|The comments to Elroy's UAN posts on other threads both dismay and confuse me.|
I understand that businesses at all times have negatives or risks that might impinge on stock prices. It just seems to me the positives are so overwhelming and certain -- as certain as can be, presuming no catastrophe at one of the plants or some unknown/unexpected government intervention occurring or something else - that that certainty will manifest itself in large upcoming distributions and a most likely rise in the stock price. Maybe not to the $hundreds, but up from $70. (But maybe greater than $hundred too if history repeats.) Maybe nothing's certain in the stock market. But the probability here has got to be high here, like maybe .95.
Why are not more people persuaded? Elroy makes the case for UAN excellently. Do all those people who're reading the posts and those who comment about UAN have something better? Surely there are some who, when the money would seem to be right in front of them, would overlook their concerns that it's an MLP (if that were a concern.). And no one has said, hey dump everything you own into this great opportunity. Why aren't there more people -- people who temper their risk by position sizing -- acknowledging that UAN might be very suitable for even a small investment? As I say, this lack of interest dismays and confuses me.
Oh well, I'm still a believer and still holding on.