Non-Tech : Kirk's Market Thoughts
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To: Kirk © who wrote (5402)12/31/2017 6:14:16 PM
From: robert b furman2 Recommendations

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Kirk ©

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I'm hoping for a lower dollar which will give us a bit of an inflationary tail wind.

That would give the feds lead to raising interest rates and those with savings may just finally no longer be abused by central banks( falsely keeping interest rates below where the market place should have them).

It makes sense that the US should lead the global economy back into rate normalization (as defined by long term - [monthlies] - interest rate charts).

I suspect that if the US raises rates relative to JAPAN, EU, UK,our rate increases will be very slow as demand for our Treasuries will limit the top of the yields achievable with large demand for the relatively higher yield.

It is a very favorable long term scenario.

I think it is a long term cycle, but those who held on to this abusive low rate/yields on cash may just be rewarded by a long term cycle( 36-38 years) reversal.

I've seen it go complete full cycle if it happens in my life time.

Having graduated in 1976 - I can remember that the idea of leverage was a good thing as inflation raised prices faster than you could save.

That view was quashed with volker and 20+ % interest rates and 18% - 30 year mortgages.

Diversification is the only free lunch and having fresh cash at a market bottom is the best way I know of to making 5-7 baggers in the long run and at the lowest tax rates

But we have along way to go till we get parabolic - I think AND hope! <smile>
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