|To: SG who wrote (286)||6/30/2007 6:38:10 PM|
I also thought I got in high but at 3.90, then averaged down with a 3.56 buy. I really believed I had a LT hold and made a mental sell at 4.30....this was when it hit 5.05 area..
The next 2/3 days showed me a trading pattern that I believed was a bit contrived and/or just a momo stock ( despite the glaringly excellent fundies which I expressed before ). I had reservations in making this entry into a BB stock and felt it was confirmed on last wed. or thursady. That's when I bailed at 4.30.
I really don't know what's moving this stock in the way it does and felt uncomfortable with that---I was convinced there was some institutional participation on those hi volume days and I'll/we'll never know.
Maybe it's the summer; however, if it slips below 3.90 again, I'll be a buyer. I do believe, SG, that once this baby stabilizes and the next Q comes out, or some substantial news is released, it'll recover at the levels you bought in at. From there, it'll be up to you how to play it.
good luck, SG
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|To: lazarre who wrote (287)||7/1/2007 12:15:30 PM|
I am pretty down in this and am happy to see it rise a bit Fri. You would think it is a good long-termer but...you never know.
Barron's had a guy listing several China stocks he likes Saturday. I'd be happy to PM them if you can't get them and are interested. Did not check them out yet but this guy knows a lot more than I do (always a dangerous assumption, LOL).
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|To: NYBob1 who wrote (293)||5/21/2008 9:39:25 PM|
|Foothills Resources = Overview and Summary --- |
"The Grizzly Bluff field was first drilled back in 1964, by a company called Zephyr. At that time the company tested gas at commercial rates from one well flowing at a remarkable 5 million cubic feet per day (MMcf/d). But Zephyr wasn't looking for natural gas but oil and moved on to another field."
So the fact is, there's little doubt that the gas is there.
Fast Forward: Excerpt from Foothills Resources Press Release March 26, 2008
In the Grizzly Bluff (some call it Grizzly Bear) Field GB 4 well was drilled from a surface location about 25 feet (25 FEET !!) from the Zephyr well, which tested gas from the LRD formation at an average rate of 5 million cubic feet of gas per day over a four-day period in 1964. The Zephyr well was ultimately plugged and abandoned without being commercially produced due to the lack of a viable gas market in the area at that time. While drilling, the Foothills GB 4 well encountered the same gas-bearing zones that tested gas in the Zephyr well.
GB 4 well was successfully drilled using oil-based mud to a total depth of 9,530 feet, electric logs have been run and a production liner cemented in place to prepare for a comprehensive production testing program. .. The successful drilling of the GB 4 well achieved two primary objectives: offset the Zephyr GB 1 well drilled in 1964 that tested gas at significant flow rates from the Lower Rio Dell formation (“LRD”) and evaluate the deeper formations below the Grizzly Bluff Field with the drillbit – the Grizzly Bluff prospect. .. The Foothills GB 4 well encountered the same gas-bearing zones in the LRD formation that tested gas at the rate of 5 million cubic feet of gas per day in the Zephyr well. .. The well encountered extensive gas shows and electric log indications of potential gas-bearing zones from the deeper formations in the Grizzly Bluff prospect.
Testing of the GB 4 well should be completed by the end of May, 2008.
Key Listen to foothills-resources.com
Apr 09 2008 IPAA Oil & Gas Symposium - Webcast
Why Purchase Foothills Resources (ftrs)?
1) Trading Below NAV--- Reserves 7.8 million barrels of oil and oil equivalents
2) Company targets low risk identified resources.in or near existing infrastucture
3) Several high impact growth catalysts including prolific natural gas Eel River Basin
4) Good Cash Flow From Existing Operations --production 620 barrels of oil per day from Goose Creek Oil Field
Goose Creek Oil Field Multiple PUD and PROB drilling locations--Extensive portfolio of high quality, repeatable recompletion
and PUD opportunities. Goose Creek Oil Field 150 MMBO produced, 30 productive reservoirs between 800 and 4,500 ft..
5) First-mover advantage in prolific natural gas Eel River Basin--Grizzly Bluff Prospect..500 Bcf–1 Tcf potential
Major natural gas development / exploration opportunity in California..Grizzly Bluff Prospect.
Multiple PUD and PROB drilling locations in intermediate depth Lower Rio Dell formation
6) Acquired 12.7 sq mi 3D seismic survey over Grizzly Bluff Prospect (3 D SEISMIC)
7) Very experienced management team---own 18.9% of ftrs fully diluted --60.51 shares outstanding --85.6 million fully diluted
Dennis B. Tower –CEO and Director..Geologist with 37 years experience in exploration and management positions, including 28 years with ARCO..
John L. Moran –President and Director..Geologist with 38 years in exploration and management positions,including 19 years with Mobil and Apache
8) Operating control and dominant position in core areas..
9) Opportunistic acquirer –access to proprietary M&A deal flow..
10) Fully-funded 2008 drilling program --Will be drilling 6-8 new oil wells in Goose Creed Oil Field
11) Goldman Sachs owns 9.3% of fully diluted outstanding shares
ftrs Foothills Resources Inc
.This is copied from newsletter writer.
Natural Gas Nirvana: Foothills Resources (ftrs: OTCBB)
Several weeks ago I spent hours investigating a company that at first looked too good to be true.
My final conclusion?
Foothills Resources (ftrs: OTCBB), is hands down one of the best undeveloped gas plays I’ve ever seen.
It’s so good, I classify it as a zero-risk gas play with the massive upside of a pure exploration play.
Foothills is a company with a large, undeveloped gas property in northern California.
