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   PastimesThe Philosophical Porch


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To: Investor2 who wrote (23032)8/2/2024 10:21:02 PM
From: Rarebird
   of 24018
 
Have you seen that before? I see it when I attempt to make the trade online

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To: Rarebird who wrote (23033)8/2/2024 10:22:25 PM
From: Investor2
   of 24018
 
No, I haven't seen that before.

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To: Investor2 who wrote (23034)8/2/2024 10:24:14 PM
From: Rarebird
   of 24018
 
Try making a trade online for a Treasury Auction on Schwab's web site, you will see it.

Do you make your Treasury Auction trades online or do you call it in?

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To: Rarebird who wrote (23035)8/2/2024 10:30:41 PM
From: Investor2
   of 24018
 
I usually make my Treasury Auction trades online. I've only made a couple at Schwab. Most of my Treasury Auction trades are at Vanguard.

Best wishes,

I

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To: Rarebird who wrote (23035)8/2/2024 10:53:46 PM
From: Investor2
   of 24018
 
I just put in a bid for a small 6-month T-Bill at auction on the Schwab web site. I didn't see anything unusual.

"Buy at Auction $10,000 US Treasury BILL 02/06/2025 @ Market, Day Only"

I2

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To: Investor2 who wrote (23036)8/3/2024 1:34:21 AM
From: Rarebird
   of 24018
 
I called up Schwab and asked them about it. They said it was a disclaimer in case interest rates head back to zero again..

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To: Rarebird who wrote (23027)8/3/2024 7:50:59 AM
From: Real Man
   of 24018
 
I am looking to get 100% long position in bonds, headed back to zirp. So a pullback is welcome.

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To: Real Man who wrote (23039)8/3/2024 9:08:36 AM
From: Rarebird
   of 24018
 
That's a very good attitude and longer term view for a change. But I hope you realize that a retracement can be sharp especially if the market gets a couple of better than expected weekly jobless claims.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (23040)8/3/2024 12:59:34 PM
From: Real Man
   of 24018
 
USA can’t afford rates higher than ZIRP. I am not sure what happens next, could be hyperinflation. When you get bearish (on stocks), it may be close to a bottom (in stocks) -g- August-October are not good months for stocks.

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To: Real Man who wrote (23041)8/3/2024 2:24:19 PM
From: Rarebird
   of 24018
 
Inflation has already peaked. The threat is deflation.

As for my portfolio, I have done very well this year, in particular, over the past month.

If I remember correctly, I was the one who emphatically said that TLT bottomed and would rally to over $100 on this move while you were thinking of selling long Bonds. Ok, I was a bit surprised TLT went parabolic right away after my call.

The problem with you is that you are usually so acutely bearish that you don't realize that a portfolio can be set up where you make money in down markets.

And yes, I do think there is likely one more big rally left to reach my targets.

It is possible that the market has overreacted to the most recent economic data.

Two thirds of my portfolio is in income related stocks with high dividend yields that will hold up well in a downturn, how serious of a downturn, that I am not sure about. But I take life one day at a time.

I am a player who makes adjustments along the way.

I am no bag holder.

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