| To: Arran Yuan who wrote (281474) | 11/15/2020 8:35:33 PM | | From: Sun Tzu | | | | You are only partially correct. There are advantages that are afforded to the nation that prints the reserve currency. The other part is that as time goes by, the advantages diminish - mostly because the nation tends to piss it away like a kid that has too much time on his hands and doesn't know what to do with it. USD being the reserve currency is what has allowed the US to rackup so much stupid debt. Without it America would have shown better fiscal responsibility. The advantages also diminish in relative terms because the rest of the world moves forward and catches up.
Nor are the advantages completely one sided. The reason USD appreciates in value every time there is a global crisis is because the people in LatAm and developing nations trust the US government more with their money than they trust their own government. In return, and this is not due to the kindness of their heart but out of necessity, the Federal Reserve takes the USD denominated foreign debt and the impact on other markets into account as it makes up its own policy.
Having the reserve currency has certainly allowed the US to expand and maintain its empire. But empires are inherently dumb idea and not worth the headache. But somehow nobody seems to get that lesson from history. No country seems to have enough self control to know when enough is enough and always engages in world gluttony and suffers the consequences of having to run an unwieldy empire. |
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| To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (281475) | 11/15/2020 8:43:42 PM | | From: Sun Tzu | | | | Can you explain to me why some other country has to beat the US on GDP before the USD gives up the throne? Why for example the countries could not trade based on some basket of currencies that are used simply as a metric of value conversion while they simply barter with each other?
BTW, do you know what happened in Asia Pacific today? Do you remember that Asia trade deal that Obama wanted to push and the congress refused to sign on b/c it came from Obama (even though it was really the world of GWB)? Well that deal died and China took over to make a new treaty and today 15 Asian countries representing the largest trading block in the world signed up to it. India was the only major country that declined to sign in. The deal complements China's Belt and Road initiative and pretty much cements their leadership.
PS on PPP basis Chinese economy is the largest in the world with an estimated value of 25 trillion dollar vs US of about $20T. |
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| To: Sun Tzu who wrote (281477) | 11/16/2020 1:06:47 PM | | From: Sun Tzu | | | | | “Tomorrow’s successful states will probably be those that invest in infrastructure, knowledge, and relationships resilient to shock,” the U.S. National Intelligence Council predicted in a 2017 report. “Traditional calculations of state power” might include military spending, population size, or gross domestic product, but “rarely factor in a state’s resilience,” which depends more on matters such as strong alliances, an orderly society, robust critical infrastructure, and widespread public confidence in government, the analysts noted. Conversely, they added, “states can be fragile in ways that conventional measures of power do not capture.” |
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| To: Fiscally Conservative who wrote (281472) | 11/19/2020 4:04:19 PM | | From: BillShiphr | | | | | Hi, bro! I think that I can't answer you right now, but... I'm studying economics on Preply and I think that I can ask my tutor this question. It is not difficult for me, besides, I will study this theme more deeply. So, I will have a lesson next Monday and I will write to you after this. |
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