To: Sun Tzu who wrote (115215) | 11/23/2021 8:52:40 AM | From: Rarebird | | | So, what do you do in a situation like this where it appears that Gold is back below its old trading range ( pending the close, of course) after recently breaking out? Do you sell or hold?
There needs to be a time line for a break out to be considered a true break out. Lots of stocks temporarily break out of their range and then reveal that it was a fake out a few days or a week later. |
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To: Sun Tzu who wrote (115243) | 11/23/2021 12:46:35 PM | From: Rarebird | | | What took place in regard to Gold is typical: lots of stocks have strong breakouts and then retreat into their own range shortly thereafter. I went through this with AA, which broke out recently with an 11% daily gain, only to fall back within its old range. But now the range has extended. I am up a bit, nothing special. I am long a number of stocks that go up/down 5% on a daily basis. Their daily range is sometimes 7-8%.
In the case of Gold, I think you were wise selling. I say this because Gold is a momentum trade and the momentum was broken today.
I am long stocks that trade within a box of 15%. They hold the range for months, then boom!! It is all about your time horizon and how you size up the company, fundamentally speaking. |
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To: Cogito Ergo Sum who wrote (115245) | 11/23/2021 12:58:40 PM | From: Rarebird | | | So have I....Thing that gets me, I own a few retailers that are down 3-4% today because BBY and ANF reported earnings and were down 16%. The same thing happened a few days ago to the upside when M and another retailer beat estimates and the stocks surged 18%.
Wonder what the hell my GPS will do when they report after the close? I am going to probably sell half sometime today and play it frugal.
I wish I had a crystal ball. |
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