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Strategies & Market Trends Point and Figure Charting

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34585)	11/19/2024 8:04:28 PM
From: J.B.C.	2 Recommendations of 34634



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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34586)	11/20/2024 9:14:59 AM
From: Ms. Baby Boomer	of 34634

Wall Street is setting S&P 500 Price Targets for 2025 .... M

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To: Ms. Baby Boomer who wrote (34587)	11/23/2024 9:14:18 AM
From: J.B.C.	of 34634



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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34588)	12/12/2024 1:10:30 PM
From: J.B.C.	1 Recommendation of 34634

My sense is that we are in the 7th inning of a secular bull market which began in 2009. I know many technicians (including my esteemed colleagues) use a later start date (2013), and they may well be right. But I like my method in that it uses multiple approaches that yield the… — Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) December 12, 2024

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34589)	12/12/2024 1:11:13 PM
From: J.B.C.	2 Recommendations of 34634

Per the chart below, I use the deviation from the 150-year trendline as the guide to start the clock. On that basis the current regime began in 2009 (and was confirmed in 2013), and the previous three started in 1982, 1949, and 1920. /2 pic.twitter.com/tuK3GuV8Nt — Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) December 12, 2024

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34590)	12/12/2024 1:12:21 PM
From: J.B.C.	1 Recommendation of 34634

This approach is further supported by the CAPE model, which also pegs the start in 2009. The CAPE model states that the 10-year trailing P/E ratio (or in the case below the 5-year price/cash ratio) is strongly predictive of the forward 10-year return (CAGR). The CAPE model… pic.twitter.com/25DcKttOb8 — Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) December 12, 2024

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34591)	12/12/2024 1:13:57 PM
From: J.B.C.	1 Recommendation of 34634

Finally, if we consider the slope of the market’s ascent off the secular low (top panel below), and add a 2nd derivative in the form of the 10-year CAGR (bottom panel), we see that a 2009 start date lines up nicely with both the 1982-2000 and 1949-1968 super-cycles. The market… pic.twitter.com/FH2EbcL0fO — Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) December 12, 2024

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34592)	12/13/2024 5:20:07 PM
From: J.B.C.	of 34634

Will we get our Santa Clause rally?

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34593)	12/15/2024 1:30:16 PM
From: J.B.C.	of 34634

Valuation of no value: 👀 https://t.co/7ZESHI1uEN — Ryan Detrick, CMT (@RyanDetrick) December 15, 2024

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To: J.B.C. who wrote (34594)	12/15/2024 4:21:16 PM
From: J.B.C.	of 34634

FYI, after my weekend review of market internals I’ve gone to a “yellow” light condition.

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