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   Biotech / MedicalOcular Sciences (OCLR)


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To: EyeDrMike who wrote ()2/5/1999 6:05:00 PM
From: E'Lane
   of 36
 
Hummm....

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To: E'Lane who wrote (1)2/6/1999 7:59:00 AM
From: EyeDrMike
   of 36
 
lol,

i think the part of your post was accidentally deleted.

Wanna continue your thoughts?

M

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To: EyeDrMike who wrote ()5/20/1999 4:18:00 PM
From: Alan Villalon
   of 36
 
I posted the following message in the cup and handle forum:

I too have made some good money with the cup and handle formations in the past. I scan IBD daily to see if any charts have that pattern and then examine the underlying stock (because in the end I'll be owning the company not the chart). Anyway, chart and fundamentals look good for OCLR.

bigcharts.com

I see that this cup and handle actually is quite extended (started on July '98 - May '99). Fundamentally, the company has little LT debt (2%)and mgmt owns 34%. Zacks has a Strong Buy rating and they have beaten estimates the last 6 quarters. Earnings growth is estimated around 24-28% and current PE is 24.

Comments?

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To: Alan Villalon who wrote (3)5/20/1999 4:21:00 PM
From: EyeDrMike
   of 36
 
product is very good, management from what i have seen is excellent, and the recent drop from the product recall is a non-event. All that "recalled" product is already out and in the marketplace. Probably used at this point.

Mike

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To: EyeDrMike who wrote (4)5/20/1999 6:11:00 PM
From: Alan Villalon
   of 36
 
From what I read, looks like the recall will be less than $200K. I also saw that there was only 3 complaints that management reported off.

Do they have any other products in the pipeline?

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To: Alan Villalon who wrote (5)5/20/1999 6:14:00 PM
From: EyeDrMike
   of 36
 
Nothing that would, IMO, make a material impact on revenues going forward.

Their conventional and disposable line are very good lenses, they just need to gain market share, domestically and internationally, and keep production capacity up to meet demand. They have had problems meeting demand in the past.

Mike

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To: EyeDrMike who wrote (6)6/8/1999 2:44:00 PM
From: Alan Villalon
   of 36
 
Anyone know why the bloodbath today? OCLR is down over 6 points (25%) and there isn't any recent news.

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To: Alan Villalon who wrote (7)6/8/1999 2:47:00 PM
From: EyeDrMike
   of 36
 
•1:06 Shares of Ocular Sciences shed nearly one-quarter of their value on trading that was more than 10 times heavier than average. (See other stocks with price and volume gaps.) John Kinnard analyst Richard Leza said he's hearing concerns that the maker of contact lenses (OCLR: news, msgs) will report lower-than-expected sales. He expects Ocular Sciences to show revenue of $47 million, but added some traders say the company may only do $45 million. The South San Francisco-based company declined comment. Shares of Ocular Science fell 6 3/8, or 23 percent, to 20 78.

This said, i bought back in today on the drop, after recently selling based on the introduction of ACUVUE 2 into the marketplace.

At this level, OCLR is a strong buy. IMO.

Mike

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To: EyeDrMike who wrote ()6/9/1999 9:44:00 AM
From: Alan Villalon
   of 36
 
How did this leak out. That's BS when people know of news before everyone else. Oh well, I will look to see if management can rebound and recover their earnings growth. Short term bears will pillage this stock.

Wednesday June 9, 9:22 am Eastern Time

Ocular Sciences sees Q2 revs under expectations

LOS ANGELES, Calif, June 9 (Reuters) - Contact lens maker Ocular Sciences (Nasdaq:OCLR - news), whose stock dropped on Tuesday on rumors of an earnings shortfall, said on Wednesday that the company expects revenue in the second quarter to be below expectations.

Ocular Sciences did not give specifics but said ''we currently expect that earnings per share will be in the range of analysts' estimates for the second quarter, on solid, but lower than originally expected revenue.''

Growing investor concern over the company's revenue outlook sliced off more than a quarter of Ocular's value on Tuesday. Shares closed at $19-10/16 after opening at $27.00.

On Wednesday, Ocular said revenues would be impacted by the ''little or no growth'' in the U.S. optical market.

''Continued softness in the U.S. marketplace and the resulting competitive pressures would have an adverse impact on our rate of growth in the second half of the year,'' the company said in a statement, adding it will put more emphasis on international markets.

One analyst, Richard Leza of John G. Kinnard & Co., said he expects the South San Francisco-based company to report second quarter revenues of $45 million and quarterly earnings per share of 39 cents.

Analysts surveyed by First Call expected the company to earn 40 cents a share in the quarter ending June 30.

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To: EyeDrMike who wrote (8)6/9/1999 8:30:00 PM
From: dragonpawn
   of 36
 
After stock price dropped this much, lawsuits will follow and the
price will drop further.

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