| From: JohnM | 11/3/2012 8:03:00 PM | | | | | | My bolding.
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TPM Editor’s Blog
Must Follow
Josh Marshall
November 3, 2012, 7:14 PM
If you’re going to dedicate the next three days to 72 hours of campaign watching obsession, don’t miss Jon Ralston. His blog is here and his twitter feed is here. He’s the political reporter on Nevada politics and from having watched him now for a few years seems to understand the nitty gritty political dynamics of the state at least as well anyone else out there. Not a chin-stroker mainly but someone who’s really focused on the numbers and details.
One of the most interesting things about this state is that it’s proving to be in microcosm what Democrats hope and data suggests is happening to the US at large — a growing number of minority voters, now aggressively registered and turning out at the polls with the help of early voting, have transformed the state.
He’s been tracking the numbers in early voting in the state, focusing on registration levels, compared to 2008 and 2010. And his latest read as of today is that the door has not quite but closed to closed on Romney’s hopes in the state. Read his take here. |
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| To: Sam who wrote (206848) | 11/3/2012 8:33:04 PM | | From: Steve Lokness | | | | <<<<<Why would you lie if you bother to take the poll at all?>>>>>
because it waste their time for interrupting me at home. I'm so sick of calls from the election I'm ready to unplug the phone. I'm also noting which politician calls me and I'm voting against him. |
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| To: JohnM who wrote (206859) | 11/3/2012 9:00:51 PM | | From: Sam | | | | a growing number of minority voters, now aggressively registered and turning out at the polls with the help of early voting, have transformed the state.
yes, but the percentage of minorities in Nevada is higher than many other states. And they are better organized.
re: Ohio-- Obama still might win, but he will have to win by at least 3%, IMHO, if Husted is to be prevented from stealing it. |
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| To: JohnM who wrote (206858) | 11/3/2012 9:06:00 PM | | From: Dale Baker | | | | We went through the no power thing several times and then caved in for the cost of the generator. It's hard to justify for just a few days per year but the emotional toll of those days is very high, as you know, and it's a very long-lived asset for any house if outages are at all common.
As for Ohio - I am sticking to the hope that the actual vote margin will be 4-5% such that all these suppression efforts just get swamped. But we won't know until 72 hours or so from now. FWIW, if Obama loses OH and keeps NH he still gets in if the rest of the firewall holds and he takes CO, or he slips by in VA or FL. Lots of different paths for him and only a couple for Romney.
Ohio polls:
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| To: T L Comiskey who wrote (206846) | 11/3/2012 9:08:26 PM | | From: koan | | | | Mitt would have made a great feudal lord. He is a disgusting human being. He dumbed down and demanded obedience from his entire family and he would like to do it to all of we peasants and serfs. Which id exactly how he sees us.
I can't believe Republican workers think Mitt would help them. That takes a level of gullibility I would only expect to find in our simian relatives and I am not sure about them? |
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| To: Sam who wrote (206861) | 11/3/2012 9:09:14 PM | | From: JohnM | | | | re: Ohio-- Obama still might win, but he will have to win by at least 3%, IMHO, if Husted is to be prevented from stealing it.
I assumed that it would need to be more given the absentee ballot issues. |
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| To: Dale Baker who wrote (206862) | 11/3/2012 9:13:09 PM | | From: JohnM | | | | We went through the no power thing several times and then caved in for the cost of the generator. It's hard to justify for just a few days per year but the emotional toll of those days is very high, as you know, and it's a very long-lived asset for any house if outages are at all common.
I believe, now, that these climate events are the wave of the future and the aging electrical grid in the NE is simply multiple catastrophes waiting to happen. The best we can do as a family is have protection in the form of a fairly serious investment in a backup generator. Our house is natural gas heated and I've been told the best generator solution is a natural gas one.
So I'm going to spend a bit of time talking with folk who installed generators to get enough power into the house to keep the heat, hot water, refrigerator, and basic lighting and computer stuff running.
I also agree that it will add value to the house. |
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| To: Steve Lokness who wrote (206860) | 11/3/2012 9:37:05 PM | | From: Sam | | | | | That makes no sense at all. Just don't answer the phone. It is pretty easy to tell when it is one of "those" calls. At least, it is if you have called ID. |
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| From: koan | 11/3/2012 9:48:54 PM | | | | | | There will never be a coming together of right and left. How can people who live their lives according to myth (no facts) and primitive cultural mores and norms defend their philosophy against modern day science and logic. They can't.
And that is why the congress is now two distinct populations and will stay that way. The thinkers and the believers.
It is evident every week on the Bill Maher show when he brings in a couple of right wing intellectuals who then spend the entire show squirming in their seats embarrassed for their party as the liberals shred their antiquated thinking. |
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| To: epicure who wrote (206805) | 11/3/2012 10:02:05 PM | | From: freelyhovering | | | | | I guess I had never really watched him in concert and his physical movements, timed perfectedly with the backup musicians--particularly Keith Richards, are overstimulating and astounding. |
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