To: SkyDart who wrote () | 5/17/2000 2:37:00 AM | From: SkyDart | | |
Ride the Telcom Wave with the safety of diversification [without sacrificing the return of individual stocks]:
To get a feel for this stellar fund's performance consider today's one day returns by looking at each of the top ten holdings:
BRCD 126 +11 1/16 [+9.6%] BRCM 166 5/8 +11 3/8 [+7.3%] INSP 60 +2 [+3.4%] JDSU 94 1/4 +4 3/8 [+4.9%] JNPR 175 1/16 +6 3/8 [+3.8%] NSOL 148 5/8 +10 [+7.2%] RRRR 19 9/16 +2 5/16 [+13.4%] SCMR 83 +8 7/8 [+12%] SDLI 217 +22 1/4 [+11.3%] VRTS 104 +10 1/16 [+10.7%]
PBTCX 65.7 +3.8 [+6.2%] |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (1) | 5/20/2000 1:13:00 AM | From: SkyDart | | |
FUND UPDATE 5.19.00
PBTCX 58.06 -4.31 [-7.2%]
ACTION: Added 20% to position today.
EXPECTATION:
NAZ may test 3200 lows next week and if these break, then 2900 looks like next support.
Many Telecoms at support between 200 ande 300 day moving averages.
We are near the bottom IMO given the decreasing volume and force of the downswings and the numerous bullish divergences emerging.
Favorite Picks:
BRCD at 106
EXDS at 71
ALGX at 53
DART |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (2) | 5/22/2000 4:24:00 PM | From: SkyDart | | |
REVERSAL DAY for many Telecoms and NAZ 100 in general.
Fund should be going up from here.
I will post a fund update later after I get some time to analyze further.
DART |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (3) | 5/30/2000 11:04:00 PM | From: SkyDart | | |
FUND UPDATE 5-30-00: Bounce today. Whether we hit THE BOTTOM remains to be seen. But the magnitude of the bounce is remarkable. Fund up over 11% today!
PBTCX 59.22 +6.29 [+11.9%]
Successful retests of bottoms in many of the fund's stocks.
Top Ten Holdings performance:
1. BRCD up 14.3% 2. BRCM up 11.6% 3. INSP up 11.9% 4. JDSU up 13.5% 5. JNPR up 14% 6. RRR up 9.7% 7. NSOL up 11.8% 8. SCMR up 17.6% 9. SDLI up 12.2% 10.VRTS up 16.2%
Good luck.
Dart |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (4) | 6/3/2000 1:46:00 AM | From: SkyDart | | |
FUND UPDATE:
PBTCX now up to 70. Another 16% last 2 trading days.
Anyone with the guts to buy last week would be up from 52 to 70 in a week--a 35% pop.
I believe we are on track for 300% from bottom to Decemeber this year....
CANDLESTICKS ON naz SHOW RUNNAWAY GAPS....
DART |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (5) | 6/7/2000 1:03:00 AM | From: SkyDart | | |
FUND UPDATE: 6.6.00 Down 4% to 68.65. Time to load up IMO by averaging in this next pullback.
For those of you who did not trust this rally [like me], now may be a good time to average in as the NAZ pulls back. Got so negative I unloaded most of the fund at NAV of 58. Hope I can get in in the low 60's and high 50's again. I plan to average in every down close.
SHORT TERM PULLBACK LIKELY:
Many stocks showed reversal patterns near close after HUGE runnups. IE ARBA has a DARK CLOUD Candle. JDSU showing bearish candlesticks, and Donald Sew [master timer] is calling for a NAZ pullback next few days [should only drop to 3500 to 3600 range if we truly are now in an uptrend].
WHY I BELIEVE WE HIT BOTTOM:
McClellen Osc showing a middle spike following a complex bottom; This traditionally occurs before the buy spike.
See DecisionPoint.com and look at historic McCl. Osc Bottoms, ie 1998, 1929 etc....
A diversified Telecom Fund like PBTCX [or any other good one] should fly if the techs go inot an uptrend and if the recent bounce is any indication, we should trend upward into the fall, and then really fly by Christmas barring any unforseen setbacks.
I will be adding all the way up...
DART |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (6) | 6/7/2000 2:14:00 AM | From: SkyDart | | |
CANDLE REVERSAL PATTERNS on many of the TOP TEN TODAY:
BRCD: +1%. Shooting Star Bearish Reversal Pattern BRCM: -3.8% Bearish Engulfing Pattern. INSP: -8.5% Bearish Engulfing. JDSU: -1.9% Bearish Engulfing. JNPR: -6.3% Bearish Engulfing.
FWIW:
The Oils are a good counterplay when the NAZ reverses. SLB and FLC showing bullish reversal patterns and can be played long short term as NAZ reverses.
DART |
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To: SkyDart who wrote (7) | 6/13/2000 6:36:00 PM | From: 52387674 | | |
SKYDART,im also into pbtcx.made mucho money on it last yr[240%].lost bunch last month.began "trading" it last month similar to what you're doing.my top ten holdings are different than what you posted.i get my list of top ten holdings from fidelity[ i have it in an annuity account].how about you?as of 4/30 they list following as top 10 insp,sdli,cien,jdsu,etek,nsol,amcc,vign,cmrc,and mrv communication |
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To: 52387674 who wrote (8) | 6/18/2000 12:09:00 AM | From: SkyDart | | |
Thanks for the Updated Fund Info....
Mine was updated 3-1-00 via Scwhab site so yours is more current.
I will update the top ten as noted; AMCC, VIGN, INSP, SDLI, CIEN, JDSU, ETEK, NSOL, CMRC, MRV.
The NAZ breadth indicators, New High, New Lows, Oscillators, RoC etc all look EXTREMELY SIMILAR to the NAZ runnup and reversal off the 1998 lows...
If this follows through, we should see a major runnup in the NAZ over the remainder of the year that could take us to new highs. A Flag or Bullish rectangle has formed in the chart that statistically is likely to break out to the upside [but could break to the downside].
Given last week's low volatility and option's expiration, this week should breakout strongly either up or down.
Dart... |
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To: SkyDart who started this subject | 8/17/2000 2:36:14 AM | From: SkyDart | | | BUY SIGNAL: ALGX
PBTCX now 75.
NAZ showing emerging strength as are the SOX index and the CLECS.
ALGX showing buy signal as it is breaking out in Rate of Change and MACD signal. Also, huge volume; greatest up volume day in last year.
I also like and watch MCLD NXLK.
Last run of ALGX took it from 45 to 78 in 7 trading days...[end of May to early June].
Time to buy IMO.
DART |
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