Everyone I’ve talked to about this company has basically said the same thing: it’s about as low risk a play as you’ll ever find.
But when talking to CEO Denny Tower, who has been involved in the discovery of billions of barrels of oil in over 35 fields, along with tens of trillions of cubic feet of natural gas. For him to say it’s the best opportunity of its size anywhere, period….now that really made me sit up and take notice.
You might think Denny is biased, being the CEO. In reality, he’s simply stating the facts.
Chris Moyes, who’s in the business of finding oil & gas deals for dozens of clients worldwide, agrees. Chris’s company analyzes over 200 deals per year, and has been doing so for decades. These guys know the industry…inside and out.
And Chris’s response was the same as Denny’s. In fact, Chris liked the deal so much he joined the board.
This is incredibly important. In fact, everyone in the oil & gas industry who’s had a chance to look at this project has essentially said the same thing: It’s a no-brainer.
Case in point: When the company set out to raise money early on, they were hoping to get about $7 million in order to get the exploration program off the ground, secure more leases in their target area, and begin drilling.
As is the norm, the company went to private investors for the funds. Now, these folks are what you’d classify as the “smart money.” Long story short, the company ended up raising $10 million because everyone who heard the story and had a chance to look it over wanted to get in on the deal.
Foothills has secured the majority of the Eel River Basin in northern California. The basin is home to several conventional natural gas reservoirs, some of which have production history, and some of which are producing right now.
But the basin, over the past several years, had been forgotten.
It was first drilled back in 1964, by a company called Zephyr. They tested gas at commercial rates at their first six wells. Now, understand, they had a steady, sustained flow of 5 million cubic feet per day from one well….Grizzly Bluff #1. Obviously, that’s a major hit.
But these guys were looking for oil, so they capped the well and moved on.
You see, gas at that time was selling for under 20 cents per thousand cubic feet. On top of that, there was no infrastructure. For the most part gas was considered a nuisance, flared off at the wellhead.
So the company moved on.
And so it went for ARCO when they drilled in 1990. Plenty of gas, but no oil.
So there’s no question the gas is there. In fact, the shallow Anderson formation has proven reserves, which the SEC defines as:
“…quantities of natural gas which geological and engineering data demonstrate with reasonable certainty to be recoverable…”
As you’ll see, it’s money in the bank.
Other than one small independent that drilled 10 wells in 2003, the entire basin has been dormant. Most of these wells were in the shallow Anderson play, and three are still producing.
Now, one of the guys in charge of the ARCO drill program in the 90s got all of the data on Eel River…seismic, drill logs, flow rates, everything. All of this data is now in the hands of Foothills CEO
Denny Tower, thanks to his connections in the industry, and a past stint at ARCO.
The company will begin by drilling the Anderson formation, which will allow for very fast completions and cash flow. A little farther out, they’ll target the Grizzly Bluff for the high impact wells.
A Little Background
When I first heard about this play I admit there was one thing that concerned me. California, home to the some of the most strident, radical enviro-fascists.
But the more I looked at the California energy picture, I quickly realized this was a non-issue. First, natural gas is clean and green. It is by far the fuel of choice. But there is a small problem….
And that’s supply.
Right now, California imports 82% of it’s gas from out of state, which they must pay competitive prices for (most of this gas comes from BC). So now, what was a languishing asset a decade ago is now a bonanza.
And, California is trying to mandate that if gas can be produced in California, purchasers will be required to buy that gas rather than importing it from out of state. This, obviously, is at market prices.
The Foothills property lies in Humboldt County, which has actually has a favorable stance toward gas development. Plus, because there is already production in the basin, the infrastructure is already in place. In fact, there’s a gas trunk line that runs across the Foothills property.
As a result, and because the Anderson formation is very shallow, these wells can be drilled, tied in and producing in only 10 days.
The company plans to drill two wells immediately, targeting the shallow Anderson zone. These wells are super low risk production wells. In fact, they’re basically offsets from existing wells.
As I said, the pipelines are there, so cash flow is immediate, no more than two weeks.
The company anticipates production from the first two wells to be 1.5 million cubic feet/day for each well. And these are very long-life wells.
By The Digits
The wells cost about $1 million, start to finish. Now, these numbers are based on a gas price of about $7. (You know where the price of gas is headed, so keep that in mind.)
So with the two wells on stream we have an operating profit of $300,000 per month… running around 40 million cubic feet per month. With cash flow of $300,000 per month, payback is in about 7 months. So based on just these two wells, we’re looking at cash flow of about $3.6 million per year.
Of course, these won’t be the only wells the company drills. Going forward, the first phase plans are for 40 wells in the shallow Anderson play. This first phase will probably take the company 18-24 months to complete.
From a geologic point of view, I just don’t see any risk. And from an environmental standpoint, the risk is gone. There’s already production from the basin…there are existing county permits to drill the wells, essentially the logistics infrastructure risk has gone away. This is more like gas mining. It’s truly a dream come true.
So given the proven undeveloped reserves, and the initial 40 wells, we’re looking at 62 billion cubic feet net to Foothills.
And I haven’t even gotten into the deeper Grizzly play. Remember, when this well was initially drilled it flowed at 5 million cubic feet per day. And, based on the well logs, every indication is that the well should have produced at an even higher rate…10 or 15 million cubic feet per day, per well.
The deeper prospect holds from 1 to 3 trillion cubic feet.
This is what gives this company the sex appeal. The deep play could turn this cash flow machine into a bonanza gas company overnight.
But first, we’ll see the company establish cash flow and ramp up its drilling program in the shallow Anderson zone. This will happen within the next 60 days, so now is the time to own shares. END
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