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   Strategies & Market TrendsCFZ E-Wiggle Workspace


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To: J_K who wrote (39049)12/4/2021 9:54:47 PM
From: skinowski
   of 39561
 
Interesting… so, AMD on the monthly chart just about completed 3rd waves of several degrees - and is due to trace out a corresponding series of 4th and 5th waves… until it completes the red 3. That should keep it in a predominantly bullish mode for quite some time.

The big red 4 will take time. The red 2 took many years.
Thanks, JK!

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From: skinowski12/4/2021 10:41:00 PM
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From: skinowski12/5/2021 2:20:14 PM
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Historically, large specs are a decent contrary indicator.

And this

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From: skinowski12/7/2021 1:13:14 PM
3 Recommendations   of 39561
 
A quick view on a 30 min chart. The top, I think, is wave 3 or C. If it goes down from here, the rally was probably corrective. If it consolidates and completes an impulse off the correction lows - well, quite possibly, the correction may be over.


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From: skinowski12/7/2021 1:43:12 PM
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Just the facts, ma’am


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From: skinowski12/8/2021 2:54:40 PM
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Useless, but a pretty pic


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From: skinowski12/10/2021 9:45:10 AM
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Follow the trend!!

We’re trying, we’re trying…


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From: skinowski12/11/2021 9:20:58 AM
2 Recommendations   of 39561
 
It’s OK to trade, but to manage savings, one must have a simple, safe long term strategy. This one - in an excellent post by Gary Antonacci - is a modification of the Sell in May and go Away strategy.

In this case, the investor isn’t completely out, but uses sector rotation. Some sectors do best in Nov - April, others - May- October.

This alone may form a fine core for a long term fact based investment strategy. It can be easily combined with other trend following rules, including Antonacci’s Dual Momentum.

The numbers in tables (later part of the post) show outperformance of a particular sector over (under) SP500.

Make sure you own Materials, Industials and Discretionary in Nov - April

AND Staples, Healthcare, Utilities in May - October

dualmomentum.net

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From: skinowski12/13/2021 3:52:09 PM
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Are we going to see 2 full months of this? Lol


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From: skinowski12/14/2021 10:17:57 AM
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Could it be that the old fashioned DOW may lead the markets this time? It made a recovery from correction lows which looks very much like an impulse (see wave 2 ending on Dec 3, at about 34,250). After completing W3 and W5, it declined in what looks like an ABC. It’s trying to rally this morning. If it can move above 35,700 (locking in the recent pullback as a three-waver)…. who knows, maybe that would be a very early heads up for further positive action. At any rate, worth watching.


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