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   Gold/Mining/EnergyGold Price Monitor


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From: Rarebird1/25/2022 9:49:34 AM
2 Recommendations   of 115388
 
Gold Miners don't do well in the late stages of a bull market or at the beginning of bear markets.

Gold Miners are very early cycle plays at the anticipation of the onset of Fed easing. Otherwise, the Miners are permanent shorts.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (115273)1/25/2022 10:06:23 AM
From: Rarebird
   of 115388
 
Gold bugs will argue that if the stock market falls enough to prompt the Fed to back off from its tightening cycle, Gold and the Miners will rally strongly.

My response would be that the Miners may stabilize for a while if that scenario took place. However, the Miners would continue to fall with the broad market till that point was reached and the stock market would still not be in an early cycle bull easing environment.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (115274)1/25/2022 10:08:40 AM
From: Rarebird
   of 115388
 
Gold Bulls always concoct ways in which the Mining stocks could rally.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (115275)1/26/2022 12:15:29 PM
From: bjzimmy
   of 115388
 
So no consideration for Russia invading Ukraine for a short term pop?

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To: bjzimmy who wrote (115276)1/26/2022 12:43:58 PM
From: Rarebird
1 Recommendation   of 115388
 
I no longer play short term intra-day pops. I'm sure Gold would pop if a war started out. But it would represent a sell the pop. Why bother? The big money is in holding top quality stocks intermediate to long term. Maybe the equity bull has till 2024. It will be a pretty catastrophic drop, the mother of all Bears once the Bull completes. We are not there yet.

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To: Rarebird who wrote (115277)1/26/2022 2:02:43 PM
From: bjzimmy
   of 115388
 
Interesting you say 2024. Might want to read this as he's been calling 2024 for over 10 years.

On CMS, The Budget, And Powell

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From: mattstat1/27/2022 8:18:21 AM
1 Recommendation   of 115388
 
GDX is racing down to fill the gap at $26. Been waiting for this move for a while.

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To: mattstat who wrote (115279)1/27/2022 8:46:43 AM
From: rdkflorida2
   of 115388
 
Quite a while back I was looking for $22. Not so sure now. RDK

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To: rdkflorida2 who wrote (115280)1/27/2022 9:07:12 AM
From: mattstat
   of 115388
 
Could see it! I am way short GDX! Big move down here.

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To: mattstat who wrote (115281)1/27/2022 9:09:45 AM
From: rdkflorida2
   of 115388
 
Major players in the markets a calling for a (my words), "full Monty Volker" type move by the Fed. We could be heading to a '87 type down day blow off. TWT.

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