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   Strategies & Market TrendsWaiting for the big Kahuna


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To: Vitas who wrote (94561)11/22/2016 10:05:25 PM
From: William H Huebl
   of 94677
 
Well that was good advice to those who listened. It is Katie bar the door now for the upside it would seem. We are seeing a BK to the upside?

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From: William H Huebl11/23/2016 8:58:12 PM
   of 94677
 
I am expecting as much as a 2-3 month bull run now. SPY etc

Precious metals down as will be oil.

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (94563)11/25/2016 5:36:42 PM
From: robert b furman
   of 94677
 
Hi Bill,

Hope all is well !

So what is the opposite of a BIG KAHUNA ?

ANUHAK GIB. LOL

Bob

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To: robert b furman who wrote (94564)12/1/2016 10:55:07 AM
From: William H Huebl
   of 94677
 
For those who do not know, and obviously you do, most folks think of a BK as a huge drop in the markets. But there also can be huge rises in the markets and that is a reverse BK.

And I don't believe that oil prices will change that much either.

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (94565)12/1/2016 11:09:47 AM
From: robert b furman
1 Recommendation   of 94677
 
Hi Bill,

Yes can you please make the a reverse BK.

I'm very leery about Opec and their commitment to reduce crude production.

Perhaps there is honor among thieves, but I think they are a pack of cheatin SOB's.

When just words can boost oil 15-20 % in two days then just words can break the run up as well.

I bought some KMI , ESV, and RIG during this years long decline (told myself it was a buy - put it in a drawer and forgetaboutit).

Which I have done - this pop made me remember them and that's nice - I just don't trust it.

I guess I should though - as the decline below production costs was a manipulated market intended to cripple our shale industry.

The USA will now become the swing producer as shale efficiencies have made many of the shale fields profitable.

Think of the billions that will be retained with in the USA with just royalties vs buying crude from the Arabs or Persians - has to have huge long term positive impact on the USA.

Good to hear from you - Thanks for the shout out!!

Bob

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To: robert b furman who wrote (94566)12/3/2016 10:06:44 PM
From: William H Huebl
   of 94677
 
All 3 seem to be gaining strength based on moving averages and special K (pring).

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (94567)12/5/2016 11:09:00 AM
From: robert b furman
   of 94677
 
Hi Bill,

Another nice little conservative stock that seems to have very brilliant mgt team is CNNX.

They have pipe lines from the Marcellus and the Utica.

Utica has line pressures over 1000 psi - they use the Utica high pressure to move the natural gas collected from Marcellus and avoid the costs of compressor stations - smart low cost thinking.

They have moved up a 3 bagger - so I'm just watching to add more if there ever is a dip.

But I like their style.

Bob

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To: robert b furman who wrote (94568)12/5/2016 10:31:14 PM
From: William H Huebl
   of 94677
 
Getting long in the tooth according to trend-lines on VTX indicator. We may have as much as 2 - 3 months before a major sell-off.

Oil doesn't seem to be going anywhere either.

Spy seems to show the Trump move up may be running into headwinds.

The question is will the holiday season upon us support another bull move up?

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To: William H Huebl who wrote (94569)12/6/2016 10:45:42 AM
From: robert b furman
   of 94677
 
Tom Drakes 2cs indicator has yet to get euphoric (54.69 was the lowest on 11/28)

tops in an impulsive up usually get into mid 40's.

chief's climax studies are good until 12/19 and then we have before and after Christmas which seasonally is good.

WWW is tomorrow - I'm expecting a churn with negative bias through tomorrow then a nice rally into the week of Christmas.

January and February are toss ups, but in a bull - surprises are to the plus side.

I've quite a few long term puts expiring in January these next 45 days will be very profitable if we just go sideways - so I'm talking my book.<smile>

I always learn something from your posts VTX ? I'm not familiar.

Oil has had quite a run.

If it were to continue the shale boys would screw it up - side ways and up to the 60's would be good.

Beyond that and Vladimir would be calling Trump. lol

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To: robert b furman who wrote (94570)12/6/2016 9:17:08 PM
From: William H Huebl
   of 94677
 
I don't know whether you can get the chart in the link below.

VTX is the vortex indicator and I have drawn red lines eventually coming to a point in the future which are at the top of the red (-VI) moves and bottom of the green (+VI) moves. When the trend line(s) is/are broken, that is an indication that the move has completed and I would expect a sell-off at that point.

BWDIK

schrts.co

Another indication the move is almost over for cnnx is that all 3 type point and figure charts = traditional, percentage and atr show little possibility imho of a move up any more. In fact, atr shows the significant overhead that price needs to get through to go on to bigger and better things. It does show the possibility of a bit more on the upside, tho. But I wouldn't want to be the presidency on it (heehee).

Compare those PnFs to SPY and you will see a clear bull move up underway with no overhead.

As always, my own opinion with no guarantees and not an offer to sell, buy, or otherwise trade any stocks or other vehicle. I am not registered as such and you cannot depend on my observations to be other than IMHO.

Is that a CYA or what?

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