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   Strategies & Market TrendsWHAT STOCKS WILL BENEFIT THE MOST FROM A MSFT BREAKUP?


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To: Sam2482 who wrote (1)11/6/1999 7:25:00 PM
From: BILL G.
   of 25
 
AGREED
No time like the present for speculation.

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To: BILL G. who wrote (2)11/6/1999 8:23:00 PM
From: pagejack
   of 25
 
If one can gain any guidance from the breakup of Standard Oil in 1911, the shareholders of Microsoft could be the big winners! At the conclusion of the Standard Oil Sherman Anti-trust Act case in 1911, Standard Oil was broken up into a total of 34 companies. In the next 10 years, the value of the old Standard Oil's constituent companies quintupled. John D. Rockefeller's 25% interest in Standard Oil was worth $300 million in 1911. By the end of 1913, his 25% interest in the constituent companies was worth $900 million. "Titan - The Life of John D. Rockefeller, Sr.", Ron Chernow pp. 556-557.

Other than Microsoft shareholders, I would assume that Sun and AOL would be two companies that could benefit from a weakening of Microsoft. I would point out that an increase in value to MSFT shareholders and a weakening of Microsoft are not mutually exclusive. MSFT's components may be worth more, in toto, as separate entities than as a part of a huge corporation.

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To: pagejack who wrote (3)11/6/1999 10:14:00 PM
From: Harvey Allen
   of 25
 
Take MSN and Explorer. What do you get? AOL.
Which would you rather own?

Take Windows 2000 and buy a hardware company. What
do you get? SUNW.
Which would you rather own?

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To: Harvey Allen who wrote (4)11/7/1999 2:16:00 PM
From: Jaime Leiderman
   of 25
 
How can IBM stock benefit from latest MSFT news?

jl

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To: BILL G. who wrote ()11/7/1999 4:00:00 PM
From: PashaBear
   of 25
 
How about odd-ball OS vendors and desktop suite vendors,
e.g., BEOS, CORL, etc.?

PB

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To: PashaBear who wrote (6)11/7/1999 6:29:00 PM
From: BILL G.
   of 25
 
Possibly, Looking here for move on rhat and sunw and aol
tommorrow. Day-traders dream.

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To: BILL G. who wrote (7)11/7/1999 9:40:00 PM
From: Stephen O
   of 25
 
If RHAT is going to move CORL will move more on a percentage basis.

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To: Jaime Leiderman who wrote (5)11/8/1999 5:57:00 AM
From: Harvey Allen
   of 25
 
Jamie- IBM has made a big bet on Win2000 and I think it's
a smart bet. If you read Judge Jackson's Finding of Facts
you'll see Paragraphs 115 to 132 are devoted to the damage
inflicted on IBM PC Company by Microsoft. This damage
liability is a huge number, many time more than Netscape's
but I doubt that Lou will ever bother to collect on it.

Better that he has a loaded gun right on Bill's temple.

So it will be "Be nice to IBM" time at Microsoft for
a long while and that will help IBM's stock immensely.

Harvey

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To: Harvey Allen who wrote (9)11/8/1999 6:07:00 AM
From: Harvey Allen
   of 25
 
BTW- The breakup has already started. Most of the money
flowing out of Microsoft is going into non-Windows solutions.

Harvey

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To: Harvey Allen who wrote (9)11/8/1999 7:39:00 AM
From: Jaime Leiderman
   of 25
 
Harvey- Thanks for your insight!
I have not read judge report yet, will have to download it today.

Btw, Indications show IBM up in pre-market...
Lets see what happens.

Thanks again

jl

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