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   PoliticsView from the Center and Left


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To: Wowzer who wrote (206845)11/3/2012 6:01:46 PM
From: epicure
   of 503045
 
Good to know.

I had forgotten about the 7/11 cup poll

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To: epicure who wrote (206849)11/3/2012 6:07:00 PM
From: T L Comiskey
   of 503045
 

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To: epicure who wrote (206849)11/3/2012 6:08:17 PM
From: T L Comiskey
   of 503045
 
Princeton Election Consortium has O at 98%

election.princeton.edu

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To: T L Comiskey who wrote (206851)11/3/2012 6:15:36 PM
From: epicure
   of 503045
 
:-)
Very cool. Hope they're correct.

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From: Dale Baker11/3/2012 6:27:24 PM
   of 503045
 
Back from my trip and looking at the HP map tonight where the firewall and NH are all glowing a pretty light blue. RCP even has the national race at dead even. Where Romney might be ahead - VA, FL and NC - it's not enough to overcome the rest which add up to 290 for Obama.

The clock is ticking.

Firewall Intact

Nate Cohn notes that, along with the solidly blue states, "the combination of Wisconsin, Nevada, and Ohio provides Obama with 271 electoral votes. As of today, there is not a single non-partisan survey showing Romney ahead in any of these three states."

Greg Sargent points out that the polling averages show Obama leading in those states by 2.9, 5.4 and 2.7 points respectively.

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (206853)11/3/2012 6:35:00 PM
From: Dale Baker
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Two Different Types of Crowds Mark Halperin: "Don't kill me for the obvious, but the near absence of racial diversity in the Romney crowds is teased out further by the contrast with the rainbow the President draws. It is more striking than I have ever experienced it in any presidential campaign I have covered."

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (206854)11/3/2012 6:41:49 PM
From: epicure
   of 503045
 
Wow. White crowds for Romney? Who would have guessed...

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To: epicure who wrote (206855)11/3/2012 6:50:42 PM
From: Dale Baker
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And if/when those rainbow crowds put Obama over the top in the key swing states, the Wonder Bread fans of Romney will just go further down that ugly Us and Them road based on color.

RCP now has the Senate at 54-46 with no tossups, which would be a one-seat gain for the party destined to lose control, so they all said.

Oops.

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To: Wowzer who wrote (206845)11/3/2012 6:53:55 PM
From: Mary Cluney
   of 503045
 
know unscientific but better then anything else out there.

Ladbroke has been doing US Presidential elections since 1840. They have been wrong only once or twice. I could be wrong about that since I don't have anything to back up that statement.

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To: Dale Baker who wrote (206853)11/3/2012 7:58:11 PM
From: JohnM
   of 503045
 
I'm back. With full power around the house. Really, really good to have heat and light and internet connections and so on. The old cliche applies--you don't know how important something is to you until you lose it.

I expect long essays, major poetry, whatevers to be written about electrical power all over the northeast.

I'm now subscribed to the theory that the republican establishment in Ohio will see to it that Obama doesn't get that state. By hook and by crook and by all other imaginable means. So I'm no longer counting, in my own tables, Ohio for Obama. He will have to win it without Ohio. I hope I'm wrong but it doesn't look promising right now.

All of the stuff Sam has posted about voter suppression in Ohio makes sense to me.

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