| To: Neocon who wrote (150674) | 11/2/2004 6:00:19 PM | | From: Win Smith | | | | She did not "adduce" the bin Laden tape, she spouted some nonsense from the Washington Times, washingtontimes.com Or maybe that particular story originated in some other "objective" corner of the warblogosphere, I couldn't say.
I'm fully aware that W's faithful propagandists have been working overtime to spin bin Laden's reappearance into something positive for W, but that doesn't exactly count as "inference" until you go through the looking glass. |
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| To: Sun Tzu who wrote (150681) | 11/2/2004 6:04:55 PM | | From: Sun Tzu | | | |
Released: November 02, 2004
Our Call
Zogby International's 2004 Predictions
(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
2004 Presidential Election
Electoral Votes:
Bush
213
Kerry
311
Too Close To Call
Nevada (5)
Too Close To Call
Colorado (9)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Zogby International Finds: Bush at 49.4%, Kerry at 49.1%
The nationwide telephone poll of 955 likely voters was conducted (November 1-2, 2004). The MOE is +/- 3.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Here's how we got there...
2004: Repeat of 2000 Figures: George Bush (Electoral Vote) UT 5 KS 6
WY 3 MS 6
ID 4 SC 8
AK 3 IN 11
NE 5 KY 8
ND 3 AL 9
MT 3 GA 15
SD 3 LA 9
OK 7 TX 34
John Kerry (Electoral Vote) ME 4 MD 10
VT 3 CT 7
IL 21 HI 4
RI 4 NY 31
DE 3 MA 12
NJ 15 DC 3
CA 55
Red State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
142 Blue State Totals (Using Current 2004 Electoral Vote Numbers):
172
2004 Battleground States:
2000
2004
Our Call
Bush Electoral Votes
Kerry Electoral Votes
%Margin
%Margin
Arizona (10)*
Bush + 6.28%
Bush 6%
10
-
Arkansas (6)*
Bush + 5.44%
Bush 3%
6
-
Colorado (9)
Bush + 8.36%
Too Close To Call
-
-
Florida (27)
Bush + 0.01%
Kerry .1%
Trending Kerry
-
27
Iowa (7)
Gore + 0.31%
Kerry 5%
-
7
Michigan (17)
Gore + 5.13%
Kerry 6%
-
17
Minnesota (10)
Gore + 2.4%
Kerry 6%
-
10
Missouri (11)*
Bush + 3.34%
Bush 3%
11
-
Nevada (5)
Bush + 3.55%
Too Close To Call
-
-
New Hampshire (4) *
Bush + 1.27%
Kerry 5%
-
4
New Mexico (5)
Gore + 0.06%
Kerry 3%
-
5
North Carolina (15)*
Bush + 12.83%
Bush 3%
15
-
Oregon (7)*
Gore + 0.44%
Kerry 10%
-
7
Ohio (20)
Bush + 3.51%
Bush 2%
Trending Kerry
-
20
Pennsylvania (21)
Gore + 4.17%
Trending Kerry
-
21
Tennessee (11)*
Bush + 3.86%
Bush 4%
11
-
Virginia (13)* Bush + 7.00% Bush 13 -
Washington (11)*
Gore + 5.58%
Kerry 11%
-
11
West Virginia (5)*
Bush + 6.32%
Bush 4%
5
-
Wisconsin (10)
Gore + 0.22%
Kerry 6%
-
10
Battleground State Totals 71 139
Current Grand Total: 213 311
* States denoted with an asterisk were polled online in Zogby Interactive surveys.
(as of Nov. 2, 2004 5:00pm)
(11/1/2004)
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| To: Nadine Carroll who wrote (150671) | 11/2/2004 6:10:46 PM | | From: Michael Watkins | | | | Osama bin Laden just threatened every state
Whether he threatened individual states of the United States of America, or nation-states, is perhaps open to interpretation but in my opinion your interpretation seems wildly off the mark.
He threatened "states which attack us" - while at the same time said that neither Bush nor Kerry could deliver security. Unless Bin Laden was making a veiled reference to electing Nader (why would he be that obtuse), he's really talking about nation-states.
Nation-states fits far better than the other interpretation, since nation-states (including coalition partners in Iraq, NATO forces in Afghanistan) actually have waged war against Saddam (Iraq) and Al Qaeda (Afghanistan). |
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