From: OldAIMGuy | 6/15/2023 8:15:21 AM | | | | With the markets teasing my GTC Sell orders, this song came to mind!
youtube.com
A sign of a bull market is that "Good News" is treated like good news and "Bad News" is treated like good news. A sign of a bear market is that "Good News" is treated like bad news and "Bad News" is treated like bad news. The FED didn't raise rates (good news?) and the markets turn downward. The FED said it is considering two more rate hikes (bad news?) and the market futures have turned downward.
Hmmmmm. It's looking more like a bear market might be creeping up on us!
Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 7/13/2023 7:03:02 PM | | | | Here's the view at the Half Year mark.........................................
International ETFs Composite Account
 The Cash Reserve is slowly increasing as the ETFs recover from the 2022 bearish period.
U.S. Business Sector ETFs Composite Account
 As with the International portfolio the U.S. Domestic account is slowly rebuilding the cash reserves as the invested portion recovers.
Tom's 10 Stock "Sandbox" Portfolio
 The real surprise here is that this is the least diversified of the portfolios and yet it seems to have suffered the least during the 2022 downturn. Here, too, the cash is recovering nicely after working hard during the turn down.
Tom's Simple Contributory IRA (managed with AIM's cousin, Twinvest)
 Similar to Dollar Cost Averaging, Twinvest takes one's periodic additions and splits the allocation between the growth component and the cash reserve. Here again we see that both positions are recovering nicely from the 2022 swoon.
Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: andyasj | 7/17/2023 11:14:02 AM | | | | New AIM based app for crypto
I don't know if anyone is interested in a new app on Microsoft Store and Google Play Store. Crypto AIM uses the Robert Lichello algorithm to track prices and suggest market orders for criptocurrency portfolios.
Microsoft: apps.microsoft.com Google: play.google.com
AIM was designed for a stock portfolio but this implementation is specifically designed for crypto investments. It appears that the AIM algorithm is more efficient with more volatile investments and so ought to be well suited to crypto. See 'Sensitivity Analysis of AIM' below.
Back-Testing AIM: toughnickel.com
Sensitivity Analysis of AIM: toughnickel.com
More links to AIM articles within the app. |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 7/24/2023 9:10:23 AM | | | | When Short crosses Long Some Storms coming could be strong With too much, too fast....

This is the first time we've seen the 18 Month v-W cross the 3-5 year line in over 2 years. Maybe all the short term gains have used up the short term potential. |
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To: OldAIMGuy who wrote (18827) | 7/30/2023 8:34:19 AM | From: OldAIMGuy | | | It would appear we're starting to see the short term upside potential of this market be limited by the rise in shorter term (18 month) risk. This is occurring even as the longer term picture remains essentially unchanged for the Year-To-Date.

Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 8/19/2023 9:17:39 AM | | | | The v-Wave was steady at the 3-5 Year measure and relaxed a bit for the 18 Month forecast.

The circled areas show the v-Wave was pretty good at calling last year's bottom and has been giving good advice with this most recent peak in the indexes and rising market risk.
Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 9/11/2023 9:03:08 AM | | | | Here's the latest view of our v-Wave data...............................................

Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 9/15/2023 9:30:51 AM | | | | The end of August left V.I.E.W.s portfolios with modest setbacks from the previous month. However, all are ahead of where they started 2023 so far.
Simple Contributory IRA - Managed with modified Twinvest using VUG as the Growth component and cash  (20% Cash Reserve)
Tom's 10 Company Stocks portfolio - Each managed as a separate AIM engine  (21% Cash Reserve)
U.S. Business Sector ETF Portfolio - Each managed as separate AIM engines  (12% Cash Reserve)
9 International "Style" ETF Portfolio - Each managed as separate AIM engines  (16% Cash Reserve)
While we're sailing with a lot of Canvas unfurled we're keeping a steady course with AIM as our navigator.
Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 10/2/2023 7:51:22 AM | | | | Welcome to the first week of October.
It appears that market risk and index highs of the 2023 Summer both peaked at about the same time.
 With the long term v-Wave back to Median level, maybe we can put September in the rear view mirror!
Best wishes, OAG Tom |
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From: OldAIMGuy | 10/8/2023 12:51:30 PM | | | | The v-Wave comes in at its Median value again this week for the 3-5 year outlook....

Best wishes, OAG |
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