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   Non-TechKirk's Market Thoughts


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To: Return to Sender who wrote (17414)11/22/2023 3:45:30 PM
From: #Breeze
1 Recommendation   of 21630
 
Thank you and Happy Thanksgivings to you and the family. Breeze

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From: Kirk ©11/22/2023 3:58:01 PM
1 Recommendation   of 21630
 
I told my friend that I used to spend hours with at Denney's that I feel like such a slacker for not starting a company that makes $9B in a single quarter....

NVIDIA Announces Financial Results for Third Quarter Fiscal 2024
November 21, 2023
  • Record revenue of $18.12 billion, up 34% from Q2, up 206% from year ago
  • Record Data Center revenue of $14.51 billion, up 41% from Q2, up 279% from year ago
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) today reported revenue for the third quarter ended October 29, 2023, of $18.12 billion, up 206% from a year ago and up 34% from the previous quarter.

GAAP earnings per diluted share for the quarter were $3.71, up more than 12x from a year ago and up 50% from the previous quarter. Non-GAAP earnings per diluted share were $4.02, up nearly 6x from a year ago and up 49% from the previous quarter.

“Our strong growth reflects the broad industry platform transition from general-purpose to accelerated computing and generative AI,” said Jensen Huang, founder and CEO of NVIDIA.

“Large language model startups, consumer internet companies and global cloud service providers were the first movers, and the next waves are starting to build. Nations and regional CSPs are investing in AI clouds to serve local demand, enterprise software companies are adding AI copilots and assistants to their platforms, and enterprises are creating custom AI to automate the world’s largest industries.

“NVIDIA GPUs, CPUs, networking, AI foundry services and NVIDIA AI Enterprise software are all growth engines in full throttle. The era of generative AI is taking off,” he said.

NVIDIA will pay its next quarterly cash dividend of $0.04 per share on December 28, 2023, to all shareholders of record on December 6, 2023.

Q3 Fiscal 2024 Summary

GAAP
($ in millions, except earnings
per share)
Q3 FY24Q2 FY24Q3 FY23Q/QY/Y
Revenue$18,120$13,507$5,931Up 34%Up 206%
Gross margin74.0%70.1%53.6%Up 3.9 ptsUp 20.4 pts
Operating expenses$2,983$2,662$2,576Up 12%Up 16%
Operating income$10,417$6,800$601Up 53%Up 1,633%
Net income$9,243$6,188$680Up 49%Up 1,259%
Diluted earnings per share$3.71$2.48$0.27Up 50%Up 1,274%


Non-GAAP
($ in millions, except earnings
per share)
Q3 FY24Q2 FY24Q3 FY23Q/QY/Y
Revenue$18,120$13,507$5,931Up 34%Up 206%
Gross margin75.0%71.2%56.1%Up 3.8 ptsUp 18.9 pts
Operating expenses$2,026$1,838$1,793Up 10%Up 13%
Operating income$11,557$7,776$1,536Up 49%Up 652%
Net income$10,020$6,740$1,456Up 49%Up 588%
Diluted earnings per share$4.02$2.70$0.58Up 49%Up 593%
Outlook
NVIDIA’s outlook for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2024 is as follows:

  • Revenue is expected to be $20.00 billion, plus or minus 2%.
  • GAAP and non-GAAP gross margins are expected to be 74.5% and 75.5%, respectively, plus or minus 50 basis points.
  • GAAP and non-GAAP operating expenses are expected to be approximately $3.17 billion and $2.20 billion, respectively.
  • GAAP and non-GAAP other income and expense are expected to be an income of approximately $200 million, excluding gains and losses from non-affiliated investments.
  • GAAP and non-GAAP tax rates are expected to be 15.0%, plus or minus 1%, excluding any discrete items.
Highlights

NVIDIA achieved progress since its previous earnings announcement in these areas:

Data Center

Gaming

  • Third-quarter revenue was $2.86 billion, up 15% from the previous quarter and up 81% from a year ago.
  • Launched DLSS 3.5 Ray Reconstruction, which creates high-quality ray-traced images for intensive ray-traced games and apps, including Alan Wake 2 and Cyberpunk 2077.
  • Released TensorRT-LLM™ for Windows, speeding on-device LLM inference by up to 4x.
  • Added 56 DLSS games and over 15 Reflex games, bringing the total number of RTX games and applications to over 475.
  • Surpassed 1,700 games on GeForce NOW™, including launches of Alan Wake 2, Baldur’s Gate 3, Cyberpunk 2077: Phantom Liberty, Forza Motorsport and Starfield.
Professional Visualization

