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   Strategies & Market TrendsThe Ego Forum


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To: TheSlowLane who wrote (11621)1/4/2013 11:26:49 AM
From: Zincman
   of 12175
 
Nice chart. Tx

Been holding this one for so long I forgot about it. Think it was one of CC's fav many moons ago... Might be wrong..

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To: Zincman who wrote (11622)1/4/2013 11:35:38 AM
From: TheSlowLane
   of 12175
 
Yes, Tinka was an Ormetal pick at one time but I don't think it is on the list currently.

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To: TheSlowLane who wrote (11623)1/4/2013 11:41:54 AM
From: Zincman
   of 12175
 
Thanks...

Off for the weekend... Have a good one.

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To: TheSlowLane who wrote (11621)1/4/2013 1:03:22 PM
From: hubris33
   of 12175
 
Looks like TK.v "just" got a full time Geo-box-o-rocks guy.

Tinka Appoints Vice President Exploration

tinkaresources.com

Vancouver, Canada - Tinka Resources Limited (the “Company”), (TSXV:TK) (Frankfurt:TLD)
(OTCPK:TKRFF)
, is pleased to announce that the Company has appointed Mr. John Nebocat
(P.Eng.) to the position of Vice President Exploration. Mr. Nebocat has been working with the
Company as an independent technical consultant since 2003.

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To: hubris33 who wrote (11625)1/4/2013 1:22:28 PM
From: TheSlowLane
1 Recommendation   of 12175
 
Somebody sent me a link to a table of silver explorers yesterday so I put it into Google Docs:

docs.google.com

Tinka is not on the list but it would be easy enough to plug in the numbers and see how it compares...

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From: hubris331/4/2013 7:17:40 PM
1 Recommendation   of 12175
 
Any Chartists out there? Gotta love this pattern....... amidst the doom & gloom!


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To: hubris33 who wrote (11627)1/4/2013 8:02:34 PM
From: TheSlowLane
4 Recommendations   of 12175
 
Divergence...nice. That said, Da Boyz have more firepower to paint charts than most of so I guess they will continue to make it do whatever they want...over the short term. The takedowns are getting so blatant they are almost comical but I don't hear too many people laughing. Here is one of the things I am watching...



GLDX is now pushing up against the long-term downtrend and the 100 day EMA, so a breakout through this level could get some of the black boxes swinging into action which makes me think it will be vigorously defended. We will see...

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To: hubris33 who wrote (11607)1/8/2013 6:06:14 AM
From: TheSlowLane
1 Recommendation   of 12175
 
Getting back to the list...

There is another company on the list with which I am familiar. A few years ago I had the opportunity to visit several mining companies in the Deseado Massif area of the the Santa Cruz province of Argentina. Besides coming away from that trip with the overall impression that Argentina is currently besieged by fiscal and economic problems but they are sitting on incredible mineral wealth. If the country can get its act together, the ingredients are there for a potential area play.

I took your solicitation as an opportunity to collect my current thoughts on the company and gather them in one place. Argentina is a locale that some people avoid due to the economic situation but for those with the tolerance for that type of country risk, there are some situations with excellent potential. For example...

Minera IRL


Overview

Minera IRL is executing a plan that will take them from junior producer to mid-tier producer status. The company has built and operates one mine now at Corihuarmi in Peru. The company will build and bring two more mines into production over the next three years, delivering strong revenue and earnings growth in the near term and for the foreseeable future.

The company is likely to succeed at this due to The Three P’s:
  • People
  • Projects
  • Phinance


People

Management quality is an essential success factor for a junior mining company and some would argue the most important of all. Courtney Chamberlain and his team area as good as it gets in that regard. Extremely competent, professional and understated. Courtney is a heads down, hands on builder of mines and businesses.

The manner in which a company deals with locals speaks volumes about the operating style and capabilities of a management team. Minera IRL inherited an extremely difficult situation along with a deposit they acquired in Peru. The former holders of the property had mangled relations with the community so badly that they were literally run out of town. It took a long time for that damage to be undone.

