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The analyst reports were just days before the Q2 reports. Furthermore, consider the earnings estimates on Q3 and the long run and you'll notice how well CLS is poised for growth. A 10 billion dollar contract from the acquisition of two key Lucent plants will generate a very high cash flow.
CLS is a victim of the short lived "earnings report" season. Even at such it remain held up pretty strong. Investors will benefit on taking advantage of buying opportunities just like CLS continues to apply.
Lucent's future is uncertain, so the purchase and lease of 2 plants is questionable. The business is still a low margin, high volume business, so it would be easy to move from a profit to a loss.
I still hate the use of adjusted earnings. The company grows from acquisitions, so lets talk net earnings which takes into account goodwill charges. Goodwill represents "overpayment". IMHO CLS is overvalued. With the talk of a global recession, I dont't see thinks getting better for at least a year.
When CLS takes over the operation of the Lucent plants, clearly it's the only remedy for profit. Those plants need positive cash flow in order to implement real growth in that sector. Celestica will meet and surpass this requirement. A $10 billion dollar US deal is something worth investing in. CLS could have made the mistake of buying these plants earlier when they were over valued.
Long positions will be fairly compensated. Can't say much about shorters however...
I expect my arguments to be judged on their merits. That has been the claim from the beginning. If you choose to continue this infantile behaviour, that is certainly your perogative and I have no objections but others on this board might.
I continue to hold Celestica at a profit and I think their business model will by highly lucrative in the future. My opinion of EMS providers is that they are the bullet makers in the tech wars who will survive no matter who wins. Those with enough mass around the world will most efficiently be able to allocate resources as large companies will award them the most contracts because of their geographical coverage and ability to use economic advantage most effectively.
Celestica looks to rebound from tough year By EBN Jan 9, 2002 (9:56 AM)
....Marvin MaGee, president and chief operating officer, says the Toronto-based company will reach $20 billion in revenues in 2004. Prior to announcing the deal with NEC, he spoke with EBN senior editor Claire Serant about the company's customer relationships and outlook...