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   Technology StocksQualcomm Moderated Thread - please read rules before posting


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To: Humble who wrote (122675)11/5/2014 5:18:12 PM
From: Jim Mullens
1 Recommendation   of 170245
 
Humble, CY guidance ...

OK, now got it. Not providing CY 15 guidance at this time. Please disregard prior 2 posts.

Don't know if FY15 guidance includes or does not include revenues / expenses for China device sales in dispute.

Per Q&A- high end of guidance assumes "some" net income of items in dispute. Very confusing.

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To: Jim Mullens who wrote (122677)11/5/2014 5:47:47 PM
From: B. A. Wayne
   of 170245
 
Presumably the lost revenues also impacts licensing and royalty up front payments? Any way Q can book the losses for tax purposes until they are recovered?

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To: B. A. Wayne who wrote (122678)11/5/2014 5:54:01 PM
From: Art Bechhoefer
   of 170245
 
"Any way Q can book the losses for tax purposes until they are recovered?" I doubt it. What seems to happen is that Q is now reporting lower QTL revenues and royalties, producing less taxable revenue. At some later point, if Q can collect the revenues owed from either companies not licensed or companies that are licensed but still aren't paying, the additional revenues will simply add to total taxable income. The discrepancy between what Qualcomm estimates as "global" versus "reported" revenues accounts for the wider range of guidance for the coming quarter and fiscal year.

Art

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From: gutboy0911/5/2014 6:22:00 PM
   of 170245
 
And now this too?

Qualcomm also said it faces a new probe by the European Commission about rebates and other financial incentives in the sale of its chips. Another preliminary investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission concerns Qualcomm's licensing business, including a potential breach of licensing terms, the company said.

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To: Art Bechhoefer who wrote (122679)11/5/2014 6:30:02 PM
From: SirWalterRalegh
1 Recommendation   of 170245
 
Art-

Do you worry about the Qualcomm business strategy crumbling in China?

SRW

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To: Jim Mullens who wrote (122676)11/5/2014 8:47:56 PM
From: slacker711
1 Recommendation   of 170245
 
I havent listened to the call but Q's presentation lays out the numbers well. Global 3g/4g sales are projected to be $250-$257 billion in FY2014 vs. the $243.6 billion actually reported.

files.shareholder.com

One number that jumps out at me is that they are projecting a 9-10% decline in global ASP in 2015 (no estimate for the collected ASP).

Slacker

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To: slacker711 who wrote (122682)11/5/2014 9:14:04 PM
From: engineer
2 Recommendations   of 170245
 
remember you have to factor that in with caps on the amount royalty is collected upon. So if the ASPs are actually above the cap, it does not affect their revenue at all. Once the ASPs ge below the cap, then it will scale with the ASP decline.

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From: N.Novick11/5/2014 9:31:33 PM
   of 170245
 
Conference call

Did anyone listen in?
Anyone have call in number for replay?

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To: N.Novick who wrote (122684)11/5/2014 9:51:38 PM
From: slacker711
   of 170245
 
Transcript now available.

seekingalpha.com

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To: engineer who wrote (122683)11/5/2014 10:05:42 PM
From: N.Novick
1 Recommendation   of 170245
 
ASPs

The point is made in the transcript that, as ASP declines, total sales dollars as base for royalties is projected to rise, due to unit volume growth.

Also, comment was made that larger drop in ASP is due to large scale of conversion of GSM and TD to LTE with resulting more low end LTE. They forecast rate of decline will slow in a few years as these conversions progress and more people then get upgrades.

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