After about 18 months of negotiations, Minera IRL was able to secure surface rights. At one point the IRL team invited the people representing the community to their offices in Lima. This gesture did not go unnoticed by the locals as no previous operator had thought to extend that courtesy to them. Early on in the process, when IRL was still working on building good will in the community the company voluntarily offered 5% profit sharing with the community. As a consequence the project is strongly supported by the community as demonstrated recently by a general assembly vote approving the Environmental Impact Assessment.

The IRL team has demonstrated competence in a number of key areas including building and operating mines, exploration, fundraising, financial management and community relations.



Projects

Minera IRL is developing mines at Don Nicolas in Argentina and at Ollachea in Peru. The company is producing gold from the mine at Corihuarmi in Peru. Corihuarmi is scheduled for closure in a couple of years. Meanwhile the mine has been providing cash to fund the company’s exploration and development efforts. Additional funding will be required to build the two mines in the pipeline.

Argentina

In recent years, the Argentine government has been grappling with rampant inflation and related issues. Some of the knee-jerk policy reactions taken in response have created a degree of uncertainty for the mining companies in regard to taxes and royalties, but all indications are that there is no perceived threat of nationalization.

Argentina’s current economic problems have not been sufficient to discourage the mining companies from continuing to develop projects and make acquisitions there. There are a lot of gold and silver ounces in the ground there and the area is relatively early in the exploration cycle. The Santa Cruz province is a mining friendly jurisdiction and hosts several operating mines and will see more mines brought into production over the next several years.


The Deseado Massif area of Santa Cruz Province is a good place to build a mine

Anglogold’s Cerro Vanguardia is a good example for how development can proceed in the Deseado Massif. Anglo built a mill that is fed by several open pits. They are bringing on more pits and have initiated underground operations as well. With plenty of exploration targets nearby, the mine should be able to operate for decades.



Cerro Vanguardia’s northwest trending vein deposits are evident when seen from above



Don Nicolas

Minera IRL has completed the Feasibility Study and permitting for the Don Nicolas project in Argentina and is executing a plan to bring the mine into production in 2014. While Ollachea is considered the flagship project in the company, the Don Nicolas mine is showing respectable numbers.

Feasibility Physicals
  • Open pit mine
  • Conventional CIL, 92% recovery
  • High grade
  • M&I: 280K oz Au @ 6.0gpt
  • P&P: 197K oz Au @ 5.1gpt
  • 3.6 year mine life with excellent potential to extend
Feasibility Economics
  • Annual Avg prod. 52K Au oz, 56K Ag oz/year
  • Capital Cost $55MM
  • Oper. cost. $/t $82.50
  • Oper. cost. $/oz $528
  • Post tax IRR of 22.8% @ $1250 gold, 2.0 year payback
  • Post tax IRR of 38.1% @ $1500 gold, 1.7 year payback
Minera IRL has acquired a significant property portfolio in Argentina. The potential to follow a Cerro Vanguardia model of development is obvious, given the number of prospective targets that have been identified in proximity to Don Nicolas. Over the next year the company will have the opportunity to demonstrate again their ability to finance and build a mine and commission and operate it after that. Ongoing exploration work on their extensive land position will continue to advance discoveries they have made as well as generate new ones.

Finally, it is worth noting that the numerous targets now include more than one style of mineralization. For the most part, exploration in the Desado has concentrated on narrow vein, high grade deposits like those that are being mined at Cerro Vanguardia. Exploration work by Mariana Resources and Minera IRL is now revealing significant potential in high-grade targets that are related to rhyolite domes.

“Precious metal mineralization at Choique is spatially and genetically related to rhyolite domes. This differs from the nearby Martinetas veinfield, host to much of the Don Nicolas Project reserves and resources, where mineralization is mainly in narrow veins hosted by a variety of gently-dipping volcanoclastic facies. Volcanic host rocks at Choique are characterised by intensely clay-silica+/-pyrite altered rhyolitic lavas. Mineralization is dominated by disseminated and massive sulphides plus minor epithermal veining similar to the rhyolite dome complex that hosts the contiguous Minera IRL "Escondido" and Mariana Resources "Las Calandrias" deposit located some 34 kilometres to the north-west.”

