2022
93.1476 21993.1476
87.4626 12A87.4626
82.1245 X3XC82.1245
77.1122 COXOC377.1122
72.4058 94XOXOA72.4058
67.9867 7O9XO767.9867
63.8372 COX4X63.8372
59.9411 AA5X59.9411
56.2827 7656.2827
52.8476 X52.8476
49.6222 OX49.6222
46.5936 346.5936
43.7498 43.7498
41.0797 41.0797
38.5725 38.5725
36.2183 36.2183
34.0078 34.0078
9395010203
9607
9809
9910
0011
14
15
17

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To: Fintas who wrote (32847)4/24/2019 1:10:25 PM
From: sylvester80
   of 40548
 
Thanks for the post. You won't get a disagreement from me. On the way to -20% we'll need to pass thru -10% first... ;)

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To: sylvester80 who wrote (32848)4/24/2019 1:51:26 PM
From: Fintas
   of 40548
 
Spoke by someone that understands numbers. Yes to get to that 20% one has to pass 10%. SMILE

It is why when I'm yapping about a downside or an upside target I understand the layers involved.

Ex. If I put up a 3068 for the SPX then I had to understand 2940 had to go at some point.

It's just when and how.

And like wise if I see 1944 SPX then that means 2430 has to go at some point.

It's only when and how.

In any case, I agree with you and your downside re the QQQ.

Fintas

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From: humble14/24/2019 6:44:48 PM
   of 40548
 
a red day is a red day, no matter how small. there is a hint of a turn like that first cool breeze of autumn after a sizzling summer. my short trade, as posted, has a possibility but hangs by a thread. now can put stops above today's high.


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To: Fintas who wrote (32845)4/24/2019 6:53:21 PM
From: dospesos
   of 40548
 
Sir Fintas..I'm happy to hear your history with Disney and your evaluation. I recently bought DIS for the first time ever, and you can imagine my surprise and joy when it spurted up two days later. I could see that they had just made a very wise acquisition that would do them well over time. Depth of quality pays off.

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From: humble14/24/2019 6:58:01 PM
   of 40548
 
R2K Inflection Point


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