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Strategies & Market Trends : Young and Older Folk Portfolio

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From: chowder7/27/2022 9:58:56 PM
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red cardinal

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Worst Case Intrinsic Values ...

When analysts are determining valuations for companies they do have bull, bear and base rate scenarios. The base rate is the middle point between the worst case and the bull case.

Intrinsic Value is a fundamental, objective value that is based on the company's financials (such as revenue, net income, cash, debt, etc.). Where market price tells you the price other people are willing to pay, intrinsic value shows you the stock's value based on an analysis of its actual financial performance.

Below is a list of companies from the Old Folk Portfolio currently selling at a discount to the worst case valuation or very close to it.

Company - Worst Case Price Point (not the current price)

Utilities -

AEP - $94.90
AQN - $13.35
BIPC - $63.11
CNP - $29.00

Consumer Staples -

BTI - $44.45
MO - $49.19

Financials -

BX - $102.28
HTGC - $16.22
OCSL - $8.49
ORCC - $16.59
MS - $129.89
ARCC - $19.91
ARES - $11.86
CM - $57.69
BMO - $135.39
PRU - $108.11
TD - $76.63
RY - $124.86

REIT's -

VICI - $32.41
NTST - $20.61

Healthcare -

CVS - $120.83
ELV - $469.16

Discretionary -

LEG - $40.78
DHI - $86.87
TGT - $151.34
FDX - $289.72

Communications -

T - 17.53

Source: Alpha Spread

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