At first glance, the relatively short initial mine life of under four years at Don Nicolas can seem problematic. An examination of the mineral resources in Minera IRL’s inventory as well as the enormous exploration potential of the area supports the contention that the company will be able to keep the deposit pipeline stocked through ongoing exploration efforts.


Peru

Minera IRL’s flagship project Ollachea is located in the Puno region of Peru. The company has completed a feasibility study on the project and is currently driving a 1.2Km tunnel horizontally from a surface portal to directly access the deposit. The tunnel will also enable the company to extend the deposit to depths that were not attainable from surface. Financing for Ollachea will be arranged some time this year and will likely include a combination of debt and equity.





Artisanal miners have been active on the Ollachea deposit for many years and their work has been allowed to continue as Minera IRL prepares to build the mine. In the photograph above, the numerous blue dots are the tarps of the artisanal miners. The company anticipates that many of the artisinal miners will transition to become employees when the mine goes into production.

Feasibility Physicals

  • Orogenic deposit, underground mine
  • 1.4MM oz Au Indicated, 4.0 gpt
  • 1.0MM oz Au Probable, 3.5 gpt
  • 0.9MM oz Au Inferred along strike at Concurayoc
  • Conventional CIL treatment, 91%+ recovery
  • 1.1m tpa mining rate
  • 9 year initial mine life
  • Exploration upside along strike and to depth
Feasibility Economics
  • 113K Au oz/year
  • $177.5MM capital cost
  • $49 operating cost per tonne
  • $499 operating cost per ounce
  • Post tax IRR of 22.1% @ $1300 gold, 3.7 year payback
  • Post tax IRR of 30.2% @ $1600 gold, 3.0 year payback




Phinance

Minera IRL needs to arrange financings for Don Nicolas and Ollachea in order to build them into mines. The funding process for Don Nicolas is already well advanced. Multiple term sheets have been submitted to the company that are offering debt financing without requiring hedging. Further details are not yet available as negotiations are still underway.

Financing for Ollachea will be arranged separately from Don Nicolas and the company has said that they intend to use a combination of debt and equity to accomplish this. With a relatively reasonable capex of under $200 million, the project should not be difficult to finance given IRL’s track record and financial position especially once Don Nicolas is in production.

Psummary

To psummarize...in my opinion - which is untainted by neutrality - Minera IRL has the requisite ingredients to deliver increasing shareholder value over the next several years. They have people with the experience and the skills, the mineral assets, financing in progress and a credible plan to get them there.

As for specific pshare price targets and timeframes...I will let everyone work out their own models for themselves. The analyst consensus has IRL earning eleven cents per share by 2014. Pick a multiple and there you go.

For me, when it comes to juniors it really is all about management. Management integrity. Ability to execute. Ability to raise funds and manage them. To keep the share count under control. Ability to attract and motivate quality personnel when competition for them is intense. Ability to navigate delicate negotiations with multiple constituencies from government regulatory agencies to local communities. Ability to communicate with shareholders and analysts clearly, credibly and consistently.

There is still much work to be done before IRL completes its transition to a mid-tier mining company and this business is fraught with risk coming at it from every direction. It is why the management of these companies needs every one of those skill sets just inventoried and why I am comfortable sleeping at night holding on to my IRL shares.

Ticker:
IRL.TO
Shares OS:
151,902,884
Price:

0.90
Market Cap:

136,712,596

http://tmx.quotemedia.com/quote.php?qm_symbol=irl

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To: JimisJim who wrote (11532)1/9/2013 10:08:34 AM
From: hubris33
   of 12175
 
eh, slow to catch on... as I suspect most here have alreeady exited Coastal Energy (CEN.to/CENJF.pk)

Finally sold the last tranche of my Coastal holdings.

Nice "little" 253% gain on that play thanks to the table pounding here of JimisJim! Never met a multiple-bagger I didn't like..... ;) Thanks Jim! Just another example of the power of collective wisdom.

Now scoping PMs to redeploy the cash into. Sticking toe in the water with a few here and there.

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To: hubris33 who wrote (11607)1/9/2013 10:11:01 AM
From: loantech
   of 12175
 
HL back to full employment building production stopes ready to crank up LF any day now.

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