  • Third-quarter revenue was $416 million, up 10% from the previous quarter and up 108% from a year ago.
  • Announced that Mercedes-Benz is using NVIDIA Omniverse to create digital twins to help plan, design, build and operate its manufacturing and assembly facilities around the world.
  • Announced a new line of desktop workstations with NVIDIA RTX™ 6000 Ada Generation GPUs and NVIDIA ConnectX® smart interface cards for training smaller AI models, fine-tuning models and running inference locally.
Automotive

  • Third-quarter revenue was $261 million, up 3% from the previous quarter and up 4% from a year ago.
  • Furthered its collaboration with Foxconn to develop next-generation electric vehicles for the global market, using the next-generation NVIDIA DRIVE Hyperion™ platform and NVIDIA DRIVE Thor™ system-on-a-chip.
CFO Commentary
Commentary on the quarter by Colette Kress, NVIDIA’s executive vice president and chief financial officer, is available at investor.nvidia.com.

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To: Kirk © who wrote (17418)11/22/2023 4:22:41 PM
From: Kirk ©
1 Recommendation   of 21630
 
NVIDIA Founder and CEO Jensen Huang Returns to Denny’s Where NVIDIA Launched a Trillion-Dollar Vision

Huang and Denny’s CEO unveil plaque at the diner where NVIDIA’s founders cooked up their idea for a revolutionary chip and announced a contest for the next trillion-dollar idea.

“I was a dishwasher, I was a busboy, I waited tables,” Huang said. “No one can carry more coffee cups than I can.”

My first job was a busboy at 16. I also washed dishes in college...

blogs.nvidia.com

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To: Kirk © who wrote (17415)11/22/2023 9:36:21 PM
From: robert b furman
1 Recommendation   of 21630
 
Hi Kirk,

I'm coming over for your turkey!

We put ours in the fridge.

Poor turkey didn't Enjoy his Last night.

lmao.

Bob

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From: sandeep11/22/2023 11:35:22 PM
   of 21630
 
Reports suggest that hedge funds lost 43b shorting the market in Nov! I have been short on and off since it was unbelievable to see such a strong unidirectional move - but only in short bursts - like 1/2 hour :-) the market rally has been stupendous! Thankful for learning here, from cheif, Breeze ( even though they ignore/ban me), admiring poker and his refusal to give up bearish views - even though they maybe laughable soon. Mostly thankful for a fantastic year so far and hoping not to screw it up :-)

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From: Kirk ©11/23/2023 11:18:20 AM
4 Recommendations   of 21630
 
Happy Thanksgiving to everyone!
_Kirk out




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From: #Breeze11/24/2023 11:25:10 AM
3 Recommendations   of 21630
 
SOX Wave Count Update/ Wave (i) of 5 appears to be complete. If true then a Wave (ii) pullback started. 50-61.8% retrace. See Fibonacci ruler on the chart. Breeze

tradingview.com

Message 34483937

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To: #Breeze who wrote (17423)11/24/2023 12:21:47 PM
From: Return to Sender
2 Recommendations   of 21630
 
My BPSOX numbers would agree. NVDA lost its PnF buy signal. BPNDX is down a couple since it hit a recent high of 72. I'm thinking the path of least resistance is down for a while to test the breakout at around 3,400 where resistance will have become support. On this chart that would be 470 or so.



RtS

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From: Kirk ©11/24/2023 7:39:13 PM
1 Recommendation   of 21630
 
Market Update 11/24/23

Is anyone else at or just a few tenths below their all-time record high?

I'm grateful for the grilled bear meat served over humble pie!

I heard a few "famous" hedge funds closed shop they did so poorly being bearish this year.

.







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To: Kirk © who wrote (17425)11/24/2023 8:29:38 PM
From: robert b furman
2 Recommendations   of 21630
 
Hi Kirk,

I'm 4.0% from the top.

My account is heavily skewed to oil, and then tech.

Either way enjoying the dividends.

Bob

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