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Politics : Foreign Affairs Discussion Group
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To: Arran Yuan who wrote (281464)11/12/2020 3:31:15 PM
From: Sun Tzu1 Recommendation

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Arran Yuan

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Actually, I did not talk about the worst case scenario, only the most likely scenarios.

The worst case scenario is that burdened by a mountain of debt, plagued by internal divisions and radically different views of America's place in the world, the USD will lose its status as the world's reserve currency which in turn brings about a ton of financial difficulties for the US government. Combined with pressure towards xenophobia, the US may fracture under the pressure and go through something similar to what the Soviet Union went through and become a mere shadow of its former self...an even bigger worse case scenario involves new cold wars with China and Russia (and possibly hot wars with their proxies) .

I don't think either of these is likely. But nor is it so far out to be brushed aside.

I give it a better than even chance that the US will eventually go back to its roots as a union of states with a fairly weak central government...call it Union-Confederate 2.0
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