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   Strategies & Market TrendsCFZ E-Wiggle Workspace


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To: skinowski who wrote (39052)12/4/2021 6:59:51 PM
From: kckip
   of 39555
 
Not sure there is a way for little "3" to be any kind of impulsive wave (or the larger move down for that matter).....unless it's subdividing and not finished yet......way too much overlap.

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To: kckip who wrote (39053)12/4/2021 9:44:42 PM
From: skinowski
1 Recommendation   of 39555
 
Yes, at this time NDX shows a three-waver down. If it traces out w4 and w5 down, it becomes an impulse - which would “invite” a bounce (2 or B). Next, we would expect a decline to new lows (C or 3).

Hence, the hope for the bulls is that the correction is over, or close to that - and the bull market resumes.

So, in the end, the forthcoming bounce will show us an indication of what’s to come.

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To: J_K who wrote (39049)12/4/2021 9:54:47 PM
From: skinowski
   of 39555
 
Interesting… so, AMD on the monthly chart just about completed 3rd waves of several degrees - and is due to trace out a corresponding series of 4th and 5th waves… until it completes the red 3. That should keep it in a predominantly bullish mode for quite some time.

The big red 4 will take time. The red 2 took many years.
Thanks, JK!

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From: skinowski12/4/2021 10:41:00 PM
1 Recommendation   of 39555
 

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From: skinowski12/5/2021 2:20:14 PM
2 Recommendations   of 39555
 
Historically, large specs are a decent contrary indicator.

And this

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From: skinowski12/7/2021 1:13:14 PM
3 Recommendations   of 39555
 
A quick view on a 30 min chart. The top, I think, is wave 3 or C. If it goes down from here, the rally was probably corrective. If it consolidates and completes an impulse off the correction lows - well, quite possibly, the correction may be over.


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From: skinowski12/7/2021 1:43:12 PM
1 Recommendation   of 39555
 
Just the facts, ma’am


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From: skinowski12/8/2021 2:54:40 PM
2 Recommendations   of 39555
 
Useless, but a pretty pic


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From: skinowski12/10/2021 9:45:10 AM
1 Recommendation   of 39555
 
Follow the trend!!

We’re trying, we’re trying…


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From: skinowski12/11/2021 9:20:58 AM
2 Recommendations   of 39555
 
It’s OK to trade, but to manage savings, one must have a simple, safe long term strategy. This one - in an excellent post by Gary Antonacci - is a modification of the Sell in May and go Away strategy.

In this case, the investor isn’t completely out, but uses sector rotation. Some sectors do best in Nov - April, others - May- October.

This alone may form a fine core for a long term fact based investment strategy. It can be easily combined with other trend following rules, including Antonacci’s Dual Momentum.

The numbers in tables (later part of the post) show outperformance of a particular sector over (under) SP500.

Make sure you own Materials, Industials and Discretionary in Nov - April

AND Staples, Healthcare, Utilities in May - October

dualmomentum.net

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